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  1. Article

    Open Access

    Early detection of emerging viral variants through analysis of community structure of coordinated substitution networks

    The emergence of viral variants with altered phenotypes is a public health challenge underscoring the need for advanced evolutionary forecasting methods. Given extensive epistatic interactions within viral gen...

    Fatemeh Mohebbi, Alex Zelikovsky, Serghei Mangul, Gerardo Chowell in Nature Communications (2024)

  2. Article

    Open Access

    GrowthPredict: A toolbox and tutorial-based primer for fitting and forecasting growth trajectories using phenomenological growth models

    Simple dynamic modeling tools can help generate real-time short-term forecasts with quantified uncertainty of the trajectory of diverse growth processes unfolding in nature and society, including disease outbr...

    Gerardo Chowell, Amanda Bleichrodt, Sushma Dahal, Amna Tariq in Scientific Reports (2024)

  3. Article

    Open Access

    Excess mortality in Ukraine during the course of COVID-19 pandemic in 2020–2021

    In this work, the COVID-19 pandemic burden in Ukraine is investigated retrospectively using the excess mortality measures during 2020–2021. In particular, the epidemic impact on the Ukrainian population is stu...

    Aleksandr Shishkin, Pema Lhewa, Chen Yang, Yuriy Gankin in Scientific Reports (2023)

  4. Article

    Open Access

    Harnessing testing strategies and public health measures to avert COVID-19 outbreaks during ocean cruises

    To ensure the safe operation of schools, workplaces, nursing homes, and other businesses during COVID-19 pandemic there is an urgent need to develop cost-effective public health strategies. Here we focus on th...

    Gerardo Chowell, Sushma Dahal, Raquel Bono, Kenji Mizumoto in Scientific Reports (2021)

  5. Article

    Open Access

    Asymptomatic Transmission and the Dynamics of Zika Infection

    Following the 2013–14 outbreak in French Polynesia, the Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic spread widely to many countries where Aedes Aegypti as the main transmitting vector is endemic. The lack of a second wave of ZIKV...

    Seyed M. Moghadas, Affan Shoukat, Aquino L. Espindola in Scientific Reports (2017)

  6. Article

    Open Access

    Prevention and Control of Zika as a Mosquito-Borne and Sexually Transmitted Disease: A Mathematical Modeling Analysis

    The ongoing Zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic in the Americas poses a major global public health emergency. While ZIKV is transmitted from human to human by bites of Aedes mosquitoes, recent evidence indicates that ZIKV...

    Daozhou Gao, Yijun Lou, Daihai He, Travis C. Porco, Yang Kuang in Scientific Reports (2016)