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  1. Article

    Open Access

    The effects of extreme heat on human health in tropical Africa

    This review examines high-quality research evidence that synthesises the effects of extreme heat on human health in tropical Africa. Web of Science (WoS) was used to identify research articles on the effects e...

    Joshua Jonah Kunda, Simon N. Gosling in International Journal of Biometeorology (2024)

  2. Article

    Open Access

    Notable shifts beyond pre-industrial streamflow and soil moisture conditions transgress the planetary boundary for freshwater change

    Human actions compromise the many life-supporting functions provided by the freshwater cycle. Yet, scientific understanding of anthropogenic freshwater change and its long-term evolution is limited. Here, usin...

    Miina Porkka, Vili Virkki, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Dieter Gerten, Tom Gleeson in Nature Water (2024)

  3. Article

    Open Access

    Functional relationships reveal differences in the water cycle representation of global water models

    Global water models are increasingly used to understand past, present and future water cycles, but disagreements between simulated variables make model-based inferences uncertain. Although there is empirical e...

    Sebastian Gnann, Robert Reinecke, Lina Stein, Yoshihide Wada, Wim Thiery in Nature Water (2023)

  4. Article

    Biometeorology research in Europe

    Simon N. Gosling, Sandra Słowińska in International Journal of Biometeorology (2021)

  5. No Access

    Article

    Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change

    Terrestrial water storage (TWS) modulates the hydrological cycle and is a key determinant of water availability and an indicator of drought. While historical TWS variations have been increasingly studied, futu...

    Yadu Pokhrel, Farshid Felfelani, Yusuke Satoh, Julien Boulange in Nature Climate Change (2021)

  6. Article

    Open Access

    How evaluation of global hydrological models can help to improve credibility of river discharge projections under climate change

    Importance of evaluation of global hydrological models (gHMs) before doing climate impact assessment was underlined in several studies. The main objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of six gH...

    Valentina Krysanova, Jamal Zaherpour, Iulii Didovets, Simon N. Gosling in Climatic Change (2020)

  7. Article

    Open Access

    State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes

    Global impact models represent process-level understanding of how natural and human systems may be affected by climate change. Their projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here we te...

    Jacob Schewe, Simon N. Gosling, Christopher Reyer, Fang Zhao in Nature Communications (2019)

  8. Article

    Additional new insights into Biometeorology

    Simon N. Gosling in International Journal of Biometeorology (2018)

  9. Article

    Erratum to: A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C

    Simon N. Gosling, Jamal Zaherpour, Nick J. Mount, Fred F. Hattermann in Climatic Change (2017)

  10. Article

    Open Access

    A comparison of changes in river runoff from multiple global and catchment-scale hydrological models under global warming scenarios of 1 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C

    We present one of the first climate change impact assessments on river runoff that utilises an ensemble of global hydrological models (Glob-HMs) and an ensemble of catchment-scale hydrological models (Cat-HMs)...

    Simon N. Gosling, Jamal Zaherpour, Nick J. Mount, Fred F. Hattermann in Climatic Change (2017)

  11. Article

    Open Access

    The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale

    This paper presents an assessment of the implications of climate change for global river flood risk. It is based on the estimation of flood frequency relationships at a grid resolution of 0.5 × 0.5°, using a g...

    Nigel W. Arnell, Simon N. Gosling in Climatic Change (2016)

  12. Article

    Open Access

    A global assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity

    This paper presents a global scale assessment of the impact of climate change on water scarcity. Patterns of climate change from 21 Global Climate Models (GCMs) under four SRES scenarios are applied to a globa...

    Simon N. Gosling, Nigel W. Arnell in Climatic Change (2016)

  13. Article

    New insights into biometeorology

    Simon N. Gosling in International Journal of Biometeorology (2014)

  14. Article

    Open Access

    A glossary for biometeorology

    Here we present, for the first time, a glossary of biometeorological terms. The glossary aims to address the need for a reliable source of biometeorological definitions, thereby facilitating communication and ...

    Simon N. Gosling, Erin K. Bryce, P. Grady Dixon in International Journal of Biometeorology (2014)

  15. No Access

    Article

    The socioeconomics of food crop production and climate change vulnerability: a global scale quantitative analysis of how grain crops are sensitive to drought

    Many studies warn that climate change may undermine global food security. Much work on this topic focuses on modelling crop-weather interactions but these models do not generally account for the ways in which ...

    Elisabeth Simelton, Evan D. G. Fraser, Mette Termansen, Tim G. Benton in Food Security (2012)

  16. No Access

    Article

    The benefits of quantifying climate model uncertainty in climate change impacts assessment: an example with heat-related mortality change estimates

    The majority of climate change impacts assessments account for climate change uncertainty by adopting the scenario-based approach. This typically involves assessing the impacts for a small number of emissions ...

    Simon N. Gosling, Glenn R. McGregor, Jason A. Lowe in Climatic Change (2012)

  17. No Access

    Article

    Associations between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality: a critical review of the literature

    The effects of the anomalously warm European summer of 2003 highlighted the importance of understanding the relationship between elevated atmospheric temperature and human mortality. This review is an extensio...

    Simon N. Gosling, Jason A. Lowe, Glenn R. McGregor, Mark Pelling in Climatic Change (2009)

  18. No Access

    Article

    Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 2: climate model evaluation and projected impacts from changes in the mean and variability of temperature with climate change

    Previous assessments of the impacts of climate change on heat-related mortality use the “delta method” to create temperature projection time series that are applied to temperature–mortality models to estimate ...

    Simon N. Gosling, Glenn R. McGregor in International Journal of Biometeorology (2009)

  19. No Access

    Article

    Climate change and heat-related mortality in six cities Part 1: model construction and validation

    Heat waves are expected to increase in frequency and magnitude with climate change. The first part of a study to produce projections of the effect of future climate change on heat-related mortality is presente...

    Simon N. Gosling, Glenn R. McGregor, Anna Páldy in International Journal of Biometeorology (2007)