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    Russia 2035: The New Quality of the National Economy

    Russia is completing the stage of adaptation to the changed conditions of interaction with the outside world. Now our country is faced with the task of carrying out a set of active measures aimed at modernizin...

    A. A. Shirov, D. R. Belousov, A. A. Blokhin in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2024)

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    Strategy of Economic Development up to 2035: Overcoming Long-Term Stagnation

    The article discusses the key trends in Russia’s economic development. An assessment of economic growth rates for the period up to 2035 is being carried out. Based on alternative scenarios, the effectiveness o...

    M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2023)

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    The Main Directions of Socio-Economic Development of Russia in 2020–2024 and for the Period up to 2035

    The paper contemplates the current state of Russia’s economy and the forecast of major directions of its socio-economic development in 2020–2024 and for the period up to 2035. The analysis and assessment of th...

    B. N. Porfiryev, A. A. Shirov, M. N. Uzyakov in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2020)

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    Macroeconomic Stabilization and Spatial Development of the Economy

    The article analyzes the relationship between macroeconomic stabilization policy and development of the Russian economy at industry and regional levels. It is stated that macroeconomic stabilization in itself ...

    A. A. Shirov, N. N. Mikheeva, M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2019)

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    Global Trends of Restructuring Production and Income Worldwide and in Russia

    Using the input−output approach, the article examines evolving economic growth in developed and develo** countries over the last 30–40 years and the structural shifts brought about by globalization. The rati...

    M. S. Gusev, A. A. Shirov, D. A. Polzikov in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2018)

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    Macroeconomic Effects of Russian Defense Expenditures: Retrospective Analysis and Forecast

    The main directions of the impact of defense expenditures on the economy have been analyzed. It has been stated that there are no clear criteria for attributing defense spending to unproductive budget expendit...

    A. A. Shirov, M. S. Gusev, I. E. Frolov in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2018)

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    System of Measures to Recovery of Economic Growth in Russia

    The article proposes and substantiates the main directions and measures of economic policy that allow us to increase the pace and quality of economic growth in Russia.

    V. V. Ivanter, O. Dzh. Govtvan’, M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2018)

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    Scientific and technological dimensions of the macrostructural forecast

    This paper explores possible approaches to quantifying the relationship between expenditures on research and development and economic development. The mechanisms that underpin the transfer of scientific result...

    A. A. Shirov, M. S. Gusev, A. R. Sayapova in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2016)

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    Recovery of economic growth in Russia

    The presented paper of the Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences analyzes key macroeconomic and financial measures of contemporary Russian anticrisis policy, substantiates the ma...

    V. V. Ivanter, T. D. Belkina, D. R. Belousov in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2016)

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    Article

    Import substitution as a strategy of economic development

    The reasons for the slowdown in Russia’s economic growth in 2012–2014 are considered. Different forms of modern import-substitution practices are analyzed.

    M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2016)

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    Article

    Modeling economic growth for long-term global economic forecasting

    The correspondence between the factors of economic growth described in long-term economic forecasts and long-term forecasting modeling tools, as well as the classical theoretical interpretation of economic gro...

    M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2014)

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    Forecasting the dynamic and structural development characteristics of the common economic space

    The paper describes a complex of forecasting-analytical support for the activity of the Common Economic Space (CES), presents computational results made on its basis, and substantiates the comprehensive approa...

    A. A. Shirov, M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2013)

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    Long-term development of the Russian economy and the problem of labour productivity

    This paper analyzes the limitations imposed by the development of the Russian economy on human resources. The contribution of productivity to economic growth in recent years is determined. The key factors affe...

    A. A. Shirov, M. S. Gusev, A. A. Yantovskii in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2012)

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    Development of scenario conditions as a key stage of economic forecast preparation

    Formation of coordinated economic development forecasts is impossible without elaborating hypotheses and assumptions about the development of the world economy, situation in key commodity and exchange markets,...

    A. A. Shirov, M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2011)

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    The post-crisis recovery and its risks and opportunities

    This article considers the prospects for the development of the Russian economy in the post-crisis period. Key factors are analyzed that may affect the rate of the economic recovery. Opportunities are studied ...

    A. A. Shirov, M. S. Gusev, E. A. Rutkovskaya in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2010)

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    Article

    Two crises. A comparative analysis of the situations in 1998 and 2008–2009

    The article compares the dynamics of the leading economic indicators characterizing the situation in Russian economy at the time of the 1998–1999 and 2008–2009 crises. On the basis of monthly and quarterly sta...

    M. S. Gusev, A. A. Shirov in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2009)

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    Article

    Foreign trade forecast in the system of midterm forecasting of the Russian economy

    The paper is dedicated to describing the principles of constructing a foreign trade midterm forecast in contemporary Russian conditions. The authors use the foreign trade forecasting model developed by the Ins...

    M. S. Gusev, A. A. Shirov in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2009)

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    Russia’s intra-industry trade in international exchange: Major trends and growth potential

    The current state and development trends in Russia’s international intra-industry trade with major trade partners are considered in the paper on the whole and by individual industries. The author suggests his ...

    M. S. Gusev in Studies on Russian Economic Development (2007)