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Article
Open AccessScientific data from precipitation driver response model intercomparison project
This data descriptor reports the main scientific values from General Circulation Models (GCMs) in the Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP). The purpose of the GCM simulation...
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Chapter and Conference Paper
Cross-Sectoral Challenges for Adaptation Modelling
Socioeconomic studies on adaptation based on bottom-up approaches have been focusing mainly on local impacts of weather-related variations, thereby neglecting potential remote impacts. There is little knowledg...
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Article
Global Economic Responses to Heat Stress Impacts on Worker Productivity in Crop Production
The impacts of climate change on the food system are a key concern for societies and policy makers globally. Assessments of the biophysical impacts of crop productivity show modest but uncertain impacts. But c...
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Article
Publisher Correction: Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00981-9.
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Article
Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change research community has developed a scenario fram...
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Article
Author Correction: Better seasonal forecasts for the renewable energy industry
An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.
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Article
Better seasonal forecasts for the renewable energy industry
Anomalous seasons such as extremely cold winters or low-wind summers can seriously disrupt renewable energy productivity and reliability. Better seasonal forecasts providing more accurate information tailored ...
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Article
Open AccessFuture changes in atmospheric rivers and extreme precipitation in Norway
Flooding events associated with extreme precipitation have had large impacts in Norway. It is well known that these heavy precipitation events affecting Norway (and other parts of Europe) are strongly associat...
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Chapter
Physical Climate Risks and the Financial Sector—Synthesis of Investors’ Climate Information Needs
While investors are paying more attention to climate change, there is a lack of granular data designed to support financial decisions. Climate services can provide improved indicators and metrics to help inves...
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Article
Economic Losses of Heat-Induced Reductions in Outdoor Worker Productivity: a Case Study of Europe
European countries have experienced strong heat waves over the last two decades. The frequency and magnitude of such extreme weather events are expected to increase in the near future. Using an interdisciplina...
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Article
Open AccessExtreme wet and dry conditions affected differently by greenhouse gases and aerosols
Global warming due to greenhouse gases and atmospheric aerosols alter precipitation rates, but the influence on extreme precipitation by aerosols relative to greenhouse gases is still not well known. Here we u...
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Article
Open AccessHalf a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk
While every society can be exposed to heatwaves, some people suffer far less harm and recover more quickly than others from their occurrence. Here we project indicators of global heatwave risk associated with ...
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Article
Open AccessBlocking and its Response to Climate Change
Atmospheric blocking events represent some of the most high-impact weather patterns in the mid-latitudes, yet they have often been a cause for concern in future climate projections. There has been low confiden...
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Article
Extreme heat-related mortality avoided under Paris Agreement goals
In key European cities, stabilizing climate warming at 1.5 °C would decrease extreme heat-related mortality by 15–22% per summer compared with stabilization at 2 °C.
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Article
Open AccessAssessment of an extended version of the Jenkinson–Collison classification on CMIP5 models over Europe
A gridded, geographically extended weather type classification has been developed based on the Jenkinson–Collison (JC) classification system and used to evaluate the representation of weather types over Europe...
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Article
New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue
This Perspective considers how to better use and explore climate model output, considering whether statisticians can help achieve better design of ensembles and interpretation of output.
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Article
Open AccessHumid heat waves at different warming levels
The co-occurrence of consecutive hot and humid days during a heat wave can strongly affect human health. Here, we quantify humid heat wave hazard in the recent past and at different levels of global warming. W...
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Article
Open AccessPercentile indices for assessing changes in heavy precipitation events
Many climate studies assess trends and projections in heavy precipitation events using precipitation percentile (or quantile) indices. Here we investigate three different percentile indices that are commonly u...
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Article
Open AccessLocal biomass burning is a dominant cause of the observed precipitation reduction in southern Africa
Observations indicate a precipitation decline over large parts of southern Africa since the 1950s. Concurrently, atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases and aerosols have increased due to anthropogenic ...
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Article
Climate emergencies do not justify engineering the climate
Current climate engineering proposals do not come close to addressing the complex and contested nature of conceivable 'climate emergencies' resulting from unabated greenhouse-gas emissions.
