-
Article
Open AccessArea-covering postprocessing of ensemble precipitation forecasts using topographical and seasonal conditions
Probabilistic weather forecasts from ensemble systems require statistical postprocessing to yield calibrated and sharp predictive distributions. This paper presents an area-covering postprocessing method for e...
-
Article
Open AccessHow to create an operational multi-model of seasonal forecasts?
Seasonal forecasts of variables like near-surface temperature or precipitation are becoming increasingly important for a wide range of stakeholders. Due to the many possibilities of recalibrating, combining, a...
-
Article
Open AccessA monthly global paleo-reanalysis of the atmosphere from 1600 to 2005 for studying past climatic variations
Climatic variations at decadal scales such as phases of accelerated warming or weak monsoons have profound effects on society and economy. Studying these variations requires insights from the past. However, mo...
-
Article
Limits to global and Australian temperature change this century based on expert judgment of climate sensitivity
The projected warming of surface air temperature at the global and regional scale by the end of the century is directly related to emissions and Earth’s climate sensitivity. Projections are typically produced ...
-
Chapter
Causes of Regional Change—Aerosols
This chapter starts by introducing the complex nature of atmospheric aerosols, their sources, formation and properties and describes how they interact with . This is important background information for discu...
-
Chapter
Regional Evidence of Global Warming
This chapter assesses to what extent the factors causing global warming affect the Baltic Sea area. Summertime near-surface warming in northern Europe exceeds natural internal variability of the climate system...
-
Article
Open AccessThe expectation of future precipitation change over the Mediterranean region is different from what we observe
In this study we assess the role of anthropogenic forcing (greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols, GS) in recently observed precipitation trends over the Mediterranean region. We investigate whether the observ...
-
Article
Open AccessConsistency of observed near surface temperature trends with climate change projections over the Mediterranean region
We examine the possibility that anthropogenic forcing (Greenhouse gases and Sulfate aerosols, GS) is a plausible explanation for the observed near-surface temperature trends over the Mediterranean area. For th...
-
Article
Open AccessConsistency of observed winter precipitation trends in northern Europe with regional climate change projections
Often it is claimed that the recent changes in northern European climate are at least partly anthropogenic even though a human influence has not yet been successfully detected. Hence we investigate whether the...
