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Importance of ocean initial conditions of late autumn on winter seasonal prediction skill in atmosphere–land–ocean–sea ice coupled forecast system
In coupled general circulation models, which are widely used to study weather and climate in subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales, forecast errors...
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Improved forecast of 2015/16 El Niño event in an experimental coupled seasonal ensemble forecasting system
To improve NOAA’s seasonal forecasting capabilities, a new coupled system within the Unified Forecast System (UFS) framework is being developed...
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Effects of grid spacing on high-frequency precipitation variance in coupled high-resolution global ocean–atmosphere models
High-frequency precipitation variance is calculated in 12 different free-running (non-data-assimilative) coupled high resolution atmosphere–ocean...
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The future projection of cyclones in Bay of Bengal: a study using coupled ocean atmosphere model
In this study, the behaviour of cyclones in the Bay of Bengal in future climatic conditions is analysed with the help of an ocean-atmosphere coupled...
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A study of predictability of coupled ocean–atmosphere system using attractor radius and global attractor radius
While ocean–atmosphere coupled models play an increasingly important role in weather-climate simulation and prediction, the predictability theory...
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Fu**: a cascade machine learning forecasting system for 15-day global weather forecast
Over the past few years, the rapid development of machine learning (ML) models for weather forecasting has led to state-of-the-art ML models that...
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Evaluation of global ocean analysis and forecast system in the Tropical Indian Ocean
In this study, the global ocean analysis and forecast system is evaluated against the observations in the Indian Ocean for the 2017–2018 period. A...
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Benefits of simulating precipitation characteristics over Africa with a regionally-coupled atmosphere–ocean model
High-quality climate information at appropriate spatial and temporal resolution is essential to develop and provide tailored climate services for...
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Impacts of Surface Exchange Coefficients on Simulations of Super Typhoon Megi (2010) Using a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere-Wave Model
In this study, the effects of surface exchange coefficients on simulations of Super Typhoon Megi (2010) are investigated using a fully coupled...
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Influence of tropical cyclone Jawad on the surface and sub-surface circulation in the Bay of Bengal: ocean–atmosphere feedback
The anomalous post-monsoon tropical cyclone (TC) Jawad has been simulated using the Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Wave Sediment Transport (COAWST) model...
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A high resolution coupled ocean-atmosphere simulation of the regional climate over Central America
This study analyzes a relatively high resolution (15 km grid spacing), regional coupled ocean–atmosphere simulation configured over Central America....
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A multi-model study of atmosphere predictability in coupled ocean–atmosphere systems
Of great importance for guiding numerical weather and climate predictions, understanding predictability of the atmosphere in the ocean − atmosphere...
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Reduced Southern Ocean warming enhances global skill and signal-to-noise in an eddy-resolving decadal prediction system
The impact of increased model horizontal resolution on climate prediction performance is examined by comparing results from low-resolution (LR) and...
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Seasonal forecast skill of upper-ocean heat content in coupled high-resolution systems
Ocean heat content (OHC) anomalies typically persist for several months, making this variable a vital component of seasonal predictability in both...
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Coupled conditional nonlinear optimal perturbations and their application to ENSO ensemble forecasts
Limitations are existed in current ensemble forecasting initial perturbation methods for describing the interactions among various spheres of the...
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Prediction and predictability of boreal winter MJO using a multi-member subseasonal to seasonal forecast system of NUIST (NUIST CFS 1.1)
The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) provides an important source of global subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability, while its prediction remains...
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Impact of resolution on the atmosphere–ocean coupling along the Gulf Stream in global high resolution models
We have investigated the horizontal resolution dependence of the ocean–atmosphere coupling along the Gulf Stream, of simulations made by six Global...
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Compound effects of rain, storm surge, and river discharge on coastal flooding during Hurricane Irene and Tropical Storm Lee (2011) in the Mid-Atlantic region: coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean model simulation and observations
Coastal flooding from landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) is a major hazard with increasing severity in a warming climate and rising seas. It is...
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Prediction of Seasonal Tropical Cyclone Activity in the NUIST-CFS1.0 Forecast System
Prediction skill for the seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the Northern Hemisphere is investigated using the coupled climate forecast system...
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Forecasting marine debris spill accumulation patterns in the south-eastern Australia water: an intercomparison between global ocean forecast models
Forecasting transport and fates of marine debris spilled from lost ship containers is increasingly important. This paper builds a forecast framework...