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Article
Near-term transition and longer-term physical climate risks of greenhouse gas emissions pathways
Policy, business, finance and civil society stakeholders are increasingly looking to compare future emissions pathways across both their associated physical climate risks stemming from increasing temperatures ...
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Article
Open AccessThe impacts avoided with a 1.5 °C climate target: a global and regional assessment
The 2015 Paris Agreement commits countries to pursue efforts to limit the increase in global mean temperature to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. We assess the consequences of achieving this target in 2100 ...
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Article
The global-scale impacts of climate change: the QUEST-GSI project
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Article
Open AccessThe impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale
This paper presents an assessment of the implications of climate change for global river flood risk. It is based on the estimation of flood frequency relationships at a grid resolution of 0.5 × 0.5°, using a g...
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Article
Open AccessA global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity
This paper presents a global scale assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity. Patterns of climate change from 21 Global Climate Models (GCMs) under four SRES scenarios are applied to a globa...
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Chapter
Recent Change—River Flow
This chapter reviews recent trends and variability in river flows to the North Sea. The main contributors are the River Elbe and the River Rhine. In addition to these large rivers many smaller rivers also disc...
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Article
Open AccessA new scenario framework for climate change research: background, process, and future directions
The scientific community is develo** new global, regional, and sectoral scenarios to facilitate interdisciplinary research and assessment to explore the range of possible future climates and related physical...
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Article
Open AccessThe global-scale impacts of climate change on water resources and flooding under new climate and socio-economic scenarios
This paper presents a preliminary assessment of the relative effects of rate of climate change (four Representative Concentration Pathways - RCPs), assumed future population (five Shared Socio-economic Pathway...
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Article
The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought
Many studies warn that climate change may undermine global food security. Much work on this topic focuses on modelling crop-weather interactions but these models do not generally account for the ways in which ...
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Article
Adapting to climate change: an evolving research programme
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Article
Adapting to climate change: Public water supply in England and Wales
This paper describes an assessment of the ways in which water supply companies in England and Wales are adapting to climate change, evaluated in the context of a model of the adaptation process. The four compo...
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Article
Thresholds and Response to Climate Change Forcing: The Water Sector
This paper explores the nature of critical thresholds in the natural and managed water environment, and examines the effect of thresholds on the shape of system response to change. The hydrological system is c...
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Article
Relative impacts of human-induced climate change and natural climate variability
Assessments of the regional impacts of human-induced climate change on a wide range of social and environmental systems are fundamental for determining the appropriate policy responses to climate change1,2,3. Yet...
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Article
Climate Change and Water Resources in Britain
This paper explores the potential implications of climate change for the use and management of water resources in Britain. It is based on a review of simulations of changes in river flows, groundwater recharge...
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Chapter
Climate Change and Hydrological Disasters
Many regard climate change as a disaster-in-waiting, a view reinforced by society’s evident dependence on systems to protect itself against the vagaries of weather (Ausubel, 1991), and in some instances to exp...
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Chapter and Conference Paper
River Runoff Data for the Validation of Climate Simulation Models
Climate model validation involves the comparison of model simulations with observed data. River runoff is a major part of the water balance, and represents one of the most important diagnostic variables of a c...
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Chapter and Conference Paper
Scenarios for Hydrological Climate Change Impact Studies
Climate change scenarios are the link between process studies of climate change and impact assessments. It is currently difficult to use climate models directly to estimate the impacts of increasing greenhouse...
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Chapter and Conference Paper
Socio-economic impacts of changes in water resources due to global warming
Perhaps the largest impact of global warming on mankind will be through its effects on water resources and water availability. Many studies have investigated potential changes in water balance and hydrological...