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Reply to: Why fossil fuel producer subsidies matter
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The public costs of climate-induced financial instability
Recent evidence suggests that climate change will significantly affect economic growth and several productive elements of modern economies, such as workers and land1–4. Although historical records indicate that e...
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Connecting climate action with other Sustainable Development Goals
The international community has committed to combat climate change and achieve 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Here we explore (dis)connections in evidence and governance between these commitments. Ou...
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Open AccessAn inter-model assessment of the role of direct air capture in deep mitigation pathways
The feasibility of large-scale biological CO2 removal to achieve stringent climate targets remains unclear. Direct Air Carbon Capture and Storage (DACCS) offers an alternative negative emissions technology (NET) ...
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Author Correction: Country-level social cost of carbon
In the version of this Article originally published, owing to a code error, the CSCC values for all income-dependent (that is, rich-poor) impact model specifications were incorrect, showing higher values relat...
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Mitigation scenarios must cater to new users
Climate change mitigation scenarios are finding a wider set of users, including companies and financial institutions. Increased collaboration between scenario producers and these new communities will be mutual...
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Country-level social cost of carbon
The social cost of carbon (SCC) is a commonly employed metric of the expected economic damages from carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Although useful in an optimal policy context, a world-level approach obscures th...
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Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways
The Paris Agreement—which is aimed at holding global warming well below 2 °C while pursuing efforts to limit it below 1.5 °C—has initiated a bottom-up process of iteratively updating nationally determined cont...
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Towards demand-side solutions for mitigating climate change
Research on climate change mitigation tends to focus on supply-side technology solutions. A better understanding of demand-side solutions is missing. We propose a transdisciplinary approach to identify demand-...
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Scenarios towards limiting global mean temperature increase below 1.5 °C
The 2015 Paris Agreement calls for countries to pursue efforts to limit global-mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C. The transition pathways that can meet such a target have not, however, been extensively explored....
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Limited emission reductions from fuel subsidy removal except in energy-exporting regions
Contrary to the hopes of policymakers, fossil fuel subsidy removal would have only a small impact on global energy demand and carbon dioxide emissions and would not increase renewable energy use by 2030.
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Climate Engineering and Abatement: A ‘flat’ Relationship Under Uncertainty
The potential of climate engineering to substitute or complement abatement of greenhouse gas emissions has been increasingly debated over the last years. The scientific assessment is driven to a large extent b...
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Low-emission pathways in 11 major economies: comparison of cost-optimal pathways and Paris climate proposals
In order to evaluate the effectiveness of climate policy, it is important to understand emission trends and policies at the national level. The 2015 Paris Agreement includes (Intended) Nationally Determined Co...
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Correction: Corrigendum: COP21 climate negotiators' responses to climate model forecasts
Nature Climate Change 7, 185–189 (2017); published online 6 February 2017; corrected after print 2 March 2017. In the version of this Letter originally published, references 3 and 19 contained errors in the au...
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COP21 climate negotiators’ responses to climate model forecasts
Communicating climate science requires depicting uncertainty. This study shows that the tendency for COP21 policymakers to assign model forecasts less weight than their prior beliefs when making predictions is...
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Economic tools to promote transparency and comparability in the Paris Agreement
Results from four integrated assessment models show countries’ efforts to cut emissions fall towards the lower end of the social cost of carbon distribution, suggesting insufficient levels of ambition to meet ...
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Comparison and interactions between the long-term pursuit of energy independence and climate policies
Ensuring energy security and mitigating climate change are key energy policy priorities. The recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Working Group III report emphasized that climate policies can deliv...
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The influence of economic growth, population, and fossil fuel scarcity on energy investments
This paper examines the dynamics of energy investments and clean energy Research and Development (R&D) using a scenario-based modeling approach. Starting from the global scenarios proposed in the RoSE model en...
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Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization?
We investigate the extent to which future energy transformation pathways meeting ambitious climate change mitigation targets depend on assumptions about economic growth and fossil fuel availability. The analys...
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Open AccessClean or dirty energy: evidence of corruption in the renewable energy sector
This paper studies the link between public policy and corruption for the case of wind energy. We show that publicly subsidized renewable energy can attract criminal appetites and favor the formation of crimin...