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Can Text-Based Statistical Models Reveal Impending Banking Crises?
This paper introduces statistical models Wordscores and Wordfish to study and predict banking crises. While Wordscores is akin to supervised...
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Financial Crises and Climate Change
Climate change is a big challenge of our time. While there is a bourgeoning literature on the economic impact of climate change, research on how...
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Systemic Financial Crises and Income Inequality in OECD Countries
We offer theory and evidence that supports the view that systemic financial crises impact income inequality negatively in richer countries, where...
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Insights into different facets of the refugee crises–environment nexus
The manifestations of the environment combine with societal circumstances that force people to flee their own countries and in this way accelerate...
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Sectoral–regional resilience and productive specialization: a comparison among the last three crises
The objective of this paper is to compare the economic resilience of industries and regions along the last four decades, which include the three last...
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The effect of pandemic crises on fertility
This paper examines the dynamic effects of pandemic crises on fertility rates for a large, unbalanced sample of 182 developed and develo**...
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FDI-growth and trade-growth relationships during crises: evidence from Bangladesh
This study examines foreign direct investment (FDI)-growth and trade-growth relationships in Bangladesh during three major crises: the economic...
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The Connectedness Knowledge from Investors’ Sentiments, Financial Crises, and Trade Policy: An Economic Perspective
Several economics theories emphasize the investors’ decision-making. Contemporary fields of economics have found some contradictory theories compared...
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Performance and investment styles of international multi-asset funds during market crises
This paper presents a comprehensive investigation into the performance of multi-asset funds investing internationally. Based on a custom-built...
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Predicting financial crises: an evaluation of machine learning algorithms and model explainability for early warning systems
This paper addresses the critical challenge of detecting financial crises in their early stages given their profound economic and societal...
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Forecasting Fiscal Crises in Emerging Markets and Low-Income Countries with Machine Learning Models
Pre-existing public debt vulnerabilities have been exacerbated by the effects of the pandemic, raising the risk of fiscal crises in emerging and...
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Measuring and Exploring Regional Trade Resilience in Italy During Different Crises
Trade growth and resilience show variations within the regions of a country during different recessionary periods. Similarly, the main determinants...
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The Impact of Crises on Maritime Traffic: A Case Study of the COVID-19 Pandemic and the War in Ukraine
Maritime transport plays a key role in the global and local economy, accounting for 80% of global trade by volume. This makes smooth operation of the...
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Dynamic spillovers between natural gas and BRICS stock markets during health and political crises
Previous research has primarily focused on external factors to refine predictions of natural gas volatility, a prominent cleaner fossil fuel. Yet,...
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Political Crises of Capitalism
This chapter examines the modern political crises of capitalism. Financial imbalances, growing public and private debt, rising inflation, soaring...
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The 1847 Crises
This chapter shows the role that the Bank Charter Act of 1844, interest rates and capital flows played in the two crises of 1847. The April crisis is...
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Using the global value chain framework to analyse and tackle global environmental crises
Climate crises are being experienced all over the world and appear to be accelerating as “extreme weather” events become the “new normal.” In today’s...
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Fiscal Space and Policy Response to Financial Crises: Market Access and Deficit Concerns
Existing literature suggests that fiscal space matters for the policy response to financial crises. High public debt levels limit countries capacity...
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Financial Crises: A Hardy Perennial
Since the early 1970s, four waves of financial crises have broken; many lenders in three, four, or more countries collapsed at about the same time as...
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Synchronization in Cycles of China and India During Recent Crises: A Markov Switching Analysis
We study the impact of recent crisis episodes viz . the Great Recession of 2007–09, the Euro Area crisis of 2010–12 and the COVID-19 pandemic of...
