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Article
Expected inflation and interest-rate dynamics in the COVID era: evidence from the time–frequency domain
The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States may have led investors or other individuals to expect sharp drops in output and rising prices, as well as drastic changes in fiscal and/or monetary to de...
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Article
Predicting the contribution of artificial intelligence to unemployment rates: an artificial neural network approach
As technological innovations gain the capacity to replace human labour, it is increasingly possible that artificial intelligence can lead to higher unemployment rates. This paper is devoted to forecasting une...
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Article
Foreign exchange market pressure and stock market dynamics in emerging Asia
This study investigates connections between currency and stock markets for the Asian emerging economies using a novel approach that considers exchange rate management. We build an index of exchange market pres...
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Article
Structural breaks and regional inflation convergence for five new Euro members
Following Euro adoption, it is expected that a country’s inflation rates and other macroeconomic variables will continue to converge to those of other members of the bloc. But fixed exchange rates can cause ma...
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Article
Commercial bank locations and “banking deserts”: a statistical analysis of Milwaukee and Buffalo
Although Internet banking is now able to perform many of the functions associated with physical bank branches, these locations still play important roles within their neighborhoods. This is particularly true f...
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Article
The effects of exchange-rate volatility on industry trade between the US and Egypt
Recent instability in Egypt has brought attention to the role of risk in this important economy. At the same time, there is room in the ever-expanding literature on the link between exchange-rate volatility an...
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Article
Exchange-rate volatility and commodity trade between the E.U. and Egypt: evidence from 59 industries
In recent years, the effects of exchange-rate risk on trade flows have been studied for numerous cases, with studies focusing on disaggregated, industry-level exports and imports for a pair of countries’ impor...
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Article
Exchange-rate variability and U.S.-French trade flows: evidence from industry data
Recent studies have greatly expanded the literature on the effects of exchange-rate volatility on industry-level bilateral trade flows. In this study, we examine the case of the United States and France, apply...
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Article
Currency fluctuations and the French–U.S. trade balance: evidence from 118 industries
The impact of currency depreciations on trade has inspired a large body of research. Recent studies have examined industry-level trade, often using cointegration analysis, finding that a significant fraction o...
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Article
Regime changes and the impact of currency depreciations: the case of Spanish–US industry trade
Over the past half century, Western Europe has been part of varying currency regimes. Yet, whether under Bretton Woods, the European Monetary System, or the Euro, exchange-rate fluctuations have had an influen...
