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Open AccessHuman influence on the recent weakening of storm tracks in boreal summer
Anthropogenic warming can alter large-scale circulation patterns in the atmosphere, which could have serious consequences for regional climate impacts and extreme weather. Observed thermodynamic changes in bor...
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Open AccessHeat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends
Over the last 70 years, extreme heat has been increasing at a disproportionate rate in Western Europe, compared to climate model simulations. This mismatch is not well understood. Here, we show that a substant...
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Open AccessAuthor Correction: Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia
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Open AccessAccelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia
Persistent heat extremes can have severe impacts on ecosystems and societies, including excess mortality, wildfires, and harvest failures. Here we identify Europe as a heatwave hotspot, exhibiting upward trend...
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Open AccessThe role of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and ocean-atmosphere interactions in driving US temperature predictability
Heatwaves can have devastating impact on society and reliable early warnings at several weeks lead time are needed. Previous studies showed that north-Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) can provide long-le...
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Open AccessAuthor Correction: Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
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Open AccessIncreasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of he...
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Sub-synoptic circulation variability in the Himalayan extreme precipitation event during June 2013
This study investigates the sub-synoptic scale circulation aspects associated with the extreme rainfall event occurred over the North Indian state of Uttarakhand located in the western Himalayas (WH) during th...
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Amplified Rossby waves enhance risk of concurrent heatwaves in major breadbasket regions
In an interconnected world, simultaneous extreme weather events in distant regions could potentially impose high-end risks for societies1,2. In the mid-latitudes, circumglobal Rossby waves are associated with a s...
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Open AccessMeridionally Extending Anomalous Wave Train over Asia During Breaks in the Indian Summer Monsoon
Anomalous interactions between the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) circulation and subtropical westerlies are known to trigger breaks in the ISM on subseasonal time-scales, characterised by a pattern of suppressed...
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Summer weather becomes more persistent in a 2 °C world
Heat and rainfall extremes have intensified over the past few decades and this trend is projected to continue with future global warming1–3. A long persistence of extreme events often leads to societal impacts wi...
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Open AccessInferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
The heart of the scientific enterprise is a rational effort to understand the causes behind the phenomena we observe. In large-scale complex dynamical systems such as the Earth system, real experiments are rar...
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Open AccessThe different stratospheric influence on cold-extremes in Eurasia and North America
The stratospheric polar vortex can influence the tropospheric circulation and thereby winter weather in the mid-latitudes. Weak vortex states, often associated with sudden stratospheric warmings (SSW), have be...
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Open AccessAlberta wildfire 2016: Apt contribution from anomalous planetary wave dynamics
In May-June 2016 the Canadian Province of Alberta suffered one of the most devastating wildfires in its history. Here we show that in mid-April to early May 2016 the large-scale circulation in the mid- and hig...
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Quantification of temperature persistence over the Northern Hemisphere land-area
Extreme weather events such as heat waves and floods are damaging to society and their contribution to future climate impacts is expected to be large. Such extremes are often related to persistent local weathe...
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Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development
This paper synthesizes what is known about the physical and biophysical impacts of climate change and their consequences for societies and development under different levels of global warming in Latin America ...
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Climate change impacts in Sub-Saharan Africa: from physical changes to their social repercussions
The repercussions of climate change will be felt in various ways throughout both natural and human systems in Sub-Saharan Africa. Climate change projections for this region point to a warming trend, particula...
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Climate change impacts in Central Asia and their implications for development
This paper synthesizes what is known about the physical and biophysical impacts of climate change and their consequences for societies and development under different levels of global warming in Central Asia. ...
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Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess
This paper reviews the current knowledge of climatic risks and impacts in South Asia associated with anthropogenic warming levels of 1.5–4 °C above pre-industrial values in the twenty-first century. It is bas...
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Climate change impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region and their implications for vulnerable population groups
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region emerges as one of the hot spots for worsening extreme heat, drought and aridity conditions under climate change. A synthesis of peer-reviewed literature from 2010...
