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Return and volatility spillovers in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from GCC Islamic and conventional banks

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Abstract

The dynamics of return and volatility spillover indices were investigated to reveal the strength and direction of transmission that occurred during a financial crisis. The focus of this study was especially placed on the 2007 US subprime mortgage crisis, the global financial crisis, the European sovereign debt crisis, and the dramatic collapse of oil prices since 2014. The paper uses the Diebold and Yilmaz (Economic Journal 119(534): 158–171, 2009, International Journal of Forecasting 28(1): 57–66, 2012) spillover index behavior. Assuming one structural break, return and volatility linkages for Islamic banks in the GCC were stronger than for conventional banks. When multiple breaks were allowed, the spillover index was found to be highly sensitive to various economic events. Overall, the findings of this study provide new insights into the behavior of the Islamic and conventional banks stock returns and volatility spillovers, which may improve investment decisions and the trading strategies portfolio of investors.

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Notes

  1. United States Government Accountability Office; Report to Congressional Committees (January 2013).

  2. European Commission, Economic Crisis in Europe: Causes, Consequences, and Responses (2009).

  3. The Islamic Financial Services Board (IFSB) is an international regulatory organization that promotes the stability and performance of Islamic financial institutions with the rest of the financial system.

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Correspondence to Noureddine Benlagha.

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Appendices

Appendix A: Conventional and Islamic banks in GCC countries

Conventional banks

Islamic banks

Saudi Arabia

 Arab National Bank

ANB.SE

Al Rajhi Banking and Investment Corp SJSC

Rajhi.SE

 Riyad Bank SJSC

RBS.SE

Bank Aljazira JSC

ALJAZIRA.SE

 Samba Financial Group SJSC

SFG.SE

Bank Albilad SJSC

Albilad.SE

 Saudi British Bank SJSC

SBB.SE

  

UAE

 Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank PJSC

ADCB.AD

Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank PJSC

ADIB.AD

 Emirates NBD Bank PJSC

ENBD.DU

Dubai Islamic Bank PJSC

DISB.DU

 First Gulf Bank PJSC

FGB.AD

Sharjah Islamic Bank PJSC

SIB.AD

 National Bank of Abu Dhabi PJSC

NBAD.AD

  

Qatar

 Commercial Bank of Qatar QSC

COMB.QA

Qatar International Islamic Bank QSC

QIIB.QA

 Doha Bank QSC

DOBK.QA

Qatar Islamic Bank SAQ

QISB.QA

 Qatar National Bank SAQ

QNBK.QA

  

Kuwait

 Burgan Bank SAKP

BURG.KW

Ahli United Bank KSCP

BKME.KW

 Commercial Bank of Kuwait KSC

CBKK.KW

Kuwait Finance House KSCP

KFIN.KW

 National Bank of Kuwait SAK

NBKK.KW

Kuwait International Bank KSC

KIBK.KW

Bahrain

 BBK BSC

BBKB.BH

Bahrain Islamic Bank BSC

BISB.BH

 National Bank of Bahrain BSC

NATB.BH

Ithmaar Bank BSC

ITHMR.BH

Appendix B: Spillovers volatilities

See Tables 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8.

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Benlagha, N., Mseddi, S. Return and volatility spillovers in the presence of structural breaks: evidence from GCC Islamic and conventional banks. J Asset Manag 20, 72–90 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41260-018-00107-z

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