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Estimation of Extreme Value Distribution and Probability of Minor Failures in Rockfill Dam Response to Non-Stationary Seismic Excitation
To address the problem of the small failure probability of highly reliable structures such as rockfill dams, marine platforms and super high-rise...
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Occurrence time distribution fitting and encounter probability analysis of extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin
Due to the large climatic and geographical differences, the occurrence time of maximum 1-day precipitation (RM1day) in different zones of the Huaihe...
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Population dynamics during the Neolithic transition and the onset of megalithism in Portugal according to summed probability distribution of radiocarbon determinations
As field data accumulates, the study of Neolithic Portugal has been receiving increasing attention recently, from material culture and subsistence to...
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Comparison of four methods to select the best probability distribution for frequency analysis of annual maximum precipitation using Monte Carlo simulations
Hydrologic design requires estimation of extreme hydrological events, whose magnitude and probability are estimated using a probability distribution...
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A Computationally Efficient Method to Determine the Probability of Rainfall-Triggered Cut Slope Failure Accounting for Upslope Hydrological Conditions
We present a new computationally efficient methodology to estimate the probability of rainfall-induced slope failure based on mechanical...
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Aso volcano, Japan: assessing the 100-year probability of a new caldera-forming eruption based on expert judgements with Bayes Net and Importance Sampling uncertainty analysis
The Aso-4 explosive eruption on Kyushu, Japan, 89,500 years ago was one of the biggest eruptions in the last one hundred millennia, with a magnitude...
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Appropriate statistical rainfall distribution models for the computation of standardized precipitation index (SPI) in Cameroon
The performance of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is affected by the choice of an incorrect probability distribution function, which can...
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Probability elicitation using geostatistics in hydrocarbon exploration
The exploratory phase of a hydrocarbon field is a period when decision-supporting information is scarce while the drilling stakes are high. Each new...
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Spatiotemporal distribution analysis of extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin based on continuity
The Huaihe River Basin (HRB) is located in the climate transition zone between north and south of china, where cold and warm air flows are easily...
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Convolutional Neural Network for Burst Detection in Smart Water Distribution Systems
This study examines the benefits and limitations of a convolutional neural network (CNN) burst detection model that accounts for spatially...
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Eruption type probability and eruption source parameters at Cotopaxi and Guagua Pichincha volcanoes (Ecuador) with uncertainty quantification
Future occurrence of explosive eruptive activity at Cotopaxi and Guagua Pichincha volcanoes, Ecuador, is assessed probabilistically, utilizing expert...
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Modeling the potential distribution of two immortality flora in the Philippines: Applying MaxEnt and GARP algorithms under different climate change scenarios
Climate change shifts the distribution of socioeconomically important medicinal species such as Ganoderma lucidum and Gynostemma pentaphyllum ,...
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Validation of appropriate estimation criteria for the number of components for separating a polymodal grain-size distribution into lognormal distributions
Polymodal particle size distributions are generally analyzed by separating them into lognormal distributions, but estimating the precise number of...
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Creating a digital database of tephra fallout distribution and frequency in Japan
Tephra fallout is a potential hazard to livelihoods, critical infrastructure, and health, even in areas that are far from volcanoes. Therefore, it is...
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Probability Density Function of Bead-Pack Test Planes and Resolution Limits of Tomography
Quantitative stereology translates three-dimensional statistics into areal and lineal size distributions. Conversely, cross-sectional data are used...
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Basic Notions of Probability and Statistics for Natural Extreme Events Frequency Analyses
To understand better the procedures that will follow this chapter and that are the foundations of natural extreme events frequency analyses, a quick...
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Controls on the distribution of hydrous defects in forsterite from a thermodynamic model
The distribution of hydrogen across different crystallographic sites and point defects in forsterite determines how many properties, such as...
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Environmental dynamics of the western European Mediterranean landscape during the Pleistocene to Holocene transition
A strategic aim of research into climate change in the distant past is to respond to the contemporary challenges of global warming at the present....
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Determination of meaningful block sizes for rockfall modelling
The determination of the so-called design block is one of the central elements of the Austrian guideline for rockfall protection ONR 24810. It is...
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Improvement of Best First Decision Trees Using Bagging and Dagging Ensembles for Flood Probability Map**
Development of zoning and flood-forecasting models is essential for making optimal management decisions before and after floods. The Komijan...
