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  1. Article

    Open Access

    Dynamic updating of clinical survival prediction models in a changing environment

    Over time, the performance of clinical prediction models may deteriorate due to changes in clinical management, data quality, disease risk and/or patient mix. Such prediction models must be updated in order to...

    Kamaryn T. Tanner, Ruth H. Keogh in Diagnostic and Prognostic Research (2023)

  2. Article

    Estimating distribution of length of stay in a multi-state model conditional on the pathway, with an application to patients hospitalised with Covid-19

    Multi-state models are used to describe how individuals transition through different states over time. The distribution of the time spent in different states, referred to as ‘length of stay’, is often of inter...

    Ruth H. Keogh, Karla Diaz-Ordaz, Nicholas P. Jewell in Lifetime Data Analysis (2023)

  3. Article

    Open Access

    A comparison of covariate adjustment approaches under model misspecification in individually randomized trials

    Adjustment for baseline covariates in randomized trials has been shown to lead to gains in power and can protect against chance imbalances in covariates. For continuous covariates, there is a risk that the the...

    Mia S. Tackney, Tim Morris, Ian White, Clemence Leyrat, Karla Diaz-Ordaz in Trials (2023)

  4. Article

    Open Access

    Comparison of methods for predicting COVID-19-related death in the general population using the OpenSAFELY platform

    Obtaining accurate estimates of the risk of COVID-19-related death in the general population is challenging in the context of changing levels of circulating infection.

    Elizabeth J. Williamson, John Tazare in Diagnostic and Prognostic Research (2022)

  5. Article

    Open Access

    Importance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in England

    Predicting bed occupancy for hospitalised patients with COVID-19 requires understanding of length of stay (LoS) in particular bed types. LoS can vary depending on the patient’s “bed pathway” - the sequence of ...

    Quentin J. Leclerc, Naomi M. Fuller, Ruth H. Keogh in BMC Health Services Research (2021)

  6. No Access

    Article

    Robust Inference for Mediated Effects in Partially Linear Models

    We consider mediated effects of an exposure, X on an outcome, Y, via a mediator, M, under no unmeasured confounding assumptions in the setting where models for the conditional expectation of the mediator and outc...

    Oliver Hines, Stijn Vansteelandt, Karla Diaz-Ordaz in Psychometrika (2021)

  7. Article

    Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7

    SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7, a variant that was first detected in the UK in September 20201, has spread to multiple countries worldwide. Several studies have established that B.1.1.7 is more transmissible than pre...

    Nicholas G. Davies, Christopher I. Jarvis, W. John Edmunds, Nicholas P. Jewell in Nature (2021)

  8. No Access

    Article

    Using Animation to Self-Report Health: A Randomized Experiment with Children

    The Child Health Utility-9D (CHU-9D) is the only generic preference-based measure specifically developed to elicit health-related quality of life directly from children aged 7–11 years. The aim of this study w...

    Carla Guerriero, Neus Abrines Jaume in The Patient - Patient-Centered Outcomes Re… (2020)

  9. Article

    Open Access

    Co** with Persistent Pain, Effectiveness Research into Self-management (COPERS): statistical analysis plan for a randomised controlled trial

    The Co** with Persistent Pain, Effectiveness Research into Self-management (COPERS) trial assessed whether a group-based self-management course is effective in reducing pain-related disability in participant...

    Brennan C Kahan, Karla Diaz-Ordaz, Kate Homer, Dawn Carnes, Martin Underwood in Trials (2014)

  10. Article

    Open Access

    A systematic review of cluster randomised trials in residential facilities for older people suggests how to improve quality

    Previous reviews of cluster randomised trials have been critical of the quality of the trials reviewed, but none has explored determinants of the quality of these trials in a specific field over an extended pe...

    Karla Diaz-Ordaz, Robert Froud, Bart Sheehan in BMC Medical Research Methodology (2013)

  11. No Access

    Article

    Sturmian maximizing measures for the piecewise-linear cosine family

    Let T be the angle-doubling map on the circle \(\mathbb{T}\) , and consider the 1-parameter family of piecewise-linear...

    Vasso Anagnostopoulou, Karla Díaz-Ordaz in Bulletin of the Brazilian Mathematical Soc… (2012)

  12. Article

    Open Access

    Comparing diagnostic tests and biomarkers: trials in people with discordant test results

    Richard Hooper, Karla Díaz-Ordaz, Andrea Takeda, Khalid Khan in Trials (2011)