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Measuring the effect of management on production: a two-tier stochastic frontier approach

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Abstract

We revisit the production frontier of a firm, and we examine the effects that the firm’s management has on output. In order to estimate these effects using a cross-sectional sample while avoiding the costly requirement of obtaining data on management as a production factor, we develop a two-tier stochastic frontier model where management is treated as a latent variable. The model is consistent with the microeconomic theory of the firm, and it can estimate the effect of management on the output of a firm in monetary terms from different angles, separately from inefficiency. The approach can thus contribute to the cost–benefit analysis related to the management system of a company, and it can facilitate research related to management pay and be used in studies of the determinants of management performance. We also present an empirical application, where we find that the estimates from our latent-variable model align with the results obtained when we use the World Management Survey scores that provide a measure of management.

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Notes

  1. We draw here also from Papadopoulos (2020b) that surveys 70 years of related empirical research.

  2. Such a link between human capital and management quality has been found in Bender et al. (2018). Brea-Solís et al. (2015) stress the distinction between the designed management system and its implementation, or “how the levers are pulled” in their words.

  3. Bloom et al. (2013a, p.21) define “more structured” as “more specific, formal, frequent or explicit.”

  4. See EU’s “Annual report on European SMEs 2016/2017” https://doi.org/10.2873/742338. For a UK survey that targets management practices in SMEs, see Forth and Bryson (2019).

  5. The author was referring to an unpublished MS thesis by R.W. Hardcopf in 1956 at Iowa State University. I take here the opportunity to thank Jeffrey Kushkowski, Business and Economics Librarian at the Iowa State University, for his assistance regarding obscure documents in his library.

  6. The single-firm focus has the flavor of Insider econometrics.

  7. See Sickles and Zelenyuk (2019, ch.4) for the relations between these concepts.

  8. For a fascinating account of how leadership and the business model of a firm contributed to its long-term success, see the case study in Brea-Solís et al. (2015).

  9. See Bloom and Van Reenen (2007, (2010) and Bloom et al. (2014a) for discussions about the heterogeneity of management practices across firms.

  10. Analogous is the “contingency model” in Management science.

  11. Technology as a recipe is not a new metaphor, see for example O’Donnell (2016), Kerstens et al. (2019).

  12. See Papadopoulos (2018, ch. 6) and its technical appendix for details.

  13. Tsionas (2015) analyzes in detail a profit-maximizing model with management and arrives at the same conclusion, namely, that economic optimization will result in a level of management below its technically optimal level, if one exists, or in general in a level that will leave some technical efficiency opportunities unrealized.

  14. For a review of the 2TSF framework and its diverse applications see Papadopoulos (2020c).

  15. For a discussion of this issue and an alternative explanation see Almanidis and Sickles (2011).

  16. The full data set is “Manufacturing: 2004-2010 combined survey data (AMP),” freely available at http://worldmanagementsurvey.org/survey-data/download-data/download-survey-data/.

  17. This criticism is also valid for the individual effects panel data model, when one wants to baptize the individual effect as a measure of management.

  18. The two-tier stochastic frontier model was developed for panel data sets in Polachek and Yoon (1996). An alternative methodology is described in Papadopoulos (2020c).

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Correspondence to Alecos Papadopoulos.

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Appendices

Appendices

1.1 A The distribution of management

Introduced by Stacy (1962), the Generalized Gamma distribution has density

$$\begin{aligned} f_m(m) = \frac{p}{\alpha ^d \mathrm{\Gamma }(d/p)} m^{d-1}\exp \{-m^p/\alpha ^p\},\;\;\; \alpha ,p,d>0. \end{aligned}$$

Assume a subfamily of this distribution with \(p=d=\gamma <1,\; \alpha >0\). Then the density becomes

$$\begin{aligned} f_m(m) = \frac{\gamma }{\alpha ^\gamma } m^{\gamma -1}\exp \{-m^\gamma /\alpha ^\gamma \},\;\;\; \alpha >0, 0< \gamma <1. \end{aligned}$$

Consider the random variable \(w=m^\gamma \). We have

$$\begin{aligned} w=m^\gamma \implies m = w^{1/\gamma } \implies \frac{\partial m}{\partial w} = \frac{1}{\gamma } w^{(1/\gamma ) -1}. \end{aligned}$$

Applying a change of variables, the density of w is

$$\begin{aligned} f_w(w)= & {} \left| \frac{\partial m}{\partial w}\right| \cdot f_m(w^{1/\gamma }) = \frac{1}{\gamma } w^{(1/\gamma ) -1} \cdot \frac{\gamma }{\alpha ^\gamma } \left[ w^{1/\gamma }\right] ^{\gamma -1}\exp \{-[w^{1/\gamma }]^\gamma /\alpha ^\gamma \}\\&\quad \implies f_w(w) = \frac{1}{\alpha ^\gamma }\exp \{-w/\alpha ^\gamma \}. \end{aligned}$$

But this is the density of an Exponential random variable with scale parameter \(\sigma _w =\alpha ^\gamma \).

B Distribution and moments of management metrics

We derive below the distribution of the various metrics we use in the main text, under the assumption that the variables wu follow Exponential distributions and are independent.

1.1 B.1 Management contribution to output

Applying the change-of-variables technique, we have

$$\begin{aligned} {{\mathrm{Mc}}} = 1- e^{-w} \implies w = -\ln (1- {{\mathrm{Mc}}}) \implies \frac{\partial w}{\partial {{\mathrm{Mc}}}} = \frac{1}{1-{{\mathrm{Mc}}}}. \end{aligned}$$

Then

$$\begin{aligned} f_{{{\mathrm{Mc}}}}({{\mathrm{Mc}}}) = \frac{1}{1-{{\mathrm{Mc}}}} \frac{1}{\sigma _w}\exp \left\{ \frac{-1}{\sigma _w} \big [-\ln (1- {{\mathrm{Mc}}})\big ]\right\} = \frac{1}{\sigma _w} \left( 1-{{\mathrm{Mc}}}\right) ^{1/\sigma _w -1}. \end{aligned}$$

This is the density of a Beta distribution, with parameters \(\alpha =1, \beta =1/\sigma _w\), and applying the moment expressions for the specific parameters we obtain

$$\begin{aligned} E({{\mathrm{Mc}}})= & {} \frac{\alpha }{\alpha +\beta }=\frac{1}{1+1/\sigma _w}=\frac{\sigma _w}{1+\sigma _w},\\ \mathrm{Var(Mc)}= & {} \frac{\alpha \beta }{(\alpha + \beta )^2(\alpha +\beta +1)} = \frac{1/\sigma _w}{(1 + 1/\sigma _w)^2(2+1/\sigma _w)} \\= & {} \frac{1/\sigma _w}{(1+\sigma _w)^2(1+2\sigma _w)}\cdot \frac{1}{1/\sigma _w^3}\\= & {} \frac{\sigma _w^2}{(1+\sigma _w)^2(1+2\sigma _w)} \implies \mathrm{SD(Mc)}=\frac{E({{\mathrm{Mc}}})}{\sqrt{1+2\sigma _w}} \end{aligned}$$

Moreover, when one of the parameters of the Beta distribution is equal to unity, the distribution becomes identical to the Kumaraswamy distribution (see Jones 2009), which gives us a simple closed-form quantile function,

$$\begin{aligned} Q(p) = 1-(1-p)^{1/\beta } = 1-(1-p)^{\sigma _w},\;\;\;\ p \in (0,1). \end{aligned}$$

From this, we obtain

$$\begin{aligned} \mathrm{med(Mc)} = 1- 2^{-\sigma _w}. \end{aligned}$$

1.2 B.2 Management as an output shifter.

We have

$$\begin{aligned} {{\mathrm{Ms}}} = \exp \{w\} \implies \ln ({{\mathrm{Ms}}}) = w \implies \frac{\partial w}{\partial {{\mathrm{Ms}}}} = \frac{1}{{{\mathrm{Ms}}}}. \end{aligned}$$

Then

$$\begin{aligned} f_{{{\mathrm{Ms}}}}({{\mathrm{Ms}}}) = \frac{1}{{{\mathrm{Ms}}}} \frac{1}{\sigma _w}\exp \left\{ \frac{-1}{\sigma _w} \ln ({{\mathrm{Ms}}})\right\} = \frac{1/\sigma _w}{{{\mathrm{Ms}}}^{(1+1/\sigma _w)}}\,. \end{aligned}$$

This is the density of a Pareto distribution with minimum value 1 and shape parameter \(\alpha = 1/\sigma _w\).

If they exist, the moments are given by

$$\begin{aligned} E({{\mathrm{Ms}}})= & {} \frac{\alpha }{\alpha -1}=\frac{1/\sigma _w}{1/\sigma _w-1}=\frac{1}{1-\sigma _w},\\ \mathrm{Var(Ms)}= & {} \frac{\alpha }{(\alpha -1 )^2(\alpha -2)} = \frac{1/\sigma _w}{(1/\sigma _w -1)^2(1/\sigma _w-2)} \\= & {} \frac{1/\sigma _w}{(1-\sigma _w)^2(1-2\sigma _w)}\cdot \frac{1}{1/\sigma _w^3}\\= & {} \frac{\sigma _w^2}{(1-\sigma _w)^2(1-2\sigma _w)} \implies \mathrm{SD(Ms)}=\frac{\sigma _wE({{\mathrm{Ms}}})}{\sqrt{1-2\sigma _w}}. \end{aligned}$$

For the median of this Pareto distribution, we have the quantile function

$$\begin{aligned} Q({p}) = \frac{1}{(1-p)^{1/\alpha }} = \frac{1}{(1-p)^{\sigma _w}},\;\;\;\ p \in (0,1) \implies \mathrm{med(Ms)} = 2^{\sigma _w}. \end{aligned}$$

1.3 B.3 Technical efficiency

Here we have

$$\begin{aligned} \mathrm{TE} = e^{-u} \implies u = -\ln (\mathrm{TE}) \implies \frac{\partial u}{\partial \mathrm{TE}} = -\frac{1}{\mathrm{TE}}. \end{aligned}$$

Then

$$\begin{aligned} f_{\mathrm{TE}}(\mathrm{TE}) = \frac{1}{\mathrm{TE}} \frac{1}{\sigma _u}\exp \left\{ \frac{-1}{\sigma _u} \left[ -\ln (\mathrm{TE})\right] \right\} = \frac{1}{\sigma _u} \left( \mathrm{TE}\right) ^{1/\sigma _u -1}. \end{aligned}$$

This is the density of a Beta distribution, with parameters \(\alpha =1/\sigma _u, \beta =1\), and applying the moment expression for the specific parameters we obtain

$$\begin{aligned} E(\mathrm{TE})= & {} \frac{\alpha }{\alpha +\beta }=\frac{1/\sigma _u}{1+1/\sigma _u}=\frac{1}{1+\sigma _u},\\ \mathrm{Var(TE)}= & {} \frac{\alpha \beta }{(\alpha + \beta )^2(\alpha +\beta +1)} = \frac{1/\sigma _u}{(1 + 1/\sigma _u)^2(2+1/\sigma _u)} \\= & {} \frac{1/\sigma _u}{(1+\sigma _u)^2(1+2\sigma _u)}\cdot \frac{1}{1/\sigma _u^3}\\= & {} \frac{\sigma _u^2}{(1+\sigma _u)^2(1+2\sigma _u)} \implies \mathrm{SD(TE)}=\frac{\sigma _uE(\mathrm{TE})}{\sqrt{1+2\sigma _u}}. \end{aligned}$$

The quantile function here is

$$\begin{aligned} Q(p) = p^{1/\alpha } =p^{\sigma _u} ,\;\;\;\ p \in (0,1). \end{aligned}$$

From this we obtain

$$\begin{aligned} \mathrm{med(TE)} = 2^{-\sigma _u}. \end{aligned}$$

1.4 B.4 The management net multiplier

We are examining the random variable \(\exp \{z\},\;z = w-u\), with wu independent. When they exist, we can obtain the mean and standard deviation of \({{\mathrm{Mm}}} = \exp \{w-u\}\) using the moment generating function of the Exponential distribution,

$$\begin{aligned} E[e^{w-u}]= & {} E[\exp \{w\}] \cdot E[\exp \{-u\}]= \frac{1/\sigma _w}{(1/\sigma _w-1)}\frac{1/\sigma _u}{(1/\sigma _u+1)} \\= & {} [(1-\sigma _w)(1+\sigma _u)]^{-1}. \end{aligned}$$

For the variance, we need

$$\begin{aligned} E[\exp \{z\}^2]= & {} E[\exp \{2w\}\exp \{-2u\}]=\frac{1/\sigma _w}{(1/\sigma _w-2)}\frac{1/\sigma _u}{(1/\sigma _u+2)}\\= & {} [(1-2\sigma _w)(1+2\sigma _u)]^{-1}. \end{aligned}$$

So

$$\begin{aligned} \mathrm{Var(Mm)} = [(1-2\sigma _w)(1+2\sigma _u)]^{-1}- [(1-\sigma _w)(1+\sigma _u)]^{-2}. \end{aligned}$$

Regarding the median of this distribution, it is a well-known result that the difference of two independent Exponential random variables \(z = w-u\) has density

$$\begin{aligned} {{f}_{z}}\left( z \right)= & {} \frac{1}{{{\sigma }_{w}}+{{\sigma }_{u}}} {\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \text {exp}\left\{ {z}/{{{\sigma }_{u}}}\; \right\} \,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,z\le 0 \\ {} \\ \text {exp}\left\{ -{z}/{{{\sigma }_{w}}}\; \right\} \,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,z>0\,. \\ \end{array}\right. } \end{aligned}$$

This leads to the distribution function

$$\begin{aligned} F_Z(z)= {\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \frac{\sigma _u}{\sigma _w+\sigma _u}\exp \{z/\sigma _u\} &{} z \le 0 \\ \\ 1-\frac{\sigma _w}{\sigma _w+\sigma _u}\exp \{-z/\sigma _w\} &{} z > 0\,. \\ \end{array}\right. } \end{aligned}$$

For the \({{\mathrm{Mm}}}\) variable, we have

$$\begin{aligned} \Pr \left( e^z \le {{\mathrm{Mm}}}\right) = \Pr \left( z \le \ln {{\mathrm{Mm}}} \right) = F_{Z}\left( \ln {{\mathrm{Mm}}}\right) , \end{aligned}$$

and so

$$\begin{aligned} F_{{\mathrm{Mm}}}({{\mathrm{Mm}}})= {\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \frac{\sigma _u}{\sigma _w+\sigma _u}{{\mathrm{Mm}}}^{1/\sigma _u} &{} {{\mathrm{Mm}}} \le 1 \\ \\ 1-\frac{\sigma _w}{\sigma _w+\sigma _u}{{\mathrm{Mm}}}^{-1/\sigma _w} &{} {{\mathrm{Mm}}} > 1\,. \\ \end{array}\right. } \end{aligned}$$

The corresponding quantile function is

$$\begin{aligned} Q_{{\mathrm{Mm}}}({p})= {\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} \left( \frac{\sigma _w+\sigma _u}{\sigma _u}\cdot p \right) ^{\sigma _u} &{} 0< {p} \le \frac{\sigma _u}{\sigma _w+\sigma _u} \\ \\ \left( \frac{\sigma _w+\sigma _u}{\sigma _w}\cdot (1-p) \right) ^{-\sigma _w} &{} \frac{\sigma _u}{\sigma _w+\sigma _u}< {p} < 1 \,. \\ \end{array}\right. } \end{aligned}$$

From this, we can obtain the expression for the median shown in the main text.

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Papadopoulos, A. Measuring the effect of management on production: a two-tier stochastic frontier approach. Empir Econ 60, 3011–3041 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01946-9

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