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Article
Open AccessPacific decadal oscillation causes fewer near-equatorial cyclones in the North Indian Ocean
Tropical cyclones do not form easily near the equator but can intensify rapidly, leaving little time for preparation. We investigate the number of near-equatorial (originating between 5°N and 11°N) tropical cy...
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Article
Open AccessImproved seasonal prediction of harmful algal blooms in Lake Erie using large-scale climate indices
Harmful Algal Blooms lead to multi-billion-dollar losses in the United States due to shellfish closures, fish mortalities, and reluctance to consume seafood. Therefore, an improved early seasonal prediction of...
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Article
Understanding the role of topography on the diurnal cycle of precipitation in the Maritime Continent during MJO propagation
The role of topography in the diurnal cycle of precipitation is analyzed during the propagation of a Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) event over the Islands of the Maritime Continent using cloud-permitting simu...
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Article
Open AccessENSO influence on Bay of Bengal cyclogenesis confined to low latitudes
The low-latitudinal cyclones (LLCs, originating between 5°N–10°N) constitute ≈40% of tropical cyclones (TCs) formed in the Bay of Bengal (BoB). We investigate the interannual variability of post-monsoonal (Oct...
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Article
Open AccessActive and weakening MJO events in the Maritime Continent
To better understand the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) in the Maritime Continent (MC), events from 1980 to 2019 were classified as active or weakening according to propagation characteristics and amplitude c...
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Article
Understanding the bias in surface latent and sensible heat fluxes in contemporary AGCMs over tropical oceans
The performance of 20 models participating in the atmospheric model intercomparison project (AMIP) is evaluated concerning surface latent (QLH) and sensible (QSH) heat flux over the tropical oceans (30°S–30°N). B...
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Article
Role of topography on the MJO in the maritime continent: a numerical case study
The role of topography on a Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) event in the Maritime Continent (MC) is explored using a regional model. Four simulations are conducted: lower-resolution (12 km) simulations using c...
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Article
Response of tropical cyclone Phailin (2013) in the Bay of Bengal to climate perturbations
Tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal (BoB) are the major source of loss of properties and lives in the adjacent coastal regions during post-monsoon (October–November) season. This study explores the impact o...
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Article
Open AccessRole of the atmospheric mean state on the initiation of the Madden-Julian oscillation in a tropical channel model
Tropical channel models, defined as models that are global in the zonal direction but bounded in the meridional direction, are particularly useful for simulating the Madden-Julian oscillation (MJO) and underst...