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Article
Direct and Spillover Effects of Unconventional Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies
This paper explores the direct effects and spillovers of unconventional monetary and exchange rate policies. We find that official purchases of foreign assets have a large positive effect on a country’s curren...
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Article
The Ties that Bind: Measuring International Bond Spillovers Using Inflation-Indexed Bond Yields
This paper explores international bond spillovers using daily and weekly data on yields on inflation-indexed bonds and associated inflation expectations for the United States, Australia, Canada, France, Sweden...
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Article
Foreign Entanglements: Estimating the Source and Size of Spillovers Across Industrial Countries
Vector autoregressions of real growth since 1970 are used to estimate spillovers between the United States, the euro area, Japan, and an aggregate of smaller countries proxying for global shocks. U.S. and glob...
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Article
Rhyme or Reason: What Explains the Easy Financing of the U.S. Current Account Deficit?
This paper examines the roles of U.S. financial innovation, financial globalization, and the savings glut hypothesis in explaining the rise in U.S. external debt, first in a portfolio balance model, and then e...
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Article
New Rates from New Weights
This paper describes the result and the methodology of updating nominal and real effective exchange rate weights on the basis of trade data from 1999 to 2001. The underlying framework is an updated version of ...
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Article
A Peek inside the Black Box: The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Japan
This paper uses vector autoregressions to examine the monetary transmission mechanism in Japan. The empirical results indicate that both monetary policy and banks' balance sheets are important sources of shock...
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Article
Deviations of Exchange Rates from Purchasing Power Parity: A Story Featuring Two Monetary Unions
We examine the mean-reverting properties of real exchange rates, by comparing the unit root properties of a group of international real exchange rates with two groups of intranational real exchange rates. Stri...
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Article
A Provincial View of Economic Integration
This paper develops a method of testing levels of economic integration based upon consumption smoothing, and tests it using data on trade balances across Canadian provinces. The results indicate the provinces ...
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Article
Explaining Consumption: A Simple Test of Alternative Hypotheses
A method of testing the relative importance for consumption of risk-sharing behavior and changes in current income is proposed and estimated using data across Canadian provinces. The focus of the estimation is...
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Article
Currency Unions, Economic Fluctuations, and Adjustment: Some New Empirical Evidence
This paper examines the sources of disturbances to output in the United States and a set of European Union countries and analyzes labor market adjustment mechanisms in these two economic areas. Comparable data...
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Chapter
The Efficiency of National and Regional Stabilization Policies
The level at which stabilization policy is performed is shown to matter for its effectiveness. In particular, in a national (e.g. Canadian) context, Ricardian equivalence is expected to operate more fully at t...
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Article
European Monetary Unification: Implications of Research for Policy, Implications of Policy for Research
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Chapter
What can the Fiscal Systems in the United States and Canada Tell Us about EMU
The Maastricht Treaty on the move towards Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) raises the prospect of the establishment of a common currency area among EC countries without there being a common fiscal policy. Som...
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Chapter
Who Needs Bands? Exchange Rate Policy before EMU
Two issues are discussed. The first is which countries might benefit from entry into EMU before the millennium. Germany and her immediate neighbors appear the most likely to benefit; however, our knowledge is ...
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Article
Consumption, Income, and International Capital Market Integration
This paper uses consumption patterns across countries to measure capital market integration. It argues that earlier empirical tests of this type were potentially misspecified and proposes a more robust specifi...
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Article
Restraining Yourself: The Implications of Fiscal Rules for Economic Stabilization
State budgets played a significant macroeconomic role in the United States during the 1970s and 1980s. Their cyclical responsiveness was affected by the severity of statutory and constitutional fiscal restrain...
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Article
Relative Prices and Economic Adjustment in the United States and the European Union: A Real Story about EMU
Structural vector autoregressions are used to analyze the relationship between real output and relative prices within the European Union and the United States. Relative price variability appears to be more imp...
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Article
A Formal Model of Optimum Currency Areas
The paper presents a model of optimum currency areas using a general equilibrium approach with regionally differentiated goods. The choice of a currency union depends upon the size of the underlying disturbanc...
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Chapter
What can the Fiscal Systems in the United States and Canada Tell Us about EMU?
The Maastricht Treaty on the move towards Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) raises the prospect of the establishment of a common currency area among EC countries without there being a common fiscal policy. Som...
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Article
Do private capital markets insure regional risk? Evidence from the United States and Europe
A striking feature of international economic relations is the limited extent of intertemporal trade and risk-sharing among nations. This paper uses data on consumption, income, and production from regions of t...