The risk of stress ulceration and related bleeding has long been a concern in critically ill patients. Since the first description of an association between major burns and the occurrence of gastric ulceration by J. Swan in 1823, several further risk factors for stress ulcerations have been identified. The two most common are mechanical ventilation for more than 48 h and coagulopathy [1], and others are listed in Table 1. Although gastric erosions have been found in up to 90% of patients on the third ICU day in endoscopic studies [2], overt gastrointestinal bleeding is much less frequent and occurs in 1.5% to 8% of patients. Nevertheless, overt bleeding from ulcerations is associated with an increased ICU mortality [3], and most guidelines recommend stress ulcer prophylaxis for ICU patients who are at risk for the development of ulceration and bleeding [4, 5].

Table 1 Proposal of bleedings risk categories and efficacy of stress ulcer prophylaxis according to Wang et al. in their two studies [6, 7]. Of note: a universally accepted definition of bleeding risk categories is still lacking

After decades of randomized trials, stress ulcer prophylaxis remains debated. Although the efficacy of pharmacological prophylaxis has been confirmed for patients at high bleeding risk in numerous trials and meta-analyses enabling clear guidelines [5], the choice of the agent [H2 receptor antagonist (H2RA), proton pump inhibitors (PPI), or sucralfate] and its possible influence on mortality remains controversial. The major concerns are eventual association between stress ulcer prophylaxis and an increased risk of nosocomial pneumonia, Clostridium difficile infection, and mortality.

In this issue of Intensive Care Medicine, Wang and coworkers present the results from an update [6] of their previous systematic review and network meta-analysis [7]. In addition to another very small trial, the authors included the PEPTIC trial, a multi-centre cluster randomized trial including over 26.000 patients [8] and thus increasing the number of analysed patients from 12 660 to 39 569. This massive augmentation in numbers should have increased certainty, which is not the case. The present meta-analysis was motivated by an apparently increased mortality for PPIs over H2RAs in the PEPTIC trial [8], and compared potential benefits and harms of stress ulcer prophylaxis with PPIs, H2RAs, and sucralfate in critically ill patients.

The main finding of this latest meta-analysis of 74 individual trials [6] is that neither PPIs nor H2RAs compared to no prophylaxis are likely to have a significant influence on mortality, without any difference between PPIs and H2RAs. This meta-analysis is the latest of over 60 studies found on PubMed (access 3rd SEP20) since 1991 using the words “stress ulcer AND prophylaxis AND meta-analysis”. The obtained findings are reaching, at best, a moderate certainty in effect estimates [8]. Thus, there is still no absolute certainty despite the advanced statistical tools used to re-run the data. Considering the fact that mortality apparently cannot provide sufficient guidance here, this should generate an in depth questioning about the current use of these drugs.

Basically, this updated meta-analysis confirms that stress ulcer prophylaxis by PPIs or H2RAs is only beneficial and recommended in patients with increased risk of gastrointestinal bleeding: neither PPIs nor H2RAs significantly reduce bleeding risk in patients with low (< 2%) and moderate risk (2–4%) of gastrointestinal bleeding. In patients with high (4–8%) and highest bleeding risk (> 8%), the reduction is important though, with an absolute reduction in bleedings reaching 20 to 49 per 1000 patients, respectively. The reduction was greater in PPIs than in HR2As or sucralfate.

The cost of a therapy that is not indicated in the majority of patients should be considered. Despite the absence of efficiency in low-risk patients, prophylaxis is still being used in between 70 and 90% of ICU patients [9]. In clinical practice, PPIs once started, are often continued after resolution of critical illness. A recent Indian audit revealed, that despite all the existing literature, there is a lack of awareness regarding initiation, choice of agent, adverse effects, as well as termination of ulcer prophylaxis [10]. Such inadequate prescription and maintenance was associated with a potential cost of 31′000–87′000 € per year as demonstrated by the Lausanne university ICU [11].

The next relevant finding of the latest meta-analysis is that neither PPIs, H2RAs, nor sucralfate seem to have an important impact on pneumonia. This observation contradicts the results from their original analysis, in which stress ulcer prophylaxis was associated with increased rates of pneumonia. In contrast to the previous analysis, only blinded studies were included for this estimate. Furthermore, no important differences in the risk of C. difficile infection, length of ICU stay, and hospital stay or duration of mechanical ventilation was observed between the different prophylactic interventions.

Of note, the authors did not consider other aspects of stress ulcer prevention, such as enteral nutrition. Some data suggest a protective effect of the latter independent of the use of pharmacological stress ulcer prophylaxis [12]. Two meta-analyses have further questioned the effectiveness of pharmacological stress ulcer prophylaxis in patients receiving enteral nutrition and raised concern on an increased risk of nosocomial pneumonia in combined intervention [13, 14]. However, due to the lack of large prospective studies investigating this specific topic and significant heterogeneity between the included studies, no firm conclusions can be drawn. Therefore, we believe that stress ulcer prophylaxis is still indicated in patients with enteral nutrition and high bleeding risk, but indication for prophylaxis should regularly be reconsidered.

Although stress ulcer prophylaxis seems to be safe and efficient in patients at risk, not affecting mortality [5], uncertainty regarding other harmful effects remains. The issue of pharmacological interactions has not been addressed. It is obvious that H2RA, a potent cytochrome P450 inhibitor, has a longer list of potential drug interactions, not all of them being benign: this should motivate a more restricted use. Early enteral nutrition, which is possible in the majority of patients, might be as effective as these drugs in the low-risk patients, while reducing the risk of underfeeding [15]. Stress ulcer prophylaxis with PPI (or H2RA) should now be restricted to ICU patients at highest risk, and early enteral nutrition encouraged.