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A comparative analysis of pre- and post-industrial spatiotemporal drought trends and patterns of Tibet Plateau using Sen slope estimator and steady-state probabilities of Markov Chain
Drought poses a significant risk to human life, agriculture, energy, ecosystem, wildlife, and other aspects of the terrestrial system. Climate...
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Flow Rate Dependency of Steady-State Two-Phase Flows in Pore Networks: Universal, Relative Permeability Scaling Function and System-Characteristic Invariants
The phenomenology of steady-state two-phase flow in porous media is conventionally recorded by the relative permeability diagrams in terms of...
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Probabilistic Analysis of Long-Term Climate Drought Using Steady-State Markov Chain Approach
This study presents a steady-state Markov chain model to predict the long-term probability of drought conditions. The research aims to propose a...
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Sequential learning of climate change via a physical-parameter-based state-space model and Bayesian inference
Flexible decision-making strategies provide an alternative option for climate adaptation by considering future learning of climate change. A...
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Prehistoric damaging earthquake promoted the decline of “Heluo Ancient State” in Early China
The emergence of the “Ancient State” is considered an important stage in the discourse on human civilizations. Based on its complex and hierarchical...
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Economic impacts of storm surge events: examining state and national ripple effects
Understanding socioeconomic consequences of natural disasters both locally and nationally is critical in assessing and informing mitigation...
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Spatial uncertainty quantification of desiccation cracks in clays with limit state-adjusted linear elasticity
Periodic cycles of flood and drought are aggravated by global warming, thereby inducing critical desiccation cracks in soils. However, the estimation...
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A new framework to substantiate the prevalence of drought intensities
Drought is a natural disaster originating from a shortage of precipitation over an extended period, causing water deficiency for various groups,...
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Probabilistic slope stability analysis: state-of-the-art review and future prospects
Conventionally adopted deterministic slope stability analyses do not consider the influence of uncertainties related to geotechnical properties as...
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4 Maximum Entropy Production and Non-equilibrium Statistical Mechanics
Over the last 30 years empirical evidence in favour of the Maximum Entropy Production (MEP) principle for non-equilibrium systems has been... -
Flood hazard map of the Becho floodplain, Ethiopia, using nonstationary frequency model
Flood estimates based on stationary flood frequency models are commonly used as inputs to flood hazard map**. However, changing flood...
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State-of-the-art: parametrization of hydrological and mechanical reinforcement effects of vegetation in slope stability models for shallow landslides
The use of vegetation as a Nature-based Solution (NbS) for shallow landslide risk reduction is receiving increased attention in the scientific...
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A Bayesian method for dam failure risk analysis using causal loop diagrams and word frequency analysis
Earthen dams are exposed to complex environments where their safety is often affected by multiple uncertain risks. A Bayesian network (BN) is often...
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Solving large deformation problems in geotechnical and geo-environmental engineering with the smoothed particle hydrodynamics: a state-of-the-art review of constitutive solutions
Coupled fluid–solid phase continuum problems associated with large deformation as geotechnics experts encounter in slope stability problems have been...
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Illuminating groundwater flow modeling uncertainty through spatial discretization and complexity exploration
Uncertainty in groundwater modeling presents a significant challenge, originating from various sources. This groundbreaking study aims to...
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Evaluation of Optimal Energy Productıon Usıng Deterministic, Probabilistic and Risky Cases In a Multi-Reservoir System
In a multi-reservoir system, the stochastic nature of basin data resulting from rainfall introduces risk into water management operations. Effective...
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Estimation of Size-Dependent Mortality of Chub Mackerel (Scomber japonicus) Based on Their Fecundity
We estimated the size-dependent mortality of chub mackerel, Scomber japonicus , for the entire life stages from egg to adult by using a Leslie matrix...
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Probabilistic modeling of dam failure scenarios: a case study of Kanlikoy Dam in Cyprus
One of the most perilous natural hazards is flooding resulting from dam failure, which can devastate downstream infrastructure and lead to...
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Damage tracking and evaluation of RC columns with structural performances by using seismic monitoring data
A methodology of data-driven damage state quantification with a probability estimation for structural hysteresis of RC columns is presented in this...
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Analyzing surface air temperature and rainfall in univariate framework, quantifying uncertainty through Shannon entropy and prediction through artificial neural network
The current research reports a univariate analysis of 2 important climatological parameters surface air temperature and rainfall over North East...