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Open AccessDynamic updating of clinical survival prediction models in a changing environment
Over time, the performance of clinical prediction models may deteriorate due to changes in clinical management, data quality, disease risk and/or patient mix. Such prediction models must be updated in order to...
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Estimating distribution of length of stay in a multi-state model conditional on the pathway, with an application to patients hospitalised with Covid-19
Multi-state models are used to describe how individuals transition through different states over time. The distribution of the time spent in different states, referred to as ‘length of stay’, is often of inter...
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Article
Open AccessA comparison of covariate adjustment approaches under model misspecification in individually randomized trials
Adjustment for baseline covariates in randomized trials has been shown to lead to gains in power and can protect against chance imbalances in covariates. For continuous covariates, there is a risk that the the...
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Open AccessComparison of methods for predicting COVID-19-related death in the general population using the OpenSAFELY platform
Obtaining accurate estimates of the risk of COVID-19-related death in the general population is challenging in the context of changing levels of circulating infection.
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Article
Open AccessImportance of patient bed pathways and length of stay differences in predicting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy in England
Predicting bed occupancy for hospitalised patients with COVID-19 requires understanding of length of stay (LoS) in particular bed types. LoS can vary depending on the patient’s “bed pathway” - the sequence of ...
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Article
Robust Inference for Mediated Effects in Partially Linear Models
We consider mediated effects of an exposure, X on an outcome, Y, via a mediator, M, under no unmeasured confounding assumptions in the setting where models for the conditional expectation of the mediator and outc...
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Article
Increased mortality in community-tested cases of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7
SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7, a variant that was first detected in the UK in September 20201, has spread to multiple countries worldwide. Several studies have established that B.1.1.7 is more transmissible than pre...
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Article
Using Animation to Self-Report Health: A Randomized Experiment with Children
The Child Health Utility-9D (CHU-9D) is the only generic preference-based measure specifically developed to elicit health-related quality of life directly from children aged 7–11 years. The aim of this study w...
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Article
Open AccessCo** with Persistent Pain, Effectiveness Research into Self-management (COPERS): statistical analysis plan for a randomised controlled trial
The Co** with Persistent Pain, Effectiveness Research into Self-management (COPERS) trial assessed whether a group-based self-management course is effective in reducing pain-related disability in participant...
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Open AccessA systematic review of cluster randomised trials in residential facilities for older people suggests how to improve quality
Previous reviews of cluster randomised trials have been critical of the quality of the trials reviewed, but none has explored determinants of the quality of these trials in a specific field over an extended pe...
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Article
Sturmian maximizing measures for the piecewise-linear cosine family
Let T be the angle-doubling map on the circle \(\mathbb{T}\) , and consider the 1-parameter family of piecewise-linear...
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Open AccessComparing diagnostic tests and biomarkers: trials in people with discordant test results