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Article
Dynamic Regression Model for Hourly River Level Forecasting Under Risk Situations: an Application to the Ebro River
This work proposes a new statistical modelling approach to forecast the hourly river level at a gauging station, under potential flood risk situations and over a medium-term prediction horizon (around three da...
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Article
Modeling and projecting the occurrence of bivariate extreme heat events using a non-homogeneous common Poisson shock process
A joint model is proposed for analyzing and predicting the occurrence of extreme heat events in two temperature series, these being daily maximum and minimum temperatures. Extreme heat events are defined using...
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Chapter
Trend and Variability Analysis of Rainfall Series and their Extreme Events
Rainfall series and their corresponding extreme event processes are analysed in order to study the evolution of their mean value and variability. Two statistical approaches are used, one based on the analysis ...
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Chapter
Climate Variability Analysis of Temperature Series in the Medium Ebro River Basin
Moberg and Alexandersson’s (1997) methodology has been applied to homogenize series of monthly mean values of maximum and minimum daily temperature recorded in observatories located at the medium Ebro river ba...