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Open AccessHuman movement and environmental barriers shape the emergence of dengue
Understanding how emerging infectious diseases spread within and between countries is essential to contain future pandemics. Spread to new areas requires connectivity between one or more sources and a suitable...
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Open AccessProjecting vaccine demand and impact for emerging zoonotic pathogens
Despite large outbreaks in humans seeming improbable for a number of zoonotic pathogens, several pose a concern due to their epidemiological characteristics and evolutionary potential. To enable effective resp...
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Open AccessInferring person-to-person networks of Plasmodium falciparum transmission: are analyses of routine surveillance data up to the task?
Inference of person-to-person transmission networks using surveillance data is increasingly used to estimate spatiotemporal patterns of pathogen transmission. Several data types can be used to inform transmiss...
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Open AccessHow radical is radical cure? Site-specific biases in clinical trials underestimate the effect of radical cure on Plasmodium vivax hypnozoites
Plasmodium vivax blood-stage relapses originating from re-activating hypnozoites are a major barrier for control and elimination of this disease. Radical cure is a form of therapy capable of addressing this probl...
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Open AccessTrade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease
Probabilistic forecasts play an indispensable role in answering questions about the spread of newly emerged pathogens. However, uncertainties about the epidemiology of emerging pathogens can make it difficult ...
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Open AccessLying in wait: the resurgence of dengue virus after the Zika epidemic in Brazil
After the Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic in the Americas in 2016, both Zika and dengue incidence declined to record lows in many countries in 2017–2018, but in 2019 dengue resurged in Brazil, causing ~2.1 million ...
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Optimal Control of the COVID-19 Pandemic with Non-pharmaceutical Interventions
The COVID-19 pandemic has forced societies across the world to resort to social distancing to slow the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Due to the economic impacts of social distancing, there is growing desire ...
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Map** global variation in human mobility
The geographic variation of human movement is largely unknown, mainly due to a lack of accurate and scalable data. Here we describe global human mobility patterns, aggregated from over 300 million smartphone u...
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Spatial sorting as the spatial analogue of natural selection
Considerable research effort has been spent to understand why most organisms disperse despite the clear costs of doing so. One aspect of dispersal evolution that has received recent attention is a process know...
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Open AccessPublisher Correction: Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
In the version of this Article originally published, the affiliation for author Catherine Linard was incorrectly stated as ‘6Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Me...
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Open AccessPublisher Correction: Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
This Article was mistakenly not made Open Access when originally published; this has now been amended, and information about the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License has been added into the ‘...
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Open AccessPast and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes...
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Open AccessInter-annual variation in seasonal dengue epidemics driven by multiple interacting factors in Guangzhou, China
Vector-borne diseases display wide inter-annual variation in seasonal epidemic size due to their complex dependence on temporally variable environmental conditions and other factors. In 2014, Guangzhou, China ...
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Open AccessCorrection to: Map** malaria by combining parasite genomic and epidemiologic data
The original article [1] contained an error in the presentation of Figure 1; this error has now been rectified and Figure 1 is now presented correctly.
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Open AccessMap** malaria by combining parasite genomic and epidemiologic data
Recent global progress in scaling up malaria control interventions has revived the goal of complete elimination in many countries. Decreasing transmission intensity generally leads to increasingly patchy spati...
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Open AccessLocal and regional dynamics of chikungunya virus transmission in Colombia: the role of mismatched spatial heterogeneity
Mathematical models of transmission dynamics are routinely fitted to epidemiological time series, which must inevitably be aggregated at some spatial scale. Weekly case reports of chikungunya have been made av...
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Open AccessModel-based analysis of experimental data from interconnected, row-configured huts elucidates multifaceted effects of a volatile chemical on Aedes aegypti mosquitoes
Insecticides used against Aedes aegypti and other disease vectors can elicit a multitude of dose-dependent effects on behavioral and bionomic traits. Estimating the potential epidemiological impact of a product r...
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Open AccessInferences about spatiotemporal variation in dengue virus transmission are sensitive to assumptions about human mobility: a case study using geolocated tweets from Lahore, Pakistan
Billions of users of mobile phones, social media platforms, and other technologies generate an increasingly large volume of data that has the potential to be leveraged towards solving public health challenges....
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Open AccessSpatiotemporal incidence of Zika and associated environmental drivers for the 2015-2016 epidemic in Colombia
Despite a long history of mosquito-borne virus epidemics in the Americas, the impact of the Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic of 2015–2016 was unexpected. The need for scientifically informed decision-making is drivi...
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Erratum: Model-based projections of Zika virus infections in childbearing women in the Americas
Nature Microbiology 1, 16126 (2016); published online 25 July 2016; corrected 20 March 2017 In the original version of this Letter, the name of author T. Alex Perkins was coded wrongly, resulting in it being i...
