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Boosted Regression Trees for Small-Area Population Forecasting
Small-area population forecasting, such as the forecasting of age/gender grou**s at the level of US Census Tracts, is challenged by thorny issues...
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Discrimination in Context: Examining Neighborhood-Level Variation in the Incidence and Adverse Effects of Perceived Racial and Ethnic Discrimination Among Chicago Youth
A growing body of research links interpersonal racial and ethnic discrimination to adverse youth outcomes. Yet, studies examining the relevance of...
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Assessing excess mortality in times of pandemics based on principal component analysis of weekly mortality data—the case of COVID-19
The COVID-19 outbreak has called for renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analyses to monitor mortality patterns and trends over time....
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Population Projections and Population Policies
Population projections are a standard task of governments, local administrations, international agencies, the private sector, and research groups.... -
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Mortality Modeling of Partially Observed Cohorts Using Administrative Death Records
New advances in data linkage provide mortality researchers with access to administrative datasets with millions of mortality records and rich...
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“The world’s in crisis… and us?” Teacher training in a collectivist society during the COVID-19
This study examined the narratives of young ultra-Orthodox teacher trainees during the COVID-19 crisis. The education system constitutes one of the...
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Growing the Volunteer Pool: Identifying Non-Volunteers Most Likely to Volunteer
There are ongoing management and societal challenges affecting volunteering participation. These place a premium on organizations identifying...
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A New Social Conflict on Globalisation-Related Issues in Germany? A Longitudinal Perspective
We draw on cleavage theory to assess the emergence of a social conflict concerning globalisation-related issues among the German population between...
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Sociology as an Academic Discipline
Disciplines are to the academic world what firms and corporations are to the economy – fundamental building blocks. Furthermore, disciplines are in... -
College location and labor market outcomes for STEM graduates in the US
Broadening participation in STEM education, improving STEM graduate employability, and retaining a labor force with high STEM qualifications has...
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Demographic transition and population dynamics in **njiang, China
This study is based on census data, statistical yearbooks, and research materials related to the population in **njiang, providing a comprehensive...
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Stochastic Population Forecasting: A Bayesian Approach Based on Evaluation by Experts
We suggest a procedure for deriving expert based stochastic population forecasts within the Bayesian approach. According to the traditional and... -
An Outlook on Advanced Statistical Analysis Methods
In the following chapter, basic concepts of five advanced statistical methods that are widely used in the social sciences are presented: event data,... -
Medical students’ learning approaches and examination outcomes: longitudinal and cross-sectional studies in a problem-based system
Entwistle learning approaches are an evidence-based lens for analysing and improving student learning. Quantifying potential effects on attainment...
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Measuring the Complexity of Past Social Systems: a Task Analysis Approach to the Study of Late Prehistoric Monumentality in Iberia
In this paper, we explore the heuristic potential of a set of ideas about the structural and functional complexity of systems, proposed in the 1990s...
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Haben hierarchische Alters-Perioden-Kohorten-Modelle eine Zukunft?
In 2006, Yang Yang and Kenneth C. Land postulated so-called hierarchical age-period-cohort models (HAPC). In this approach, period and cohort effects...
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The Introduction of Pension, Accident, and Health Insurance in Urban China
Since the initiation of reform and opening policies, social protection for urban workers in China has transformed massively. Before the 1980s,... -
Accumulating Birth Histories Across Surveys for Improved Estimates of Child Mortality
Producing reliable estimates for childhood mortality rates is essential to monitor progress towards the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals...
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The hierarchical age–period–cohort model: Why does it find the results that it finds?
It is claimed the hierarchical-age–period–cohort (HAPC) model solves the age–period–cohort (APC) identification problem. However, this is...