![Loading...](https://link.springer.com/static/c4a417b97a76cc2980e3c25e2271af3129e08bbe/images/pdf-preview/spacer.gif)
-
Article
Open AccessSkilful prediction of Sahel summer rainfall on inter-annual and multi-year timescales
Summer rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa exhibits one of the largest signals of climatic variability and with a population reliant on agricultural productivity, the Sahel is particularly vulnerable to maj...
-
Article
Open AccessSelecting CMIP5 GCMs for downscaling over multiple regions
The unprecedented availability of 6-hourly data from a multi-model GCM ensemble in the CMIP5 data archive presents the new opportunity to dynamically downscale multiple GCMs to develop high-resolution climate ...
-
Article
Impact of soil moisture initialisation and lateral boundary conditions on regional climate model simulations of the West African Monsoon
In this study, we use the Met Office Hadley Centre regional climate model HadRM3P to investigate the relative impact of initial soil moisture (SM) and lateral boundary conditions (LBC) on simulations of the We...
-
Article
An intercomparison of regional climate simulations for Europe: assessing uncertainties in model projections
Ten regional climate models (RCM) have been integrated with the standard forcings of the PRUDENCE experiment: IPCC-SRES A2 radiative forcing and Hadley Centre boundary conditions. The response over Europe, cal...
-
Article
Detection of anthropogenic climate change using an atmospheric GCM
Atmosphere-only general circulation models are shown to be a useful tool for detecting an anthropogenic effect on climate and understanding recent climate change. Ensembles of atmospheric runs are all forced ...
-
Article
The global distribution of sources of atmospheric decadal variability and mechanisms over the tropical Pacific and southern North America
Understanding natural atmospheric decadal variability is an important element of climate research, and here we investigate the geographic and seasonal diversity in the balance between its competing sources. D...
-
Article
Oceanic forcing of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European climate
The weather over the North Atlantic Ocean, particularly in winter, is often characterized by strong eastward air-flow between the ‘Icelandic low’ and the ‘Azores high’, and by a ‘stormtrack’ of weather systems...
-
Chapter and Conference Paper
Experimental Seasonal Forecasting of Tropical Rainfall at the UK Meteorological Office
Research in several centres suggests that sea-surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) have a strong influence on seasonal circulation in the tropics (e.g. Nicholls 1987; Shukla and Fennessy 1988; Folland et al. ...