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  1. Article

    Open Access

    Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

    Our ability to forecast epidemics far into the future is constrained by the many complexities of disease systems. Realistic longer-term projections may, however, be possible under well-defined scenarios that s...

    Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C. Mullany, Michelle Qin in Nature Communications (2023)

  2. Article

    Open Access

    Exploring scenarios of chikungunya mitigation with a data-driven agent-based model of the 2014–2016 outbreak in Colombia

    New epidemics of infectious diseases can emerge any time, as illustrated by the emergence of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) and Zika virus (ZIKV) in Latin America. During new epidemics, public health officials face...

    Guido España, John Grefenstette, Alex Perkins, Claudia Torres in Scientific Reports (2018)