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Open AccessAttribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021
In July 2021 extreme rainfall across Western Europe caused severe flooding and substantial impacts, including over 200 fatalities and extensive infrastructure damage within Germany and the Benelux countries. A...
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Article
Open AccessLarge-scale dynamics moderate impact-relevant changes to organised convective storms
Larger organised convective storms (mesoscale-convective systems) can lead to major flood events in Europe. Here we assess end-of-century changes to their characteristics in two convection-permitting climate s...
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Article
Differences in representation of extreme precipitation events in two high resolution models
High resolution regional climate models are needed to understand how climate change will impact extreme precipitation. Current state-of-the-art climate models are Convection Permitting Models (CPMs) at kilomet...
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Article
Open AccessThe first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution, part I: evaluation of precipitation
Here we present the first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale horizontal grid spacing over a decade long period. A total of 23 simulations run with a horizontal grid spacing...
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Article
Open AccessEurope-wide precipitation projections at convection permitting scale with the Unified Model
For the first time, we analyze 2.2 km UK Met Office Unified Model convection-permitting model (CPM) projections for a pan-European domain. These new simulations represent a major increase in domain size, allow...
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Pan-European climate at convection-permitting scale: a model intercomparison study
We investigate the effect of using convection-permitting models (CPMs) spanning a pan-European domain on the representation of precipitation distribution at a climatic scale. In particular we compare two 2.2 k...
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Open AccessProjected changes in extreme precipitation over Scotland and Northern England using a high-resolution regional climate model
The UK Met Office has previously conducted convection-permitting climate simulations over the southern UK (Kendon et al. in Nat Clim Change 4:570–576, 2014). The southern UK simulations have been followed up by a...
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Downturn in scaling of UK extreme rainfall with temperature for future hottest days
Extreme daily precipitation is thought to increase with warming at a rate of 6.5% per K. High-resolution simulations for the southern UK show this scaling for present conditions, but above 22 °C this scaling f...
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Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model
Changes in precipitation extremes are occurring under climate change, but how they will manifest on sub-daily timescales is uncertain. This study used a high-resolution model, typically used for weather foreca...
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Does increasing the spatial resolution of a regional climate model improve the simulated daily precipitation?
Three different resolution (50, 12, and 1.5 km) regional climate model simulations are compared in terms of their ability to simulate moderate and high daily precipitation events over the southern United Kingd...
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High-resolution subtropical summer precipitation derived from dynamical downscaling of the NCEP/DOE reanalysis: how much small-scale information is added by a regional model?
This study assesses the regional-scale summer precipitation produced by the dynamical downscaling of analyzed large-scale fields. The main goal of this study is to investigate how much the regional model adds ...
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Mixture of Automatically- and Manually-controlled Vehicles in Intelligent Transport Systems
This paper presents a technology which allows for the existence of mixed traffic, as a first step towards intelligent transport systems. We begin by designing an automatic driving controller called the intelli...
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Mixed Traffic Control Involving Manually-Controlled and Automatically-Controlled Vehicles in IVHS
Traffic congestion is a global problem. Intelligent Vehicle Highway Systems (IVHS) have been proposed to help solve this problem (see [1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9]). The works of [1, 2, 3] propose a fully automa...
