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Article
Open AccessNon-CO2 forcing changes will likely decrease the remaining carbon budget for 1.5 °C
One key contribution to the wide range of 1.5 °C carbon budgets among recent studies is the non-CO2 climate forcing scenario uncertainty. Based on a partitioning of historical non-CO2 forcing, we show that curren...
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Article
Estimating Carbon Budgets for Ambitious Climate Targets
Carbon budgets, which define the total allowable CO2 emissions associated with a given global climate target, are a useful way of framing the climate mitigation challenge. In this paper, we review the geophysical...