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Interannual fires as a source for subarctic summer decadal climate variability mediated by permafrost thawing
Climate model simulations run under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) use an inhomogeneous biomass burning aerosol (BBA)...
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Relative contributions of internal variability and external forcing to the inter-decadal transition of climate patterns in East Asia
The annual precipitation in North China and South China shows a dipole pattern with a clear inter-decadal transition around the late 1970s. However,...
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Atlantic decadal-to-bidecadal variability in a version of the Kiel Climate Model
Atlantic decadal-to-bidecadal variability (ADV) is described from a multimillennial control integration of a version of the Kiel Climate Model (KCM)....
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Global lead-lag changes between climate variability series coincide with major phase shifts in the Pacific decadal oscillation
We show that there are distinct periods when three ocean variability series in the Atlantic and the Pacific Oceans persistently lead or lag each...
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Skill decreases in real-time seasonal climate prediction due to decadal variability
Seasonal precipitation and temperature predictions with global climate models that are developed based on the ocean–atmosphere interactions,...
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Stronger decadal variability of the Kuroshio Extension under simulated future climate change
Understanding the behavior of western boundary current systems is crucial for predictions of biogeochemical cycles, fisheries, and basin-scale...
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Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability
Naturally occurring tropical Pacific variations at timescales of 7–70 years — tropical Pacific decadal variability (TPDV) — describe basin-scale sea...
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Competing impacts of tropical Pacific and Atlantic on Southern Ocean inter-decadal variability
The observed Southern Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) has experienced prominent inter-decadal variability nearly in phase with the Inter-decadal...
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Dampened predictable decadal North Atlantic climate fluctuations due to ice melting
The oscillatory behaviour of the climate system on decadal timescales before the instrumental record is hard to quantify. However, knowledge of this...
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The role of the tropical Atlantic in tropical Pacific climate variability
Interactions between Atlantic and Pacific Oceans can affect tropical Pacific variability and its global impacts at both interannual and decadal...
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Last Interglacial decadal sea surface temperature variability in the eastern Mediterranean
The Last Interglacial (~129,000–116,000 years ago) is the most recent geologic period with a warmer-than-present climate. Proxy-based temperature...
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What drives the decadal variability in sea surface salinity and stratification over the tropical Indian Ocean?
The decadal variability in the surface salinity and stratification over the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) is investigated for the period 1979–2017...
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Evaluation of the seasonal to decadal variability in dynamic sea level simulations from CMIP5 to CMIP6
Previous studies have revealed little progress in the ensemble mean of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models compared to Phase...
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A key role of off-equatorial subsurface temperature anomalies in Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability
We demonstrate the key role of off-equatorial subsurface temperature anomalies in driving the phase transition of Tropical Pacific Decadal...
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Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM
Initialization is essential for accurate seasonal-to-decadal (S2D) climate predictions. The initialization schemes used differ on the component...
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Orbitally forced and internal changes in West African rainfall interannual-to-decadal variability for the last 6000 years
Recent variability in West African monsoon rainfall (WAMR) has been shown to be influenced by multiple ocean–atmosphere modes, including the El Niño...
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The role of upper-ocean variations of the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension in seasonal-to-decadal air-sea heat flux variability
The Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension (KOE) is the North Pacific oceanic frontal zone where air-sea heat and moisture exchanges allow strong communication...
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The pacific decadal precession and its relationship to tropical pacific decadal variability in CMIP6 models
Persistent, multi-year shifts in atmospheric circulations and their associated influence on regional climates have profound impacts on physical,...
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Pantropical Indo-Atlantic temperature gradient modulates multi-decadal AMOC variability in models and observations
Interconnections between ocean basins are recognized as an important driver of climate variability. Recent modeling evidence suggests that the North...
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Anthropogenic forcing and Pacific internal variability-determined decadal increase in summer precipitation over the Asian water tower
The increased precipitation in the Asian water tower has prompted the abrupt lake expansion and increased runoff, significantly resha** the water...
