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Article
Correction to: The co-variability of SST and vertical wind shear on the variability of tropical cyclone intensity change in the Northern Hemisphere
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Article
The co-variability of SST and vertical wind shear on the variability of tropical cyclone intensity change in the Northern Hemisphere
The impact of the co-variability of sea surface temperature (SST) and vertical wind shear (VWS) on the variability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change (ΔV, defined as 24-h intensity change) in the northe...
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Reply to: Limitations of reanalyses for detecting tropical cyclone trends
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Open AccessPoleward migration as global warming’s possible self-regulator to restrain future western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone’s intensification
Poleward migration is an interesting phenomenon regarding the shift of Tropical Cyclones (TCs) towards higher latitudes. As climate warms, TCs’ intensification is promoted, and yet over certain oceans, TCs may...
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Open AccessDeclining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming
Assessing the role of anthropogenic warming from temporally inhomogeneous historical data in the presence of large natural variability is difficult and has caused conflicting conclusions on detection and attri...
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Open AccessHurricane stalling along the North American coast and implications for rainfall
The average speed of tropical cyclone (TC) translation has slowed since the mid 20th century. Here we report that North Atlantic (NA) TCs have become increasingly likely to “stall” near the coast, spending man...
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Reply to: Moon, I.-J. et al.; Lanzante, J. R.
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Article
Open AccessPast and Future Hurricane Intensity Change along the U.S. East Coast
The ocean and atmosphere in the North Atlantic are coupled through a feedback mechanism that excites a dipole pattern in vertical wind shear (VWS), a metric that strongly controls Atlantic hurricanes. In parti...
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Article
Author Correction: A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed
In this Letter, two errors in the methodology are corrected, leading to changes in Figs. 1–3 and Extended Data Figs. 1 and 2, although the essential results are not affected. The original Letter has been corre...
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A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed
As the Earth’s atmosphere warms, the atmospheric circulation changes. These changes vary by region and time of year, but there is evidence that anthropogenic warming causes a general weakening of summertime tr...
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Article
Hurricane intensification along United States coast suppressed during active hurricane periods
In general, if there are fewer Atlantic hurricanes, those near the US coast are more likely to intensify, whereas if there are many hurricanes, then those near the coast are more likely to weaken because of hi...
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Article
The poleward migration of the location of tropical cyclone maximum intensity
Analysis of global historical data in the Northern and Southern hemispheres reveals a statistically significant, poleward migration of 1° per decade in the average latitude at which tropical cyclones have achi...
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Climate Extremes: Challenges in Estimating and Understanding Recent Changes in the Frequency and Intensity of Extreme Climate and Weather Events
This paper focuses primarily on extremes in the historical instrumental period. We consider a range of phenomena, including temperature and precipitation extremes, tropical and extra-tropical storms, hydrologi...
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Evan et al. reply
Replying to B. Wang, S. Xu & L. Wu Nature 489, 10.1038/nature11470 (2012)
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Physical Climate Forces
More than 50 percent of Americans live in coastal watershed counties, a percentage that continues to increase (see section 1.3). In addition, the coast is home to the majority of major urban centers as well as...
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Article
Arabian Sea tropical cyclones intensified by emissions of black carbon and other aerosols
Strong vertical wind shear can prevent the formation of tropical cyclones, even when ocean temperatures are otherwise warm enough to brew them up. Amato Evan et al. now show that increased emissions of black carb...
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Article
Tropical cyclones and climate change
Whether the characteristics of tropical cyclones have altered, or will alter, in a changing climate has been subject of considerable debate. An overview of recent research indicates that greenhouse warming wil...
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Chapter
The International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS) Project: Overview of Methods and Indian Ocean Statistics
Despite the widespread interest in data that describes the distribution, frequency, and intensity of tropical cyclones worldwide, until recently no central repository for official data existed. Currently, ther...
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Open AccessHurricane track variability and secular potential intensity trends
Sea surface temperature in the tropical North Atlantic has been shown to co-vary with hurricane activity on a broad range of time-scales. One general hypothesis for this observed relationship is based on the t...
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Article
The increasing intensity of the strongest tropical cyclones
Although cyclones in the tropical Atlantic appear, on average, to be getting stronger in response to increasing ocean temperatures, no clear trends of this sort have been discerned in other tropical regions. A...
