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Open AccessAuthor Correction: Overshooting the critical threshold for the Greenland ice sheet
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Open AccessOvershooting the critical threshold for the Greenland ice sheet
Melting of the Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) in response to anthropogenic global warming poses a severe threat in terms of global sea-level rise (SLR)1. Modelling and palaeoclimate evidence suggest that rapidly incr...
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Open AccessTime-scale synchronisation of oscillatory responses can lead to non-monotonous R-tip**
Rate-induced tip** (R-tip**) describes the fact that, for multistable dynamic systems, an abrupt transition can take place not only because of the forcing magnitude, but also because of the forcing rate. I...
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Only halving emissions by 2030 can minimize risks of crossing cryosphere thresholds
Considering cryosphere and warming uncertainties together implies drastically increased risk of threshold crossing in the cryosphere, even under lower-emission pathways, and underscores the need to halve emiss...
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Open AccessAuthor Correction: Increasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
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Open AccessIncreasing heat and rainfall extremes now far outside the historical climate
Over the last decade, the world warmed by 0.25 °C, in-line with the roughly linear trend since the 1970s. Here we present updated analyses showing that this seemingly small shift has led to the emergence of he...
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The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets under 1.5 °C global warming
Even if anthropogenic warming were constrained to less than 2 °C above pre-industrial, the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets will continue to lose mass this century, with rates similar to those observed over ...
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Open AccessRecent Progress in Greenland Ice Sheet Modelling
This paper reviews the recent literature on numerical modelling of the dynamics of the Greenland ice sheet with the goal of providing an overview of advancements and to highlight important directions of future...
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Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development
This paper synthesizes what is known about the physical and biophysical impacts of climate change and their consequences for societies and development under different levels of global warming in Latin America ...
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Climate change impacts in Sub-Saharan Africa: from physical changes to their social repercussions
The repercussions of climate change will be felt in various ways throughout both natural and human systems in Sub-Saharan Africa. Climate change projections for this region point to a warming trend, particula...
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Climate change impacts in Central Asia and their implications for development
This paper synthesizes what is known about the physical and biophysical impacts of climate change and their consequences for societies and development under different levels of global warming in Central Asia. ...
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Climatic risks and impacts in South Asia: extremes of water scarcity and excess
This paper reviews the current knowledge of climatic risks and impacts in South Asia associated with anthropogenic warming levels of 1.5–4 °C above pre-industrial values in the twenty-first century. It is bas...
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Climate change impacts in the Middle East and Northern Africa (MENA) region and their implications for vulnerable population groups
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region emerges as one of the hot spots for worsening extreme heat, drought and aridity conditions under climate change. A synthesis of peer-reviewed literature from 2010...
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Open AccessMIS-11 duration key to disappearance of the Greenland ice sheet
Palaeo data suggest that Greenland must have been largely ice free during Marine Isotope Stage 11 (MIS-11). However, regional summer insolation anomalies were modest during this time compared to MIS-5e, when t...
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Correction: Corrigendum: Evidence for an exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning
Nature Clim. Change 5, 475–480 (2015); published online 23 March 2015; corrected after print 3 September 2015 In the version of this Article originally published, in Fig. 1 the data plotted were for the calend...
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Exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation
Possible changes in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) provide a key source of uncertainty regarding future climate change. Maps of temperature trends over the twentieth century show a conspicu...
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An interhemispheric mechanism for glacial abrupt climate change
The last glacial period was punctuated by abrupt climate changes that are widely considered to result from millennial-scale variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). However, the ...
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Global increase in record-breaking monthly-mean temperatures
The last decade has produced record-breaking heat waves in many parts of the world. At the same time, it was globally the warmest since sufficient measurements started in the 19th century. Here we show that, w...
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Multistability and critical thresholds of the Greenland ice sheet
A comprehensive stability analysis shows that the critical global temperature rise that leads to collapse of the Greenland ice sheet is only 1–2 °C above the pre-industrial climate state, which is significantl...
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The past is not the future
During the last interglacial period, summer temperatures were warmer and the Greenland ice sheet smaller than today. Modelling suggests that the low ice-sheet volume was not simply a consequence of high ambien...
