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Gravity Models for Global Migration Flows: A Predictive Evaluation
This study introduces a comprehensive econometric framework based on gravity equations and designed to forecast migrant flows between countries. The...
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The derivative-based approach to nonlinear mediation models: insights and applications
Traditional mediation analysis has been developed in the context of linear models, enabling the estimation of indirect effects through the product of...
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Enhancing diagnostic of stochastic mortality models leveraging contrast trees: an application on Italian data
The rise in longevity in the twentieth century has led to a growing interest in modeling mortality, and new advanced techniques such as machine...
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Grounding force-directed network layouts with latent space models
Force-directed layout algorithms are ubiquitously used tools for network visualization. However, existing algorithms either lack clear...
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Mortality Trends and Projection Models in Japan
This chapter provide an overview of the mortality trends and projection models for Japan. First, we describe the mortality trends in Japan. We then... -
Backtesting stochastic mortality models by prediction interval-based metrics
Human lifespan increments represent one of the main current risks for governments and pension and health benefits providers. Longevity societies...
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Moral rhetoric in discrete choice models: a Natural Language Processing approach
This paper proposes a new method to combine choice- and text data to infer moral motivations from people’s actions. To do this, we rely on moral...
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Graphical diagnostics in proportional odds models—Empirical study on determinants of FinTech payment service diffusion by SMEs in Italy
FinTech, the merging of finance and modern Internet-based technology, has rapidly presented itself as a disruptor to traditional business sector. In...
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Models of Interaction*
Is an egalitarian distribution stable? If not, what are the mechanisms of interaction behind increasing inequality? The overview presented in the... -
Joint Longitudinal and Survival Models to Study Vulnerability Processes
In many life-course research fields (e.g., sociology, psychology, economy, medicine, epidemiology) data often include repeated assessments of a... -
Mono-centrism as a Destiny? An Econometric Test of Urban Models Using Building Activity
The present study introduces an econometric test of mono-centric urban development using spatially explicit building activity data between 1981 and...
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Unit-log-symmetric models: characterization, statistical properties and their applications to analyzing an internet access data
We present here a unit-log-symmetric model based on the bivariate log-symmetric distribution discussed in recent literature. It is a flexible family...
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Economic Cycles and Entry into Parenthood: Is the Association Changing and Does it Affect Macro-Level Trends? Micro-Level Hazard and Simulation Models of Belgian Fertility Trends, 1960–2010
The association between economic cycles—typically measured in terms of GDP growth or swings in unemployment—and macro-level fertility trends has...
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The COVID-19 pandemic and house price convergence in Poland
The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on price convergence in the housing market is largely unknown. This paper aims to assess the impact of the...
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Exploration of poverty and social exclusion of Slovak population via contrast analysis associated with logit models
The aim of the paper is to assess the impact of socio-economic and socio-demographic factors on the risk of poverty or social exclusion. The paper...
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Recognizing duration effects in multistate population models
The risk of many demographic events varies by both current state and duration in that state. However, the use of such semi-Markov models has been...
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Modelling Nigerian Female Mortality: An Application of Four Stochastic Mortality Models
Nigeria, with an estimated population of over 200 million people is depicted as the most populous black Nation in the World with the female gender... -
Greenness and Crime in the City: An Investigation Using Remote Sensing and Spatial Panel Models
Evidence has suggested that healthy environmental greenness is associated with lower rates of crime. The goal of this study was to explore this...
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Towards More Realistic Models
This chapter is devoted to the presentation of a more realistic version of the model, Risk and Rumours, which extends the previous, theoretical... -