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Article
Measuring global climate risk
Climate change generates multifaceted and difficult-to-measure risks to human and natural systems. Now, research offers a composite indicator of global climate risk that may help track progress in addressing c...
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Article
Values and uncertainty
Policymakers know that the risks associated with climate change mean they need to cut greenhouse-gas emissions. But uncertainty surrounding the likelihood of different scenarios makes choosing specific policie...
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Article
Aided and unaided decisions with imprecise probabilities in the domain of losses
We report results of a series of experiments on decision-making in the presence of irreducibly imprecise probabilities of negative and undesirable outcomes. Subjects faced decisions among actions where the pay...
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Article
Open AccessA Framework for the Development of New Socio-economic Scenarios for Climate Change Research: Introductory Essay
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Reference Work Entry In depth
Deep Uncertainty
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Article
Robust Strategies for Abating Climate Change
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Article
The Impacts of Climate Variability on Near-Term Policy Choices and the Value of Information
Variability is one of the most salient features of the earth's climate, yet quantitative policy studies have generally ignored the impact of variability on society's best choice of climate-change policy. This ...
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Article
Carrots and sticks for new technology: Abating greenhouse gas emissions in a heterogeneous and uncertain world
Many governments use technology incentives as an important component of their greenhouse gas abatement strategies. These “carrots” are intended to encourage the initial diffusion of new, greenhouse-gas-emissio...
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The Impacts of Climate Variability on Near-Term Policy Choices and the Value of Information
Variability is one of the most salient features of the earth’s climate, yet quantitative policy studies have generally ignored the impact of variability on society’s best choice of climate-change policy. This ...
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Article
When we don't know the costs or the benefits: Adaptive strategies for abating climate change
Most quantitative studies of climate-change policy attempt to predict the greenhouse-gas reduction plan that will have the optimum balance of long-term costs and benefits. We find that the large uncertainties ...
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Article
The impact of potential abrupt climate changes on near-term policy choices
We investigate an important scientific uncertainty facing climate-change policymakers, namely, the impact of potential abrupt climatic change. We examine sequential decision strategies for abating climate chan...
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Article
A sequential-decision strategy for abating climate change
CURRENT debate on policies for limiting climate change due to greenhouse-gas emissions focuses on whether to take action now or later, and on how stringent any emissions reductions should be in the near and lo...
