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Open AccessFire may prevent future Amazon forest recovery after large-scale deforestation
The Amazon forest is regarded as a tip** element of the Earth system, susceptible to a regime change from tropical forest to savanna and grassland due to anthropogenic land use and climate change. Previous r...
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Dürren und Waldbrände unter Klimawandel
Klimarelevante Naturgefahren sind auf vielfältige Faktoren zurückzuführen, deren Zusammenwirken in der Gesamtheit betrachtet werden muss. Die vorbereitenden, auslösenden und kontrollierenden Faktoren werden in...
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Open AccessCharacterization of land cover-specific fire regimes in the Brazilian Amazon
Humans profoundly alter fire regimes both directly, by introducing changes in fuel dynamics and ignitions, and indirectly, by increasing the release of greenhouse gases and aerosols from fires, which can alter...
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Article
Open AccessFuture tree survival in European forests depends on understorey tree diversity
Climate change heavily threatens forest ecosystems worldwide and there is urgent need to understand what controls tree survival and forests stability. There is evidence that biodiversity can enhance ecosystem ...
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Article
Open AccessClimate-induced hysteresis of the tropical forest in a fire-enabled Earth system model
Tropical rainforests are recognized as one of the terrestrial tip** elements which could have profound impacts on the global climate, once their vegetation has transitioned into savanna or grassland states. ...
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Open AccessSpatio-temporal patterns of extreme fires in Amazonian forests
Fires are a fundamental part of the Earth System. In the last decades, they have been altering ecosystem structure, biogeochemical cycles and atmospheric composition with unprecedented rapidity. In this study,...
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Open AccessPerformance evaluation of global hydrological models in six large Pan-Arctic watersheds
Global Water Models (GWMs), which include Global Hydrological, Land Surface, and Dynamic Global Vegetation Models, present valuable tools for quantifying climate change impacts on hydrological processes in the...
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Open AccessConstraining modelled global vegetation dynamics and carbon turnover using multiple satellite observations
The response of land ecosystems to future climate change is among the largest unknowns in the global climate-carbon cycle feedback. This uncertainty originates from how dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs)...
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Article
Open AccessAdaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether o...
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Using Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) for Projecting Ecosystem Services at Regional Scales
Climate change and land-use change are two major drivers of vegetation change causing habitat and biodiversity loss and posing a threat to the sustained provisioning of ecosystem goods and services. Following-...
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Rice Ecosystem Services in South-East Asia: The LEGATO Project, Its Approaches and Main Results with a Focus on Biocontrol Services
LEGATO stands for “Land-use intensity and Ecological EnGineering—Assessment Tools for risks and Opportunities in irrigated rice based production systems.”
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Open AccessAlberta wildfire 2016: Apt contribution from anomalous planetary wave dynamics
In May-June 2016 the Canadian Province of Alberta suffered one of the most devastating wildfires in its history. Here we show that in mid-April to early May 2016 the large-scale circulation in the mid- and hig...
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Rice ecosystem services in South-east Asia
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Open AccessThe LEGATO cross-disciplinary integrated ecosystem service research framework: an example of integrating research results from the analysis of global change impacts and the social, cultural and economic system dynamics of irrigated rice production
In a cross-disciplinary project (LEGATO) combining inter- and transdisciplinary methods, we quantify the dependency of rice-dominated socio-ecological systems on ecosystem functions (ESF) and the ecosystem ser...
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Climate change impacts in Latin America and the Caribbean and their implications for development
This paper synthesizes what is known about the physical and biophysical impacts of climate change and their consequences for societies and development under different levels of global warming in Latin America ...
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Ecosystem Services
Ecosystem services are increasingly incorporated into explicit policy targets and can be an effective tool for informing decisions about the use and management of the planet’s resources, especially when trade...
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Article
Resilience of Amazon forests emerges from plant trait diversity
Application of a terrestrial biogeochemical model that simulates diverse forest communities suggests that plant trait diversity may enable the Amazon rainforest to adjust to new climate conditions via a proces...
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Climate extremes and the carbon cycle
The effects of climate extremes such as droughts or storms on the carbon cycle of ecosystems are investigated; such extremes can decrease regional carbon stocks.
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Precipitation-driven decrease in wildfires in British Columbia
Trends of summer precipitation and summer temperature and their influence on trends in summer drought and area burned in British Columbia (BC) were investigated for the period 1920–2000. The complexity imposed...
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Sensitivity of Portuguese forest fires to climatic, human, and landscape variables: subnational differences between fire drivers in extreme fire years and decadal averages
Within the changing fire regimes of Portugal, the relative importance of humans and climatic variability for regional fire statistics remains poorly understood. This work investigates the statistical relations...
