Search
Search Results
-
Skillful prediction of length of day one year ahead in multiple decadal prediction systems
Despite a small amplitude, Length of Day (LOD) change, which varies from one year to another due to changes in Atmospheric Angular Momentum (AAM),...
-
Skillful decadal prediction for Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone activity
The Northwest Pacific (NWP) tropical cyclone (TC) activity exhibits significant decadal variations with alternating active and inactive periods....
-
Decadal prediction of Northeast Asian winter precipitation with CMIP6 models
This study evaluates the decadal prediction skill of 13 forecast systems in predicting winter precipitation over Eurasia, contributing to the Decadal...
-
Seasonal-to-decadal prediction of El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation
The growing demand for skillful near-term climate prediction encourages an improved prediction of low-frequency sea surface temperature (SST)...
-
Exceptional multi-year prediction skill of the Kuroshio Extension in the CESM high-resolution decadal prediction system
The Kuroshio Extension (KE) has far-reaching influences on climate as well as on local marine ecosystems. Thus, skillful multi-year to decadal...
-
Reduced Southern Ocean warming enhances global skill and signal-to-noise in an eddy-resolving decadal prediction system
The impact of increased model horizontal resolution on climate prediction performance is examined by comparing results from low-resolution (LR) and...
-
Skill decreases in real-time seasonal climate prediction due to decadal variability
Seasonal precipitation and temperature predictions with global climate models that are developed based on the ocean–atmosphere interactions,...
-
A preliminary attempt on decadal prediction of the East Asian summer monsoon
The East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is one of the major synoptic systems that affect the summer climate in China. Decadal prediction of the EASM is...
-
The effect of initialisation on 20 year multi-decadal climate predictions
This study investigates initialised decadal predictions of 2-m air temperature over lead times of up to 20 years and compares them against...
-
Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability
Naturally occurring tropical Pacific variations at timescales of 7–70 years — tropical Pacific decadal variability (TPDV) — describe basin-scale sea...
-
Competing impacts of tropical Pacific and Atlantic on Southern Ocean inter-decadal variability
The observed Southern Ocean sea surface temperature (SST) has experienced prominent inter-decadal variability nearly in phase with the Inter-decadal...
-
Interference of significant sub-decadal periodicities in Indian monsoon rainfall
The inter-decadal variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) has been conventionally considered to be an important indicator of climate...
-
Weakening of decadal variation of Northern Hemisphere land monsoon rainfall under global warming
Over the past century, Northern Hemisphere (NH) land monsoon rainfall (NHLMR) experienced significant decadal to multidecadal variations, mainly...
-
Anthropogenic forcing and Pacific internal variability-determined decadal increase in summer precipitation over the Asian water tower
The increased precipitation in the Asian water tower has prompted the abrupt lake expansion and increased runoff, significantly resha** the water...
-
Dampened predictable decadal North Atlantic climate fluctuations due to ice melting
The oscillatory behaviour of the climate system on decadal timescales before the instrumental record is hard to quantify. However, knowledge of this...
-
Multi-decadal enhancement in the influence of El Niño on the Indian Ocean dipole mode
El Niño is an important external factor to trigger a positive Indian Ocean (IO) dipole (pIOD) mode with anomalous sea surface temperature (SST)...
-
Decadal change in the connection between the Pacific–Japan pattern and the Indian Ocean SST basin mode
The Pacific–Japan (PJ) pattern, which is characterized by meridional alternating anomalous cyclone and anticyclone along the East Asian coast, is the...
-
Intercomparison of initialization methods for seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions with the NorCPM
Initialization is essential for accurate seasonal-to-decadal (S2D) climate predictions. The initialization schemes used differ on the component...
-
A key role of off-equatorial subsurface temperature anomalies in Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability
We demonstrate the key role of off-equatorial subsurface temperature anomalies in driving the phase transition of Tropical Pacific Decadal...
-
Ocean-forcing of cool season precipitation drives ongoing and future decadal drought in southwestern North America
The US Southwest is in a drought crisis that has been develo** over the past two decades, contributing to marked increases in burned forest areas...
