Abstract
Based on state-space method and component analysis, this paper builds a comprehensive evaluation system of carrying capacity for the Bei**g–Tian**–Hebei region from four aspects, namely economy, environment, ecology and energy. The results show that the comprehensive carrying capacity in this region gradually rises in recent years and the economic carrying capacity plays an important role in this situation. Ecological and environmental carrying capacity are gradually enhanced but still affected by water shortages. The energy carrying capacity of this region is low, which is the major factor restricting its sustainable development. Based on the empirical results, following policy suggestions should be adopted: Firstly, local government should accelerate technological progress, promoting the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure; Secondly, the contradiction between supply and demand of water resource should be solved gradually; thirdly, government should develop recycling economy, realizing the coordinated development of economy and environment; last but not least, saving energy and improving energy efficiency.
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Acknowledgments
The authors gratefully acknowledge the financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.: 71273031, 71401010), China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No.: 2014M550024), Study of carrying capacity of regional industrial layout in China (3210036121319); Basic Research Fund of Bei**g Institute of Technology (20132116042, 20142142001).
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Tang, B., Hu, Y., Li, H. et al. Research on comprehensive carrying capacity of Bei**g–Tian**–Hebei region based on state-space method. Nat Hazards 84 (Suppl 1), 113–128 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-1891-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-1891-7