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  1. Article

    Open Access

    Institutional decarbonization scenarios evaluated against the Paris Agreement 1.5 °C goal

    Scientifically rigorous guidance to policy makers on mitigation options for meeting the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal requires an evaluation of long-term global-warming implications of greenhouse ...

    Robert J. Brecha, Gaurav Ganti, Robin D. Lamboll, Zebedee Nicholls in Nature Communications (2022)

  2. No Access

    Article

    Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise

    The land ice contribution to global mean sea level rise has not yet been predicted1 using ice sheet and glacier models for the latest set of socio-economic scenarios, nor using coordinated exploration of uncertai...

    Tamsin L. Edwards, Sophie Nowicki, Ben Marzeion, Regine Hock, Heiko Goelzer in Nature (2021)

  3. Article

    Author Correction: Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

    An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

    Joeri Rogelj, Piers M. Forster, Elmar Kriegler, Christopher J. Smith in Nature (2020)

  4. No Access

    Article

    Climate and air-quality benefits of a realistic phase-out of fossil fuels

    The combustion of fossil fuels produces emissions of the long-lived greenhouse gas carbon dioxide and of short-lived pollutants, including sulfur dioxide, that contribute to the formation of atmospheric aerosols1

    Drew Shindell, Christopher J. Smith in Nature (2019)

  5. No Access

    Article

    Estimating and tracking the remaining carbon budget for stringent climate targets

    Research reported during the past decade has shown that global warming is roughly proportional to the total amount of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere. This makes it possible to estimate the remaini...

    Joeri Rogelj, Piers M. Forster, Elmar Kriegler, Christopher J. Smith in Nature (2019)

  6. Article

    Open Access

    Current fossil fuel infrastructure does not yet commit us to 1.5 °C warming

    Committed warming describes how much future warming can be expected from historical emissions due to inertia in the climate system. It is usually defined in terms of the level of warming above the present for ...

    Christopher J. Smith, Piers M. Forster, Myles Allen in Nature Communications (2019)