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    Article

    Enhancing Assessments of Coastal Wetland Migration Potential with Sea-level Rise: Accounting for Uncertainty in Elevation Data, Tidal Data, and Future Water Levels

    Sea-level rise rates are predicted to surpass rates of wetland vertical adjustment in the coming decades in many areas, increasing the potential for wetland submergence. Information on where wetland migration ...

    Nicholas M. Enwright, Michael J. Osland, Hana R. Thurman in Estuaries and Coasts (2024)

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    Temperature Thresholds for Leaf Damage from Two Extreme Freeze Events (2018 and 2021) Near the Northern Range Limit of Black Mangroves (Avicennia germinans) in Southeastern North America

    Extreme winter temperatures govern the northern range limit of black mangroves (Avicennia germinans) in southeastern North America. There is a pressing need for studies that advance our understanding of how extre...

    Simen Kaalstad, Michael J. Osland, Donna J. Devlin in Estuaries and Coasts (2024)

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    Nonlinear Patterns of Surface Elevation Change in Coastal Wetlands: the Value of Generalized Additive Models for Quantifying Rates of Change

    In the face of accelerating climate change and rising sea levels, quantifying surface elevation change dynamics in coastal wetlands can help to develop a more complete understanding of the implications of sea-...

    Laura C. Feher, Michael J. Osland, Darren J. Johnson in Estuaries and Coasts (2023)

  4. Article

    Open Access

    Rapidly Changing Range Limits in a Warming World: Critical Data Limitations and Knowledge Gaps for Advancing Understanding of Mangrove Range Dynamics in the Southeastern USA

    Climate change is altering species’ range limits and transforming ecosystems. For example, warming temperatures are leading to the range expansion of tropical, cold-sensitive species at the expense of their co...

    Rémi Bardou, Michael J. Osland, Steven Scyphers, Christine Shepard in Estuaries and Coasts (2023)

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    Article

    Soil Elevation Change in Mangrove Forests and Marshes of the Greater Everglades: A Regional Synthesis of Surface Elevation Table-Marker Horizon (SET-MH) Data

    Coastal wetlands adapt to rising seas via feedbacks that build soil elevation, which lead to wetland stability. However, accelerated rates of sea-level rise can exceed soil elevation gain, leading to wetland i...

    Laura C. Feher, Michael J. Osland, Karen L. McKee in Estuaries and Coasts (2022)

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    The Distribution and Structure of Mangroves (Avicennia germinans and Rhizophora mangle) Near a Rapidly Changing Range Limit in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico

    In coastal wetlands, one of the most striking examples of climate change is the poleward range expansion of mangrove forests in response to warming winters. In North America, the Cedar Key region has often bee...

    Caitlin M. Snyder, Laura C. Feher, Michael J. Osland in Estuaries and Coasts (2022)

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    Assessing Habitat Change and Migration of Barrier Islands

    Barrier islands are dynamic environments that experience gradual change from waves, tides, and currents, and rapid change from extreme storms. These islands are expected to change drastically over the coming c...

    Nicholas M. Enwright, Lei Wang, P. Soupy Dalyander, Hongqing Wang in Estuaries and Coasts (2021)

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    Article

    Climatic Controls on the Distribution of Foundation Plant Species in Coastal Wetlands of the Conterminous United States: Knowledge Gaps and Emerging Research Needs

    Foundation plant species play a critical role in coastal wetlands, often modifying abiotic conditions that are too stressful for most organisms and providing the primary habitat features that support entire ec...

    Michael J. Osland, James B. Grace, Glenn R. Guntenspergen in Estuaries and Coasts (2019)

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    Microclimate Influences Mangrove Freeze Damage: Implications for Range Expansion in Response to Changing Macroclimate

    In response to warming winter air temperatures, freeze-sensitive mangrove forests are expected to expand at the expense of freeze-tolerant salt marshes. To better anticipate and prepare for mangrove range expa...

    Michael J. Osland, Arik M. Hartmann, Richard H. Day in Estuaries and Coasts (2019)

  10. Article

    Erratum: Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century

    Nature Climate Change 7, 142–147 (2017); published online 23 January 2017; corrected after print 6 February 2017. In the original version of this Letter in the legend of Figure 2, 'algal mats' was misspelt. Th...

    Christopher A. Gabler, Michael J. Osland, James B. Grace in Nature Climate Change (2017)

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    Article

    Macroclimatic change expected to transform coastal wetland ecosystems this century

    Research into the impacts of climate change on coastal wetlands has tended to focus on sea-level rise. Now modelling of Gulf of Mexico wetland plant community responses to climate change projects transformativ...

    Christopher A. Gabler, Michael J. Osland, James B. Grace in Nature Climate Change (2017)