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Article
Enhancing Assessments of Coastal Wetland Migration Potential with Sea-level Rise: Accounting for Uncertainty in Elevation Data, Tidal Data, and Future Water Levels
Sea-level rise rates are predicted to surpass rates of wetland vertical adjustment in the coming decades in many areas, increasing the potential for wetland submergence. Information on where wetland migration ...
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Article
Temperature Thresholds for Leaf Damage from Two Extreme Freeze Events (2018 and 2021) Near the Northern Range Limit of Black Mangroves (Avicennia germinans) in Southeastern North America
Extreme winter temperatures govern the northern range limit of black mangroves (Avicennia germinans) in southeastern North America. There is a pressing need for studies that advance our understanding of how extre...
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Article
Nonlinear Patterns of Surface Elevation Change in Coastal Wetlands: the Value of Generalized Additive Models for Quantifying Rates of Change
In the face of accelerating climate change and rising sea levels, quantifying surface elevation change dynamics in coastal wetlands can help to develop a more complete understanding of the implications of sea-...
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Article
Open AccessRapidly Changing Range Limits in a Warming World: Critical Data Limitations and Knowledge Gaps for Advancing Understanding of Mangrove Range Dynamics in the Southeastern USA
Climate change is altering species’ range limits and transforming ecosystems. For example, warming temperatures are leading to the range expansion of tropical, cold-sensitive species at the expense of their co...
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Soil Elevation Change in Mangrove Forests and Marshes of the Greater Everglades: A Regional Synthesis of Surface Elevation Table-Marker Horizon (SET-MH) Data
Coastal wetlands adapt to rising seas via feedbacks that build soil elevation, which lead to wetland stability. However, accelerated rates of sea-level rise can exceed soil elevation gain, leading to wetland i...
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Article
The Distribution and Structure of Mangroves (Avicennia germinans and Rhizophora mangle) Near a Rapidly Changing Range Limit in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico
In coastal wetlands, one of the most striking examples of climate change is the poleward range expansion of mangrove forests in response to warming winters. In North America, the Cedar Key region has often bee...
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Article
Assessing Habitat Change and Migration of Barrier Islands
Barrier islands are dynamic environments that experience gradual change from waves, tides, and currents, and rapid change from extreme storms. These islands are expected to change drastically over the coming c...
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Article
Climatic Controls on the Distribution of Foundation Plant Species in Coastal Wetlands of the Conterminous United States: Knowledge Gaps and Emerging Research Needs
Foundation plant species play a critical role in coastal wetlands, often modifying abiotic conditions that are too stressful for most organisms and providing the primary habitat features that support entire ec...
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Article
Microclimate Influences Mangrove Freeze Damage: Implications for Range Expansion in Response to Changing Macroclimate
In response to warming winter air temperatures, freeze-sensitive mangrove forests are expected to expand at the expense of freeze-tolerant salt marshes. To better anticipate and prepare for mangrove range expa...
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Article
Erratum: Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century
Nature Climate Change 7, 142–147 (2017); published online 23 January 2017; corrected after print 6 February 2017. In the original version of this Letter in the legend of Figure 2, 'algal mats' was misspelt. Th...
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Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century
Research into the impacts of climate change on coastal wetlands has tended to focus on sea-level rise. Now modelling of Gulf of Mexico wetland plant community responses to climate change projects transformativ...