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  1. Article

    Open Access

    Enhanced risk of record-breaking regional temperatures during the 2023–24 El Niño

    In 2023, the development of El Niño is poised to drive a global upsurge in surface air temperatures (SAT), potentially resulting in unprecedented warming worldwide. Nevertheless, the regional patterns of SAT a...

    Ning Jiang, Congwen Zhu, Zeng-Zhen Hu, Michael J. McPhaden… in Scientific Reports (2024)

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  2. No Access

    Article

    Record-breaking pre-flood rainfall over South China in 2022: role of historic warming over the Northeast Pacific and Maritime Continent

    In 2022, South China suffered severe flooding due to unexpected persistent heavy rainfall in the pre-flood season. The in situ cumulative precipitation amount during May–June in South China broke the record es...

    Boqi Liu, Congwen Zhu, Kang Xu, Shuangmei Ma, Mengmeng Lu, Xue Han… in Climate Dynamics (2023)

  3. Article

    Extreme Cold Events in North America and Eurasia in November-December 2022: A Potential Vorticity Gradient Perspective

    From 17 November to 27 December 2022, extremely cold snowstorms frequently swept across North America and Eurasia. Diagnostic analysis reveals that these extreme cold events were closely related to the establi...

    Yao Yao, Wenqin Zhuo, Zhaohui Gong, Binhe Luo… in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (2023)

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  4. No Access

    Article

    Progress and Prospects of Research on Subseasonal to Seasonal Variability and Prediction of the East Asian Monsoon

    Subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) variability represents the atmospheric disturbance on the 10–90-day timescale, which is an important bridge linking weather and climate. In 2015, China Meteorological Administrati...

    Congwen Zhu, Boqi Liu, Lun Li, Shuangmei Ma… in Journal of Meteorological Research (2022)

  5. No Access

    Article

    Subseasonal forecast barrier of the North Atlantic oscillation in S2S models during the extreme mei-yu rainfall event in 2020

    Enhanced predictability of high-impact weather events is a Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project (S2S) priority. In early summer 2020, a record-breaking heavy rainfall event occurred over the Yangtze Rive...

    Yuhan Yan, Boqi Liu, Congwen Zhu, Riyu Lu, Ning Jiang, Shuangmei Ma in Climate Dynamics (2022)

  6. No Access

    Article

    Opposing Trends of Winter Cold Extremes over Eastern Eurasia and North America under Recent Arctic Warming

    Under recent Arctic warming, boreal winters have witnessed severe cold surges over both Eurasia and North America, bringing about serious social and economic impacts. Here, we investigated the changes in daily...

    Shuangmei Ma, Congwen Zhu in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (2020)

  7. No Access

    Article

    Combined Impacts of Warm Central Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and Anthropogenic Warming on the 2019 Severe Drought in East China

    A severe drought occurred in East China (EC) from August to October 2019 against a background of long-term significant warming and caused widespread impacts on agriculture and society, emphasizing the urgent n...

    Shuangmei Ma, Congwen Zhu, Juan Liu in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (2020)

  8. No Access

    Article

    The dynamic and thermodynamic processes dominating the reduction of global land monsoon precipitation driven by anthropogenic aerosols emission

    Changes in monsoon precipitation have profound social and economic impacts as more than two-thirds of the world’s population lives in monsoon regions. Observations show a significant reduction in global land m...

    Tianjun Zhou, Wenxia Zhang, Lixia Zhang, Xuebin Zhang… in Science China Earth Sciences (2020)

  9. No Access

    Article

    Precipitation changes in wet and dry seasons over the 20th century simulated by two versions of the FGOALS model

    Seasonal precipitation changes over the globe during the 20th century simulated by two versions of the Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System (FGOALS) model are assessed. The two model versions differ in...

    Shuangmei Ma, Tianjun Zhou in Advances in Atmospheric Sciences (2015)

  10. No Access

    Article

    Changes of the tropical Pacific Walker circulation simulated by two versions of FGOALS model

    Here we assessed the performances of IAP/LASG climate system model FGOALS-g2 and FGOAS-s2 in the simulation of the tropical Pacific Walker circulation (WC). Both models reasonably reproduce the climatological ...

    ShuangMei Ma, TianJun Zhou in Science China Earth Sciences (2014)