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Risk, Uncertainty and Maladaptation to Climate Change Policy, Practice and Case Studies
This book focuses on integrated disaster risk reduction arising out of climate change and shows how communities build resilience through adaptive and...
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Reservoir Risk Operation of 'Domestic-Production-Ecology' Water Supply Based on Runoff Forecast Uncertainty
Water supply operation of a reservoir group is a critical strategy for mitigating conflicts between water resource supply and demand in a basin....
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Estimating the functional impacts associated with rainfall-induced hazards for Chinese railway system: fragility, risk and its uncertainty
Rainfall-induced landslides, debris flows, and floods pose great risks to the operating service of the Chinese railway system. Evaluating their...
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Enhanced Methods for Evaluating Water-inrush Risk from Underlying Aquifers: Incorporating Dynamic Weight Theory and Uncertainty Analysis Model
Accurately gauging the risk of water inrush from underlying aquifers is paramount for ensuring safety in coal mine production. This paper presents an...
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Contextualizing “Risk”, “Uncertainty” and “Maladaptation” in the Context of Climate Change
This introductory chapter of the book is written with two important goals in mind. The first aim is to give a conceptual clarity on the concepts of...
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Seismic risk-informed prioritisation of multi-span RC girder bridges considering knowledge-based uncertainty
In earthquake-prone countries, transport network managers need to perform extensive seismic risk assessments co** with a considerable number of...
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Seismic Risk Model for the Bei**g–Tian**–Hebei Region, China: Considering Epistemic Uncertainty from the Seismic Hazard Models
This study presents a probabilistic seismic risk model for the Bei**g–Tian**–Hebei region in China. The model comprises a township-level...
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Importance of Parameter Uncertainty in the Modeling of Geological Variables
Quantitative modeling of geological heterogeneity is critical for resource management and decision-making. However, in the early stages of a mining...
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Revisiting development strategy under climate uncertainty: case study of Malawi
This paper analyzes the effectiveness of agriculture-led versus non-agriculture-led development strategies under climate-induced economic...
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Debris-Flow Risk Assessment
Risk assessments can inform a wide variety of decisions related to debris flows, such as: Is the community safe enough? Where is mitigation needed?...
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Regression modeling of subjective probability of river inundation with epistemic uncertainty: a short-term panel data analysis
Lack of sufficient knowledge about flood risk can lead to “don’t know” responses or non-response in risk perception surveys, and incorrect treatment...
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Downscaling and bias-correction contribute considerable uncertainty to local climate projections in CMIP6
Efforts to diagnose the risks of a changing climate often rely on downscaled and bias-corrected climate information, making it important to...
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Uncertainty and risk of pruned distributional ranges induced by climate shifts for alpine species: a case study for 79 Kobresia species in China
There is an urgent need to determine the risk of the reduction in distributional ranges of alpine graminoid species induced by rapid warming, as they...
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Workflow-Induced Uncertainty in Data-Driven Mineral Prospectivity Map**
The primary goal of mineral prospectivity map** (MPM) is to narrow the search for mineral resources by producing spatially selective maps. However,...
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An Uncertainty-Quantification Machine Learning Framework for Data-Driven Three-Dimensional Mineral Prospectivity Map**
The uncertainty inherent in three-dimensional (3D) mineral prospectivity map** (MPM) encompasses (a) mineral system conceptual model uncertainty...
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Prospectivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Tungsten Polymetallogenic Mineral Resources in the Nanling Metallogenic Belt, South China: A Comparative Study of AdaBoost, GBDT, and XgBoost Algorithms
Supervised machine learning algorithms are utilized to predict undiscovered mineral resources by analyzing the correlation between geological data...
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Partitioning model uncertainty in multi-model ensemble river flow projections
Floods are the largest natural disaster currently facing the UK, whilst the incidents of droughts have increased in recent years. Floods and droughts...
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Climate Change and Multi-Reservoirs Impacts on Extreme Flood: Nonstationary Regional Frequency Analysis and Uncertainty Estimation
The nonstationary impacts of climate change and multi-reservoirs on extreme floods cannot be ignored due to the potential risk to flood control and...
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Comprehensive uncertainty evaluation of dam break consequences considering multi-source information fusion
A comprehensive assessment of the consequences of dam-break is a critical strategic necessity for guaranteeing socio-economic development and lives...
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River Flash Flood Economical Loss and its Uncertainty in Develo** Countries
Namely: Floods can inflict significant damage on buildings, particularly in urban areas. Effective flood risk management in such areas relies on the...
