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Determination of production losses related to lumpy skin disease among cattle in Turkey and analysis using SEIR epidemic model
BackgroundLumpy Skin Disease (LSD) is an infectious disease induced by the Capripoxvirus, causing epidemics in Turkey and several countries worldwide...
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Impact of public health interventions to curb SARS-CoV-2 spread assessed by an evidence-educated Delphi panel and tailored SEIR model
AimTo use a Delphi-panel-based assessment of the effectiveness of different non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) in order to retrospectively...
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Measuring the worldwide spread of COVID-19 using a comprehensive modeling method
BackgroundWith the global spread of COVID-19, detecting high-risk countries/regions timely and dynamically is essential; therefore, we sought to...
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Evaluating the Demand for Nucleic Acid Testing in Different Scenarios of COVID-19 Transmission: A Simulation Study
IntroductionThe 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has been recognized as the most severe human infectious disease pandemic in the past century. To...
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Evaluating the Public Health and Health Economic Impacts of Baloxavir Marboxil and Oseltamivir for Influenza Pandemic Control in China: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Using a Linked Dynamic Transmission–Economic Evaluation Model
BackgroundPandemic influenza poses a recurring threat to public health. Antiviral drugs are vital in combating influenza pandemics. Baloxavir...
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Quantifying the spatial spillover effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on pandemic risk
BackgroundNon-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) implemented in one place can affect neighboring regions by influencing people’s behavior. However,...
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Compartmental structures used in modeling COVID-19: a sco** review
BackgroundThe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic, considered as the worst global public health event in nearly a century, has severely...
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A comparison of five epidemiological models for transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in India
BackgroundMany popular disease transmission models have helped nations respond to the COVID-19 pandemic by informing decisions about pandemic...
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Modeling COVID-19 spread using multi-agent simulation with small-world network approach
BackgroundThe rapid global spread of COVID-19 has seriously impacted people’s daily lives and the social economy while also posing a threat to their...
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Using outbreak data to estimate the dynamic COVID-19 landscape in Eastern Africa
BackgroundThe emergence of COVID-19 as a global pandemic presents a serious health threat to African countries and the livelihoods of its people. To...
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The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in South Africa
ObjectiveIn this study, we investigated the impact of COVID-19 NPIs in South Africa to understand their effectiveness in the reduction of...
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Cost-Effectiveness of the Second COVID-19 Booster Vaccination in the USA
ObjectiveTo assess the cost effectiveness of the second COVID-19 booster vaccination with different age groups.
MethodsWe developed a...
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Predictive models for health outcomes due to SARS-CoV-2, including the effect of vaccination: a systematic review
BackgroundThe interaction between modelers and policymakers is becoming more common due to the increase in computing speed seen in recent decades....
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Modelling the impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 cases in Hong Kong in early 2020
BackgroundCoronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) led to pandemic that affected almost all countries in the world. Many countries have implemented border...
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Effects of prolonged incubation period and centralized quarantine on the COVID-19 outbreak in Shijiazhuang, China: a modeling study
BackgroundFrom 2 January to 14 February 2021, a local outbreak of COVID-19 occurred in Shijiazhuang, the capital city of Hebei Province, with a...
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Contributing to health system resilience during pandemics via purchasing and supply strategies: an exploratory system dynamics approach
BackgroundHealth systems worldwide struggled to obtain sufficient personal protective equipment (PPE) and ventilators during the COVID-19 pandemic...
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Effect of different interventions for latent tuberculosis infections in China: a model-based study
BackgroundTuberculosis (TB) has a serious impact on people’s health. China is one of 30 countries that has a high TB burden. As the currently...
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Efficacy of compartmentalization in controlling an adenovirus type 54 keratoconjunctivitis outbreak on Oki Island, Japan
PurposeTo analyze the epidemiologic characteristics of an outbreak of human adenovirus type 54 (HAdV-54) on Oki Island, Shimane Prefecture, Japan, in...
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SARS-CoV-2 elicits non-sterilizing immunity and evades vaccine-induced immunity: implications for future vaccination strategies
Neither vaccination nor natural infection result in long-lasting protection against SARS-COV-2 infection and transmission, but both reduce the risk...
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On the role of financial support programs in mitigating the SARS-CoV-2 spread in Brazil
BackgroundDuring 2020, there were no effective treatments or vaccines against SARS-CoV-2. The most common disease contention measures were social...
