Abstract
With the rapid development of the economy, problems such as resource depletion, environmental degradation, and increasingly strained human-land relations have become increasingly prominent. The rational layout of the production, living, and ecological spaces is the basis for solving the contradiction between economic development and environmental protection. This paper analyzed the spatial distribution pattern and evolution characteristics of the Qilian Mountains Nature Reserve based on the theory of production, living, and ecological space. The results show that the production and living function indexes are rising. The most advantaged areas are in the northern part of the research area, where the terrain is flat and transportation is convenient. The ecological function index rises, falls, then rises again. The high-value area is located in the south of the study area, and its ecological function is intact. The study area is dominated by ecological space. During the study period, the area of production space increased by 858.5 km2 and the living space area increased by 341.12 km2. The intensification of human activities has separated the continuity of ecological space. The area of ecological space has decreased by 233.68 km2. Among geographical factors, altitude has a significant impact on the evolution of living space. Population density is the main socioeconomic factor in changing the areas of production space and ecological space. This study is expected to provide a reference basis for land use planning and sustainable development of resources and environment in nature reserves.
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Introduction
The spatial distribution and functional evolution of the national land pattern are the result of the interaction between human activities and land reconfiguration (Tao et al. 2022; Zhao et al. 2020). Global development and human activities have changed the spatial structure and form of national land, and the functional evolution of spatial patterns is the result of changes in spatial form and structure. Studies have shown (Wang et al. 2018; Yao et al. 2021; Wei et al. 2022) that the unbalanced pattern of agricultural, urban, and ecological spaces reflects the impact of human activities on the natural environment, causing social and ecological problems such as ecological degradation, energy shortages, and natural disasters. The International Geosphere-Biosphere Program (IGBP) and the Human Dimensions in Global Environmental Change Program (IHDP) have proposed the study of land use change patterns and the analysis of driving forces as core research directions to reduce the negative impacts of land use change on nature and society (Qin et al. 2022). From this, land and resource development are shifting from a production space to a model of coordinated production, living, and ecological space (Wang 2021). With socioeconomic development and urbanization, the spatial patterns of production, living, and ecological space clashed, creating a functional contradiction (Zhang et al. 2019; Wang 2022; Wang et al. 2020). Clarifying the production, living, and ecological space has become an important basis for optimizing land resource allocation and building an ecological civilization and further improving the territorial distribution system.
Research on the distribution and function of production, living, and ecological space has gradually become popular in many countries. In the first phase, this paper studies the basic theoretical framework such as the definition of the concept of production, living, and ecological spatial functions, and the identification of features (Luo et al. 2014), and the construction of expression paradigms (Zou et al. 2018). There are two streams of research on the identification of functional features. One stream consists of research on the conflict and coordination of production-living-ecological functions within the unit. Scholars explored the pattern of spatiotemporal differentiation in the unit area (Geng et al. 2019) and analyzed their evolutionary characteristics (Wang et al. 2020). The other stream explores the functional differences of regional units, such as the coordinated spatial development of different cities (Wei et al. 2021a) and the regional characteristics of land use (Wei et al. 2021b). The production-living-ecological functions are spatially and temporally heterogeneous and can reinforce, restrict, or eliminate each other. Two aspects of the study are of great significance to regional territorial spatial distribution planning and sustainable development.
The second phase of research focuses on the interrelationship between the production-living-ecological functions and regional coordination, function classification (Zhao et al. 2021a), functional evaluation and optimization (Zhao and Zhao 2023), distribution characteristics (Zhao et al. 2021b), and descriptive methods (Lu et al. 2015). The units of research have been national (Chen et al. 2019), provincial (Li et al. 2021a), river basin (Han et al. 2022), and county (Gao et al. 2022). Scholars have conducted studies on production, living, and ecological space, but there are still some shortcomings. Analysis of spatiotemporal changes and characteristic evolution of the production-living-ecological functions needs to be strengthened. More research has been done on the characteristics of evolution and the pattern of production, living, and ecological space, but the driving factors of their evolutionary pattern evolution have been studied less. Most of the research areas are provincial, urban, and economic circles. Less research has been done on production, living, and ecological space in nature reserves and ecologically vulnerable areas.
The theory of production, living, and ecological space classifies territorial space into production space, living space, and ecological space according to the functional properties of space (Zhao et al. 2019; Yang et al. 2020a; Li et al. 2021b). The three are interrelated and complementary (Liu et al. 2019; Bennett et al. 2009). Production space provides industrial, agricultural, and service products and material security for living space. Living space is the place of human habitation and public activities and allows its inhabitants to survive. The pattern distribution evolved with people’s needs. Ecological space provides the products and services to promote harmonious human-land relations. Economic location advantage and land-intensive use are the main factors of spatial evolution (Chen et al. 2021; Lin et al. 2020). Tourism market demand and policy orientation can explain the evolution of territorial spatial patterns and functions in industrial regions dominated by tourism (** et al. 2014; Chen and ** 2015). Production, living, and ecological space are driven by external factors that change the distribution of space and of production-living-ecological functions. The transformation of spatial functions is the main process of spatial production, but also the result of the synergistic development of humans and nature. The production, living, and ecological space theory can explain the relationship between human activities and the natural environment more fully than the human-earth relationship theory (Zhou et al. 2020a).
Taking China’s Qilian Mountains Nature Reserve as an example, the period 2000–2020 is chosen as the research period. According to this research needs, 30 m of raster land cover remote sensing monitoring data of this area in 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020 were selected and reclassified according to the theories of production, living, and ecological space. This paper analyzes the distribution and evolutionary characteristics of production, living, and ecological space, explores the spatial variation characteristics of land function conversion, and reveals the pattern and evolution of production, living, and ecological space in the Qilian Mountains. The geodetector was used to analyze possible factors affecting the evolution of regional production, living, and ecological patterns. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the evolution characteristics of the production, living, and ecological functions in the Qilian Mountains Nature Reserve, clarify the spatiotemporal variation of the production, living, and ecological space area, and explore the driving factors behind it. This paper expects to provide suggestions for land use planning and sustainable development of resources and the environment in the same type of nature reserves.
Research methodology and data sources
Study area overview
China’s Qilian Mountain Nature Reserve (Fig. 1) is located at the border of Qinghai and Gansu provinces on the northern edge of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, at an altitude of 1684 ~ 5604 m, with geographical coordinates of 94°10'–103°04'E, 35°50'–39°19'N. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau in the south and the Hexi Corridor in the north, with diverse natural ecosystems and abundant wildlife resources, are extremely important glaciers, water conservancy ecological function areas, wildlife migration corridors, biological resource banks, and genetic banks in China, as well as important ecological function areas and safety barriers. The reserve is located in the continental climate zone of the plateau, with strong solar radiation, large temperature difference between day and night, long cold season, short warm season, distinct dry and wet seasons, rain, and heat in the same season. The average annual temperature is below 4 ℃, the maximum extreme temperature is 37.6 ℃, and the minimum extreme temperature is − 35.8 ℃. The average annual precipitation is 400 mm. The protected areas range from northwest to southeast, with a narrow strip of land covering a total area of 5.02 × 104 km2 and involving eight nature reserves, with 27,500 km2 of core reserves and 22,700 km2 of general control areas. With rapid economic and social development, the development and construction of the region have intensified, production and living space have begun to expand, and the contradiction between land supply and demand has become increasingly tense (Pan et al. 2022). Aligning production-living-ecological with economic development, resolving the contradiction of land supply and demand, and optimizing the land use structure have become urgent problems in the Qilian Mountain Nature Reserve.
Data source
This research relies on remote sensing data and socioeconomic development data. The land use remote sensing data were obtained from the Resource and Environment Science Data Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (http://www.resdc.cn). Landsat TM/OLI remote sensing images with cloud coverage < 10% from June to September were selected with a spatial resolution of 30 m and kappa coefficients, all greater than 0.88. Five periods of current land use data were generated for 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020. Average elevation and average slope factors were obtained from geospatial data from cloud DEM. Based on the land use classification system and relevant studies (**e et al. 2021; Deng and Yang 2021), land use space types are divided into four categories: production space, living space, ecological space, and unused land. Socioeconomic development data come from county and municipal statistical yearbooks, statistical bulletins and the “Gansu Statistical Yearbook,” the “Qinghai Statistical Yearbook,” and the “China County Statistical Yearbook.” Data for Ganzhou District were not available around 2000 and were supplemented by data for 2001. The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 had a devastating impact on tourism, so total tourism revenue for 2020 was replaced with data from 2019. Some counties and cities with missing data were supplemented by linear interpolation (Table 1).
Research methodology
Entropy method
The entropy method is an objective assignment method, which can avoid the subjective influence in weight acquisition. Based on cross-sectional data, the entropy value method is used to determine the weight of the indicators of regional production-living-ecological functions. The linear weighting method is used to calculate the comprehensive functions score of counties and cities in the Qilian Mountains area for the corresponding years and to make the corresponding image. The steps are as follows (Gong et al. 2022; Li et al. 2020).
-
(1)
Set the indicators. There are m counties and cities, n evaluation indicators, and T years, which together constitute the initial global evaluation matrix.
$$X={\left\{{x}_{ij}^{t}\right\}}_{{m}_{T\times n}}$$(1)
In formula (1), \({x}_{\mathrm{i}j}^{t}\) represents the j-th index value of the i-th counties and cities in year t.
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(2)
Process the data. To avoid the interference of dimensionality and positive and negative orientations among the indicators, the data matrix was standardized dimensionless using polarization normalization. To eliminate the effect of negative and zero on the results of the algorithm, the data were shifted and the positive indicators were normalized using formula (2):
$${{y}^{t}}_{i\dot{J}}=\frac{{x}_{ij}^{t}-{x}_{j\mathrm{min}}}{{x}_{j\mathrm{max}-}-{x}_{j\mathrm{min}}}+0.01$$(2)
In formula (2), i = 1,2, …, m; j = 1,2, …, n; t = 1,2, …, T.
Formula (3) is used for negative indicators:
In formula (3), i = 1,2, …, m; j = 1,2, …, n; t = 1,2, …, T.
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(3)
Calculate the entropy value.
$${e}_{j}=-k\sum\nolimits_{t=1}^{T}\sum\nolimits_{i=1}^{m}{{p}^{t}}_{ij}\mathrm{ln}{p}_{ij}^{t}$$(4)
In formula (4), ej is the entropy value of the j-th index. \(p_{ij}^t=y_{ij}^{t'}\)/\(\sum_{t=1}^{T}\sum_{i=1}^{m}{{y}^{t}}_{ij}\), \({p}_{ij}^{t}\) is the share of the i-th indicator value in year t under the j-th indicator. k = 1/ln(mT), k is determined by the number of counties and cities and the number of years.
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(4)
Determine weights.
$${w}_{j}=(1-{e}_{j})/\sum\nolimits_{j=1}^{n}(1-{e}_{j})$$(5)
In formula (5), \({w}_{j}\) is the weight of the j-th indicator. 0 ≤ \({w}_{j}\) ≤ 1, \(\sum_{j=1}^{n}{w}_{j}=1\). The details are shown in Table 2.
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(5)
Calculate the production-living-ecological functions comprehensive evaluation score.
$${S}_{j}=\sum\nolimits_{j=1}^{n}{w}_{j}{{y}^{t}}_{i\dot{J}}$$(6)
In formula (6), \({s}_{j}\) is the composite score of the production-living-ecological functions, and \({w}_{j}\) is the weight of the index obtained.
Land use transfer matrix
The land use transfer matrix is a method to research the land use status and the different types of land use circulation and to reflect the structural characteristics of land use change (Mikelsone et al. 2021). The spatial analysis function of ArcGIS10.8 can summarize the spatial transfer matrix of the production, living, and ecological space from 2000 to 2005, 2005 to 2010, 2010 to 2015, and 2015 to 2020. This is the most accurate way to analyze the transformation of the functional structure of land use in China’s Qilian Mountains Nature Reserve. The mathematical expression is
In formula (7), \({S}_{ij}\) is the area km2 of land use type i transformed to j, i and j denote the land use types at the beginning and end of a research period, S denotes the land use area, and n denotes the number of land use types before and after land transfer.
Land use type dynamic attitude
The land use type dynamic attitude describes the rate of change of various types of land use over a certain period and reflects the result of the change of types of land use area, which is conducive to exploring the evolution patterns and driving factors of land use (**ao et al. 2022).
In formula (8), K denotes the dynamic attitude of a land use type during the study period, and T is the research period. Ua, Ub denote the area of that land use type at the beginning and end of the study period.
Kernel density estimation
Kernel density estimation is a non-parametric test based on unknown density function estimation, which can intuitively reflect the distribution probability (François-Rémi and Pierre-Yves 2022). In this paper, the kernel density estimation method is used to analyze the spatial distribution characteristics of the transformed area of production, living, and ecological space. Convert different functional patch elements into point elements, calculate the data clustering in the region, and create point peaks or kernels to create smooth and continuous surfaces with density values indicating the distribution of sample points within the study area. Estimating the kernel density can help to understand the location distribution characteristics of the area transformation of the production, living, and ecological space in China’s Qilian Mountains area and provide a scientific basis for land space optimization. The kernel density estimation is calculated as follows.
In formula (9), \({F}_{n}\left(x\right)\) is the kernel density estimate of the production, living, and ecological space transitions to and from the surface. h is the search radius (m). k is the kernel density function. n is the number of samples of the production, living, and ecological space transitions to and from the centroid. \(x-{x}_{i}\) is the estimated distance between two centroids (m).
Geodetector
Geodetector is a statistical method for detecting spatial differentiation and revealing the driving forces behind them. It is not subject to excessive conditions (Wang and Xu 2017) and overcomes the shortcomings of traditional statistical methods for dealing with variables. Geodetector is used to quantitatively assess the factors affecting the production-living-ecological functions of the research area and the intensity of their influence; factor detection is used to detect the spatial heterogeneity of Y and the degree to which a certain factor X explains the spatial heterogeneity of Y. Combining the characteristics of the study area and data accessibility, the research selects the production-living-ecological functional drivers from both natural and socioeconomic and uses factor detection and interaction detection to study the spatial pattern changes of the production-living-ecological functions in China’s Qilian Mountains area and the interaction among the drivers. The formula for differentiation and factor detection is below:
In formula (10), \({q}_{D}\) is the degree of influence of driver D on the driving changes in the spatial pattern of the three lives, \({q}_{D}\in\)[0,1]; \({q}_{D}\) = 0 means that the driver is completely unrelated to the spatial change of the production, living, and ecological space, and the larger the value of \({q}_{D}\), the stronger the driver’s ability to explain the change in the spatial pattern of the production, living, and ecological space, and the weaker the opposite. \({q}_{D}\) = 1 indicates that the driver fully controls the spatial pattern change of the production, living, and ecological space. n is the number of samples in the study area. \({{\sigma }_{i}}^{2}\) is the variance of the spatial rate of change of the three lives in the region. i represents the group category for driver D. m is the total number of partitions for driver D.
Interaction is detected by comparing the influence of each factor on the variable independently or after interaction and determining the strength of the influence. There are five kinds of interaction between two factors: nonlinear attenuation, two-factor enhancement, single-factor nonlinear attenuation, nonlinear enhancement, and mutual independence.
Results and analysis
Analysis of the spatial distribution pattern and evolution characteristics
According to the evaluation system of production-living-ecological functions in China’s Qilian Mountains area, the synthetic score is calculated by ArcGIS10.8 natural breakpoint method. The results of production-living-ecological functions are divided into four regional categories: low-value, medium–low value, medium–high value, and high-value. The distribution and evolution characteristics of each are analyzed.
Production functions: From 2000 to 2015, China’s Qilian Mountains area showed a year-on-year increase in the composite index score of production function (Fig. 2). COVID-19 affected the production and service functions of Linze and Shandan in the north in 2020. The development trend in the north was better than those in the east and south, and the production and functions in Gansu were better than in Qinghai. High-value production function areas and medium–high-value areas were distributed in Liangzhou, Yongchang, Shandan, and Minle. The flat terrain and convenient transportation contribute to better economic production conditions, attracting technology, talent, and capital. Industry agglomeration capacity laid a good foundation for ecotourism.
Low and medium–low-value areas were concentrated in the eastern and southern Qilian Mountains region. More than 80% of the land in the region was hilly and mountainous with closed transportation, low economic density, limited industrial development conditions, and a weak production service infrastructure. High-value areas should spread production functions outward, optimize industrial structure and transportation capacity, and build up underdeveloped areas such as Menyuan and Qilian. At the same time, the management should introduce policies to develop ecotourism and other green industries to protect ecological sustainability. (Remarks: 1. Suzhou; 2. Gaotai; 3. Linze; 4. Sunan; 5. Ganzhou; 6. Minle; 7. Qilian; 8. Shandan; 9. Yongchang; 10. Liangzhou; 11. Gulang; 12. Menyuan; 13. Tianzhu.)
Living functions: From 2000 to 2020, there was a clear distribution of living functions in the Qilian Mountains area (Fig. 3). The comprehensive value gradually increased, and there was considerable overlap with the distribution of production functions. From 2000 to 2005, there was a slight decline in the living functions of Sunan and Minle. With better commercial services and social security conditions, the standard of living in the Qilian Mountains area has risen. From 2010 to 2015, the standard of living in the Qilian Mountains area tended to be favorable. COVID-19 caused some decline in living standards.
The low and middle-low-value areas are in Menyuan and Qilian in Qinghai, Gulang, and Tianzhu in Gansu. These areas were located at the eastern end of the Qilian Mountains and the southern end of the Daban Mountains, with mountainous hills, complex topography, vast differences in altitude height, substandard living conditions, poor quality of arable land, and weak infrastructure and services. Since rapid economic development has led to a severe population decline in rural areas, regional development should be coordinated to promote adequate and habitable living space.
Ecological functions: The pattern of ecological functions change in the Qilian Mountains area was obvious from 2000 to 2020 (Fig. 4). The high and medium–high-value areas were located in Menyuan and Qilian in Qinghai, where ecological functions were intact and biodiversity was concentrated. Low and medium–low-value areas were distributed in northern Liangzhou and Gaotai. These areas were densely populated industrial clusters. Large-scale economic production and construction have a great influence on the ecological environment, and the ecological service functions are poor.
From 2000 to 2010, the value of ecological functions showed an upward trend. Between 2010 and 2015, the ecological service functions in the research area were significantly weakened, ecological service functions in the areas of Sunan, Menyuan, and Tianzhu deteriorated, and ecological damage was severe. Large-scale mining, illegal construction of hydropower facilities, and reckless ecotourism at the expense of resource protection brought environmental problems to the fore. In 2017, the state enacted protection policies and launched special measures to improve the environment. The ecological functions of the Mengyuan and Sunan areas were alleviated. The Qilian Mountains area, as a fragile ecosystem, should take advantage of the ecological functions of the south to construct ecological barriers and clear the ecological space.
Changes in the production, living, and ecological space
Figure 5 showed that among the production, living, and ecological space in the Qilian Mountains area in five periods, the largest ecological functional space was the south-central region, which covered the central and southern regions. The second was the unused land, which was distributed in the south-central ecological block northwest of the Qilian Mountains. The living space was the smallest, dotting the eastern and northern Qilian Mountains. The trend of spatial change in land use function from 2000 to 2020 was as follows. Production and living space continued to increase, but ecological space and unused land decreased.
According to Table 2, with population growth and social and economic development in the counties surrounding the Qilian Mountains, demand for and supply of agricultural production and urban living space have grown. In 2020, the living space was 1029.48 km2, nearly twice what it had been in 2000, and the production space has increased to 858.5 km2. From 2000 to 2010, both increased significantly and the area of unused land shrank, indicating the accelerated reclamation and development of unused land. Between 2000 and 2020, the area of unused land decreased by 1068.76 km2 as production and living space increased, indicating that the changes in production and living space in the research area have a greater impact on unused land. The increase or decrease in the area remained consistent over the four periods, indicating some correlations.
Although the Qilian Mountains area has the smallest proportion of living space, problems have arisen with urbanization and the development of ecotourism. The increase in demand for production and living space, the blind pursuit of economic benefits generated by ecotourism, and the neglect of ecological, environmental protection have led to a reduction in the area of ecological space. This area should protect the ecological environment while planning the layout of production and living space, reclaiming unused land, improving soil erosion, and laying the foundation for sustainable regional economic and ecological development (Table 3).
Analysis of the evolution of land use function in the Qilian Mountains area
To explore the conversion model of land use function type in the Qilian Mountains area, the land use transformation matrix from 2000 to 2005, 2005 to 2010, 2010 to 2015, 2015 to 2020, and 2000 to 2020 was obtained (Table 4), and the distribution for 2000–2020 was visualized (Fig. 6).
The results of the analysis showed that the transfer areas of production and living space from 2000 to 2020 were 1437.96 km2 and 404.02 km2, respectively. The increase in production space was concentrated in the northern (Ganzhou, Linze, Shandan) and northwestern (Suchuan, Gaotai) parts of the research area and came mainly from the transfer of ecological space and unused land. With the rapid development of agriculture and industry, production space continues to occupy ecological space, causing pollution and other problems. The highest conversion rates were recorded in 2005–2010 and 2015–2020, with conversion areas of 431.19 km2 and 404.03 km2, respectively.
During production, the regions of Gao Tai, Linze, and Ganzhou have converted unused desert, saline land, and wasteland into productive economic spaces, increased the area of cultivated land, solved problems such as soil erosion, and set an example for other regions. The increased living space comes from 146.14 km2 of production space and 184.33 km2 of unused land in central Liangzhou and southeastern Yongchang. With urbanization, living space has consumed production resources, but there is also unused land. A total of 1004.49 km2 of ecological space has been transformed into unused land in the northern part of Qilian County and the central part of Menyuan County in Qinghai Province. Grassland degradation, lake shrinkage, and river decline have limited the possibility of ecologically sustainable development. It is necessary to strengthen the ecological restoration and emergency protection of ecological functions, establish an ecological, environmental monitoring network, improve the ecological governance system, and improve ecological protection capabilities. About 1147.43km2 in the southwest of the study area has been transformed into an ecological space which provides references for ecologically degradation area through the closure of mountains for forest cultivation, strengthening of comprehensive management and the implementation of green projects such as ecotourism.
In terms of types of land transfers (Table 5), the area of production space changed the most among the production, living, and ecological space (49.56%) and showed a year-on-year increase, with the fastest increase in 2015–2020 (16.56%). The change in ecological space was − 0.52%, with only positive changes between 2015 and 2020. In terms of land use dynamics (Table 6), the production space grew steadily and the dynamic share of living space increased, peaking at 3.31% in 2015–2020.
From 2000 to 2005, the change in land use in ecological space showed a negative trend, indicating that human activities squeezed ecological space, and over-exploitation of natural resources caused pollution. From 2015 to 2020, the dynamics of land use increased, consistent with the trend of the magnitude of change, indicating that the local governments recognized the contradiction between human and ecological space and formulated conservation policies to resolve that contradiction. From 2000 to 2020, the dynamics of unused land were negative, indicating that with population growth, unused land was developed, which alleviated the land use problem of production, living, and ecological space.
Spatial differentiation characteristics
To study the functional transformation characteristics of production, living, and ecological space in the Qilian Mountains area and to analyze the spatial distribution pattern, the production space patches transferred in were defined as patches increasing in 2020 compared with 2000, and the production space patches transferred out were defined as patches decreasing in 2020 compared with 2000. The other three spatial types were defined in the same way and mapped in ArcGIS (Fig. 7).
The evolution of production, living, and ecological space in the Qilian Mountains area is uneven. Production space increased significantly, concentrated in Suzhou, Gaotai, Linze, and Ganzhou in Gansu Province, while Mengyuan and Qilian in Qinghai Province have not noticeably changed. The living space did not change significantly, but there has been a small increase in central Liangzhou and western Suzhou. The decrease in ecological space was more obvious, concentrated in the south-central part of Yongchang and the northern part of Qilian-Sunan overlap, with a significant increase in central Suzhou.
The decrease in unused land was concentrated in the western and northern parts of the research area, while growth was observed in northern and southern Qilian, Subei, and central Yongchang. It was consistent with the decrease in ecological space in the region, indicating that desertification in the region was due to unfavorable ecological protection systems and that the implementation of institutional policies and rational use of mountain resources have become particularly important.
To study the spatial variations of the functional transition in the Qilian Mountains area, kernel density analysis was introduced. The density and scale of the conversion of production, living, and ecological space were researched by changing the number of patches to points in Fig. 7, and the spatial differentiation characteristics were analyzed, as shown in Fig. 8.
It can be seen from Fig. 8a,b that the area of production space transferred in 2000–2020 showed obvious spatial clustering characteristics, and the kernel density values transferred in were significantly larger than those that were transferred out. The high-value areas were mainly distributed in Su Zhou, Gaotai, Linze, and Ganzhou.
The spatial distribution concentration of production space was less concentrated than increases, and the high-value areas were distributed in Gulang and Liangzhou. The spatial clustering of the increase in living space was high, and the areas with high kernel density values were distributed in Yongchang, Liangzhou, and Ganzhou, with a kernel density value of 0.101. The kernel density transferred out from living space to other spaces was low, with a density maximum of only 0.012. The decrease of ecological space was the most obvious feature of production, living, and ecological space evolution in the Qilian Mountains area (Fig. 8f). The spatial clustering of ecological space reduction was very high, and its high kernel density area was located in Yongchang and Menyuan, with values as 0.382.
The high-value areas of ecological space transfer were widely distributed, the spatial agglomeration was low, the uniformity was high, and their kernel density value was 0.258. The result shows that the area converted from ecological conservation space to other spaces in the unit was larger than the area transferred from other functions to ecological conservation space.
From 2000 to 2020, the area of ecological space in the Qilian Mountains area declined, consistent with previous research. Figure 8g,h showed that the spatial clustering of the reduced area of unused land in the Qilian Mountains area was higher than the increased area of unused land. The decrease in the area of unused land was in Suzhou, Gaotai, Linze, and Ganzhou, which were areas with a greater increase in production space, and consistent with the previous analysis that the spatial area of unused land in the Qilian Mountains area was decreasing. The high-value area of unused land increase was located in Yongchang, Menyuan, and other regions with high spatial concentration and the highest value of kernel density was 0.318.
The driving forces of divergences in the Qilian Mountains area
Analysis of impact factors
The evolution of the spatial pattern was influenced by the combination of geographical and socioeconomic factors. Geographical and socioeconomic factors were probed by the geodetector.
Based on the literature (Zhao et al. 2019; Tang 2015) and combined with the study area, the average elevation (X1) and average slope (X2) of the districts and counties were selected as the two natural geography factors. GDP per capita (X3), secondary industry value added (X4), tertiary industry value added(X5), residential electricity consumption (X6), total power of agricultural machinery (X7), the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery (X8), sulfur dioxide emission from industrial exhaust (X9), crop sown area (X10), disposable income of residents (X11), industrial wastewater emission (X12), population density (X13), and tourism income (X14), a total of 12 socioeconomic factors, were selected as the independent variables. The production, living, and ecological space area in different periods in Qilian Mountains was used as the dependent variable; the natural geography and socioeconomic factors were detected. The resultant q-values characterize the magnitude of a factor’s explanatory power to spatial differentiation factor, and p-values less than 0.05.
The analysis of Fig. 9 shows that the average altitude has a strong influence on living space. The influencing factors on living space and ecological space were quite different, and the slope has a stable effect on production, living, and ecological space. GDP per capita, residential electricity consumption, the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, sulfur dioxide emission from the industrial exhaust, and population density were the main drivers of the evolution of production spatial patterns. From 2000 to 2020, the interpretive power of GDP per capita and population density gradually increased, while the interpretive power of the added value of secondary industry decreased year by year. GDP per capita, secondary industry value added, residential electricity consumption, disposable income of residents, and population density were the main drivers of changes in the living space area. The explanatory power of residential electricity consumption and per capita income was increasing, but the value added to the tertiary sector was declining. The disposable income of residents and population density were driven by the evolution of ecological space.
Between 2000 and 2020, the influence of GDP per capita, secondary industry value added, disposable income of residents, population density, and tourism income on the area of ecological space has increased significantly, and the binding effect of tertiary industry value added on the layout of ecological space has decreased. The main drivers of living space and production space were the same, indicating that as the population continued to grow, so did the demand for production and living space. The total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery and the scale of the industry directly determine the area of production and living space and influence the expansion of both. When economic conditions are favorable, the expansion of construction and exploitation of resources has increased ecological pressure.
Qilian Mountains is an extremely important ecological function area of water conservation and a natural barrier to ecological security in western China. It is particularly important to strengthen the ecological space protection in Qilian Mountains, coordinate local green and high-quality development, and pay attention to the transformation and improvement of the spatial distribution of the land.
Interaction analysis of impact factors
Figure 10 shows the results of the interaction detection analysis using 14 types of impact factors. The interaction between any two factors is either bidirectional or nonlinear, and there was no independent or mutually debilitating relationship. The interaction between any two factors has a greater effect on the production, living, and ecological space than a single factor. The evolution of the production, living, and ecological space in the Qilian Mountains area was influenced by a combination of factors. The higher the q value of the interaction, the greater the influence of two reciprocal counterpart factors on a certain type of production, living, and ecological space.
Between 2000 and 2010, the factors with the strongest impact on production space were residential domestic electricity consumption ∩ population density (0.81, 0.84, 0.86), and between 2010 and 2020, the factors with the strongest impact on production space were secondary industry value added ∩ residential domestic electricity consumption (0.69), crop sown area ∩ population density (0.87), and secondary industry value added ∩ industrial wastewater emissions (0.87). Over the entire 20-year period, the interaction of population density with all other factors was higher, which was related to the stronger univariate explanatory power of population density on production space. Increased population density led to an increase in space demand for agriculture and industry, which has the highest explanatory power for production space.
The analysis of living space showed that the factors with the strongest interaction effects were GDP per capita ∩ disposable income of residents (0.66), tertiary industry value added ∩ tourism income (0.66), the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery ∩ disposable income of residents (0.69), secondary industry value added ∩ electricity consumption of residents (0.69), and total agricultural machinery power ∩ population density (0.82). Over time, the overall q value of the interaction gradually increases, and the interaction of factors affecting the living space increases year by year. The impact of tourism income, the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, and secondary industry value added to have more influence on production space than other interaction factors.
The factors that interacted most strongly with ecological space were the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery ∩ crop sown area (0.68), the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery ∩ resident disposable income (0.66), resident domestic electricity consumption ∩ population density (0.76), resident domestic electricity consumption ∩ population density (0.69), total agricultural machinery power ∩ crop sown area (0.68), resident domestic electricity consumption ∩ population density (0.68), and the total output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery ∩ disposable income of residents (0.68). Factors such as increasing population density, expansion of agricultural land, and increasing disposable income of the population have increased their restrictive effect on ecological space. It verified that anthropogenic disturbance was the dominant influence on ecological, spatial, and functional differentiation.
Discussion and conclusion
Discussion
The production and living function index of the Qilian Mountains Nature Reserve generally showed an increasing trend, and the ecological function index decreased during the study period. This indicates that the study area has not reconciled the relationship between economic development and the ecological environment. Previous studies (Liu et al. 2022; Wu et al. 2021) have shown that increasing economic levels at the expense of resources and the environment is not the best path to development. It is recommended that the local government should adjust its development strategy, establish an ecological barrier, and promote the harmonious development of humans and nature.
Data availability
The data that support the findings of this research are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
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Funding
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant numbers [41661107] and the Gansu Province Philosophy and Social Sciences Project [YB038].
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All the authors contributed to the study’s conception and design. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by Ruitao Zhao. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Ruitao Zhao. Yaobin Wang revised the content of the article. Yaobin Wang corrected the article according to the comments and the requested changes. All the authors commented on the previous versions of the manuscript. All the authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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Wang, Y., Zhao, R., Li, Y. et al. Research on the evolution and the driving forces of land use classification for production, living, and ecological space in China’s Qilian Mountains Nature Reserve from 2000 to 2020. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30, 64949–64970 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26857-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-26857-x