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    Article

    International ship** in a world below 2 °C

    The decarbonization of ship** has become an important policy goal. While integrated assessment models (IAMs) are often used to explore climate mitigation strategies, they typically provide little information...

    Eduardo Müller-Casseres, Florian Leblanc, Maarten van den Berg in Nature Climate Change (2024)

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    Article

    Financing negative emissions leads to windfall profits and inequality at net zero

    Funding large-scale negative emissions through a carbon market designed for traditional emission reduction strategies risks exacerbating long-term economic inequality. We suggest exploring alternative financin...

    Pietro Andreoni, Johannes Emmerling, Massimo Tavoni in Nature Climate Change (2024)

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    Article

    Inequality repercussions of financing negative emissions

    Negative emissions technologies are attracting the interest of investors in the race to make them effective and profitable. When deployed at scale, they will be financed through public funds, reducing the fisc...

    Pietro Andreoni, Johannes Emmerling, Massimo Tavoni in Nature Climate Change (2024)

  4. Article

    Open Access

    Identifying energy model fingerprints in mitigation scenarios

    Energy models are used to study emissions mitigation pathways, such as those compatible with the Paris Agreement goals. These models vary in structure, objectives, parameterization and level of detail, yieldin...

    Mark M. Dekker, Vassilis Daioglou, Robert Pietzcker, Renato Rodrigues in Nature Energy (2023)

  5. Article

    Open Access

    SRM on the table: the role of geoengineering for the stability and effectiveness of climate coalitions

    Geoengineering, including solar radiation management (SRM), has received increasing scrutiny due to the rise of climate extremes and slow progress in mitigating global carbon emissions. This climate policy opt...

    Piergiuseppe Pezzoli, Johannes Emmerling, Massimo Tavoni in Climatic Change (2023)

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    Article

    New damage curves and multimodel analysis suggest lower optimal temperature

    Economic analyses of global climate change have been criticized for their poor representation of climate change damages. Here we develop and apply aggregate damage functions in three economic Integrated Assess...

    Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Francesco Bosello, Shouro Dasgupta in Nature Climate Change (2023)

  7. Article

    Open Access

    Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways

    Climate adaptation actions can be energy-intensive, but how adaptation feeds back into the energy system and the environment is absent in nearly all up-to-date energy scenarios. Here we quantify the impacts of...

    Francesco Pietro Colelli, Johannes Emmerling, Giacomo Marangoni in Nature Communications (2022)

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    Article

    Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions

    Delaying climate mitigation action and allowing a temporary overshoot of temperature targets require large-scale carbon dioxide removal (CDR) in the second half of this century that may induce adverse side eff...

    Tomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori, Stefan Frank in Nature Sustainability (2021)

  9. Article

    Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change

    Mitigation pathways exploring end-of-century temperature targets often entail temperature overshoot. Little is known about the additional climate risks generated by overshooting temperature. Here we assessed t...

    Laurent Drouet, Valentina Bosetti, Simone A. Padoan in Nature Climate Change (2021)

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    Article

    Subjective Well-Being at the Macro Level—Empirics and Future Scenarios

    We estimate the impact of a large number of determinants of subjective well-being (SWB) across 143 countries, and project SWB across macro-regions for different socio-economic scenarios. We focus on the 23% of...

    Johannes Emmerling, Paula Navarro, Matthew R. Sisco in Social Indicators Research (2021)

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    Article

    Integrated perspective on translating biophysical to economic impacts of climate change

    Estimates of climate change’s economic impacts vary widely, depending on the applied methodology. This uncertainty is a barrier for policymakers seeking to quantify the benefits of mitigation. In this Perspect...

    Franziska Piontek, Laurent Drouet, Johannes Emmerling, Tom Kompas in Nature Climate Change (2021)

  12. Article

    Open Access

    Persistent inequality in economically optimal climate policies

    Benefit-cost analyses of climate policies by integrated assessment models have generated conflicting assessments. Two critical issues affecting social welfare are regional heterogeneity and inequality. These h...

    Paolo Gazzotti, Johannes Emmerling, Giacomo Marangoni in Nature Communications (2021)

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    Article

    Climate thresholds and heterogeneous regions: Implications for coalition formation

    The threat of climate catastrophes has been shown to radically change optimal climate policy and prospects for international climate agreements. We characterize the strategic behavior in emissions mitigation a...

    Johannes Emmerling, Ulrike Kornek in The Review of International Organizations (2021)

  14. Article

    Open Access

    Implications of various effort-sharing approaches for national carbon budgets and emission pathways

    The bottom-up approach of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) in the Paris Agreement has led countries to self-determine their greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets. The planned ‘ratchetin...

    Nicole J. van den Berg, Heleen L. van Soest, Andries F. Hof in Climatic Change (2020)

  15. Article

    Open Access

    Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement

    Many countries have implemented national climate policies to accomplish pledged Nationally Determined Contributions and to contribute to the temperature objectives of the Paris Agreement on climate change. In ...

    Mark Roelfsema, Heleen L. van Soest, Mathijs Harmsen in Nature Communications (2020)

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    Article

    Reply to: Why fossil fuel producer subsidies matter

    Jessica Jewell, Johannes Emmerling, Vadim Vinichenko, Christoph Bertram in Nature (2020)

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    Article

    A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation

    Holding the global increase in temperature caused by climate change well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, the goal affirmed by the Paris Agreement, is a major societal challenge. Meanwhile, food securit...

    Shinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa, Volker Krey, Keywan Riahi in Nature Sustainability (2019)

  18. Article

    Author Correction: Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

    In the version of ‘Supplementary Data 1’ originally published with this Article, the units for the ‘Capacity|Electricity|*’ variables in the ‘Non_Investment_Annual’ tab were incorrectly given as EJ/yr; they sh...

    David L. McCollum, Wenji Zhou, Christoph Bertram, Harmen-Sytze de Boer in Nature Energy (2018)

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    Article

    Interaction of consumer preferences and climate policies in the global transition to low-carbon vehicles

    Burgeoning demands for mobility and private vehicle ownership undermine global efforts to reduce energy-related greenhouse gas emissions. Advanced vehicles powered by low-carbon sources of electricity or hydro...

    David L. McCollum, Charlie Wilson, Michela Bevione, Samuel Carrara in Nature Energy (2018)

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    Article

    Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

    Low-carbon investments are necessary for driving the energy system transformation that is called for by both the Paris Agreement and Sustainable Development Goals. Improving understanding of the scale and natu...

    David L. McCollum, Wenji Zhou, Christoph Bertram, Harmen-Sytze de Boer in Nature Energy (2018)

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