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  1. Article

    Open Access

    SpatialWavePredict: a tutorial-based primer and toolbox for forecasting growth trajectories using the ensemble spatial wave sub-epidemic modeling framework

    Dynamical mathematical models defined by a system of differential equations are typically not easily accessible to non-experts. However, forecasts based on these types of models can help gain insights into the...

    Gerardo Chowell, Amna Tariq, Sushma Dahal in BMC Medical Research Methodology (2024)

  2. Article

    Open Access

    GrowthPredict: A toolbox and tutorial-based primer for fitting and forecasting growth trajectories using phenomenological growth models

    Simple dynamic modeling tools can help generate real-time short-term forecasts with quantified uncertainty of the trajectory of diverse growth processes unfolding in nature and society, including disease outbr...

    Gerardo Chowell, Amanda Bleichrodt, Sushma Dahal, Amna Tariq in Scientific Reports (2024)

  3. Article

    Open Access

    A New Paradigm for Pandemic Preparedness

    Preparing for pandemics requires a degree of interdisciplinary work that is challenging under the current paradigm. This review summarizes the challenges faced by the field of pandemic science and proposes how...

    Nina H. Fefferman, John S. McAlister, Belinda S. Akpa in Current Epidemiology Reports (2023)

  4. Article

    Open Access

    Real-time forecasting the trajectory of monkeypox outbreaks at the national and global levels, July–October 2022

    Beginning May 7, 2022, multiple nations reported an unprecedented surge in monkeypox cases. Unlike past outbreaks, differences in affected populations, transmission mode, and clinical characteristics have been...

    Amanda Bleichrodt, Sushma Dahal, Kevin Maloney, Lisa Casanova, Ruiyan Luo in BMC Medicine (2023)