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Global needs for nitrogen fertilizer to improve wheat yield under climate change
Increasing global food demand will require more food production1 without further exceeding the planetary boundaries2 while simultaneously adapting to climate change3. We used an ensemble of wheat simulation model...
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Open AccessCorrection to: Climate change impacts and adaptation for dryland farming systems in Zimbabwe: a stakeholder-driven integrated multi-model assessment
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Publisher Correction: Processing tomato production is expected to decrease by 2050 due to the projected increase in temperature
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Processing tomato production is expected to decrease by 2050 due to the projected increase in temperature
The global production of processing tomatoes is concentrated in a small number of regions where climate change could have a notable impact on the future supply. Process-based tomato models project that the pro...
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Develo** Pathways for Sustainable Agricultural Development in Zimbabwe by 2030
Agricultural production systems in Zimbabwe are facing high intensity of climate change impacts. Stakeholders require actionable information to direct investments towards a climate resilient future. The Agricu...
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Climate impacts on global agriculture emerge earlier in new generation of climate and crop models
Potential climate-related impacts on future crop yield are a major societal concern. Previous projections of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project’s Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomp...
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Open AccessClimate change impacts and adaptation for dryland farming systems in Zimbabwe: a stakeholder-driven integrated multi-model assessment
Decision makers need accurate information to address climate variability and change and accelerate transformation to sustainability. A stakeholder-driven, science-based multi-model approach has been developed ...
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Understanding and managing connected extreme events
Extreme weather and climate events and their impacts can occur in complex combinations, an interaction shaped by physical drivers and societal forces. In these situations, governance, markets and other decisio...
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Integrated assessment of climate change impacts on crop productivity and income of commercial maize farms in northeast South Africa
Agriculture in South Africa sustains about 70% of the region’s population for food, income and employment, playing an important role for food security and the local economy. The focus of the study was the comm...
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Open AccessThe Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset
The Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison (GGCMI) phase 1 dataset of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) provides an unprecedentedly large dataset of crop model simulatio...
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Open AccessEarth Observations and Integrative Models in Support of Food and Water Security
Global food production depends upon many factors that Earth observing satellites routinely measure about water, energy, weather, and ecosystems. Increasingly sophisticated, publicly available satellite data pr...
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Taking climate model evaluation to the next level
Earth system models are complex and represent a large number of processes, resulting in a persistent spread across climate projections for a given future scenario. Owing to different model performances against...
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Open AccessDiverging importance of drought stress for maize and winter wheat in Europe
Understanding the drivers of yield levels under climate change is required to support adaptation planning and respond to changing production risks. This study uses an ensemble of crop models applied on a spati...
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Author Correction: The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions
Nature Plants 3, 17102 (2017); published online 17 July 2017; corrected online 27 September 2017.
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Erratum: The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions
Nature Plants 3, 17102 (2017); published 17 July 2017; corrected 3 August 2017. In the original version of this Article, the author information was incorrect. Enli Wang and Pierre Martre contributed equally to...
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The uncertainty of crop yield projections is reduced by improved temperature response functions
Increasing the accuracy of crop productivity estimates is a key element in planning adaptation strategies to ensure global food security under climate change. Process-based crop models are effective means to p...
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Open AccessSelection of a representative subset of global climate models that captures the profile of regional changes for integrated climate impacts assessment
We present the Representative Temperature and Precipitation (T&P) GCM Subsetting Approach developed within the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) to select a practical subset of...
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Open AccessLessons from climate modeling on the design and use of ensembles for crop modeling
Working with ensembles of crop models is a recent but important development in crop modeling which promises to lead to better uncertainty estimates for model projections and predictions, better predictions usi...
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Similar estimates of temperature impacts on global wheat yield by three independent methods
The potential impact of global temperature change on global crop yield has recently been assessed with different methods. Here we show that grid-based and point-based simulations and statistical regressions (f...
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Regional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity
Increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations are expected to enhance photosynthesis and reduce plant water use. Research now reveals regional disparities in this effect on crops, with potential implications for food...
