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Predictive Modelling of Flexural Strength in Recycled Aggregate-Based Concrete: A Comprehensive Approach with Machine Learning and Global Sensitivity Analysis

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Iranian Journal of Science and Technology, Transactions of Civil Engineering Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This research focuses on predicting Flexural Strength (Fck) in recycled aggregate-based concrete through a comprehensive approach integrating machine learning models and global sensitivity analysis. A dataset comprising 302 samples, including features like Cement, Sand, Natural Fine Aggregate, Recycled Fine Aggregate, Natural Coarse Aggregate, Recycled Coarse Aggregate, Water, W/C (Water/Cement Ratio), and Super Plasticizer, was gathered from existing literature. The study initially preprocesses the dataset, handling outliers through median values and scaling features to a range of 0 to 1. Five prominent machine learning models, namely Support Vector Regressor, Random Forest Regressor, Gradient Boosting Regressor, XGBoost, and Multi-Layer Perceptron, were selected as base models. These models were trained on the preprocessed dataset using fivefold cross-validation, and their performance was evaluated using metrics such as R2 Score, Root Mean Squared Error, Mean Absolute Error, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error. Subsequently, a stacking approach was employed, combining predictions from base models through a Linear Regression meta-model. The stacked model exhibited superior performance, achieving an R2 Score of 0.8826 and outperforming individual models. Visualizations, including radar plots and actual versus predictions plots, emphasized the enhanced accuracy and precision of the stacked model. Global sensitivity analysis highlighted the varying influences of input features, with recycled fine aggregate, water, and cement identified as critical contributors. The study concludes with insights into the relative importance of input features and suggests future directions for refinement and expansion, emphasizing the potential for more sustainable and resilient construction practices in recycled aggregate-based concrete.

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Data Availability

The data used in the current study is available from the corresponding author, upon reasonable request.

Abbreviations

SVR:

Support vector regressor

RFR:

Random forest regressor

GBR:

Gradient boosting regressor

XGBoost:

Extreme gradient boosting regressor

MLP:

Multi-layer perceptron

RMSE:

Root mean squared error

MAE:

Mean absolute error

MAPE:

Mean absolute percentage error

C&D:

Construction and demolition

RAC:

Recycled aggregate concrete

ANN:

Artificial neural network

BPNN:

Back propagation neural network

MLR:

Multiple linear regression

ICA:

Imperialist competitive algorithm

NCA:

Natural coarse aggregates

NFA:

Natural fine aggregates

LR:

Linear regression

FFNN:

Feedforward neural network

SWR:

Stepwise linear regression

PSO:

Particle swarm optimization

GPR:

Gaussian process regression

SVM:

Support vector machine

KNN:

K-nearest neighbors

RA:

Recycled aggregates

RCA:

Recycled coarse aggregate

NC:

Normal concrete

SF:

Silica fume

IQR:

Interquartile range

Q3:

Third quartile

Q1:

First quartile

LB:

Lower bound

UB:

Upper bound

ST:

Sobol total

S1:

First-order sensitivity

OLS:

Ordinary least squares

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Acknowledgements

The suggestions provided by colleagues which helped the authors in improving the quality of the research work is appreciatively acknowledged.

Funding

The authors did not receive support from any organization for the submitted work. The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose. All authors also certify that they have no affiliations with or involvement in any organization or entity with any financial interest or non-financial interest in the subject matter or materials discussed in this manuscript. The authors have no financial or proprietary interests in any material discussed in this article.

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Contributions

R.S. and R.K.T. wrote the main manuscript text, and A.A.M. and M.P. revised the Manuscript and prepared figures and tables. All authors reviewed the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mahesh Patel.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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No animals or humans were harmed during the execution of this work reported in the article.

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Singh, R., Tipu, R.K., Mir, A.A. et al. Predictive Modelling of Flexural Strength in Recycled Aggregate-Based Concrete: A Comprehensive Approach with Machine Learning and Global Sensitivity Analysis. Iran J Sci Technol Trans Civ Eng (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40996-024-01502-w

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40996-024-01502-w

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