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Skill decreases in real-time seasonal climate prediction due to decadal variability
Seasonal precipitation and temperature predictions with global climate models that are developed based on the ocean–atmosphere interactions,...
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Seasonal-to-decadal prediction of El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation
The growing demand for skillful near-term climate prediction encourages an improved prediction of low-frequency sea surface temperature (SST)...
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Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM
Initialization is essential for accurate seasonal-to-decadal (S2D) climate predictions. The initialization schemes used differ on the component...
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A regional (land–ocean) comparison of the seasonal to decadal variability of the Northern Hemisphere jet stream 1871–2011
Seasonal to decadal variations in Northern Hemisphere jet stream latitude and speed over land (Eurasia, North America) and oceanic (North Atlantic,...
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The effects of bias, drift, and trends in calculating anomalies for evaluating skill of seasonal-to-decadal initialized climate predictions
In initialized seasonal to decadal (S2D) predictions, model hindcasts rapidly drift away from the initial observed state and converge toward a...
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Seamless Prediction in China: A Review
Seamless prediction is a weather–climate integrated prediction covering multiple time scales that include days, weeks, months, seasons, years, and...
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Prediction and projection of heatwaves
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for...
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Skillful prediction of length of day one year ahead in multiple decadal prediction systems
Despite a small amplitude, Length of Day (LOD) change, which varies from one year to another due to changes in Atmospheric Angular Momentum (AAM),...
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Seasonal to decadal predictions of regional Arctic sea ice by assimilating sea surface temperature in the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model
The version of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (NorCPM) that only assimilates sea surface temperature (SST) with the Ensemble Kalman Filter...
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Skillful prediction of boreal winter-spring seasonal precipitation in Southern China based on machine learning approach and dynamical ENSO prediction
El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the antisymmetric combination mode (C-mode) have a significant impact on the seasonal precipitation in...
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SPEEDY-NEMO: performance and applications of a fully-coupled intermediate-complexity climate model
A fully-coupled general circulation model of intermediate complexity is documented. The study presents an overview of the model climatology and...
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Exceptional multi-year prediction skill of the Kuroshio Extension in the CESM high-resolution decadal prediction system
The Kuroshio Extension (KE) has far-reaching influences on climate as well as on local marine ecosystems. Thus, skillful multi-year to decadal...
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Decadal prediction of Northeast Asian winter precipitation with CMIP6 models
This study evaluates the decadal prediction skill of 13 forecast systems in predicting winter precipitation over Eurasia, contributing to the Decadal...
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Predictability of the upper ocean heat content in a Community Earth System Model ensemble prediction system
Upper ocean heat content (OHC) has been widely recognized as a crucial precursor to high-impact climate variability, especially for that being...
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Reduced Southern Ocean warming enhances global skill and signal-to-noise in an eddy-resolving decadal prediction system
The impact of increased model horizontal resolution on climate prediction performance is examined by comparing results from low-resolution (LR) and...
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Decadal change in the connection between the Pacific–Japan pattern and the Indian Ocean SST basin mode
The Pacific–Japan (PJ) pattern, which is characterized by meridional alternating anomalous cyclone and anticyclone along the East Asian coast, is the...
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Investigating the seasonal SST Predictability in the Northern Tropical Atlantic Ocean in an ensemble prediction system
The present study comprehensively investigates the practical and intrinsic predictability of the sea surface temperature (SST) in the Northern...
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Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and...
