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7 Result(s)

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  1. No Access

    Article

    Covariability of SST and surface heat fluxes in reanalyses and CMIP3 climate models

    The generation and dissipation of SST anomalies is mediated by the covariability of SST and surface heat fluxes. The connection between the variability of heat flux (including its radiative and turbulent compo...

    Bin Yu, G. J. Boer, F. W. Zwiers, W. J. Merryfield in Climate Dynamics (2011)

  2. No Access

    Article

    Decadal predictability and forecast skill

    The “potential predictability” of the climate system is the upper limit of available forecast skill and can be characterized by the ratio p of the predictable variance to the total variance. While the potential p...

    G. J. Boer, V. V. Kharin, W. J. Merryfield in Climate Dynamics (2013)

  3. Article

    Open Access

    The Asian–Bering–North American teleconnection: seasonality, maintenance, and climate impact on North America

    The Asian–Bering–North American (ABNA) teleconnection index is constructed from the normalized 500-hPa geopotential field by excluding the Pacific–North American pattern contribution. The ABNA pattern features...

    Bin Yu, H. Lin, Z. W. Wu, W. J. Merryfield in Climate Dynamics (2018)

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  4. No Access

    Article

    Relationships between potential, attainable, and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment

    A sequence of ensemble forecasts permits the estimation of the “predictable” and “unpredictable” components of the forecasts and hence the predictability of the system. Predictability is a feature of a physica...

    G. J. Boer, W. J. Merryfield, V. V. Kharin in Climate Dynamics (2019)

  5. Article

    Open Access

    Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

    There is a growing need for skilful predictions of climate up to a decade ahead. Decadal climate predictions show high skill for surface temperature, but confidence in forecasts of precipitation and atmospheri...

    D. M. Smith, R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron… in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2019)

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  6. No Access

    Article

    Differences in potential and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment

    Decadal prediction results are analyzed for the predictability and skill of annual mean temperature. Forecast skill is assessed in terms of correlation, mean square error (MSE) and mean square skill score. The...

    G. J. Boer, V. V. Kharin, W. J. Merryfield in Climate Dynamics (2019)

  7. Article

    Open Access

    Author Correction: Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

    An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

    D. M. Smith, R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron… in npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2020)

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