Abstract
This contribution to Zadoks’ liber amicorum reviews the developments in quantitative epidemiology during the last decades. It elucidates the progress in this field and shows how empirical crop protection with many phenomenological aspects transformed into a science-based (inter) discipline.
The availability of experimental tools and the rapid development and introduction of computers enabled the application of systems approaches which stimulated a revolution in thinking and caused a considerable improvement of strategic and tactical decision making in crop protection. Zadoks played a crucial role in that development.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Carter, N., Dixon, A.F.G. & Rabbinge, R., 1982. Cereal aphid populations: biology, simulation and prediction. Simulation Monographs, Pudoc, Wageningen. 91 pp.
Conway, G.R. (Ed.), 1984. Pest and pathogen control: strategic, tactical and policy models. IIASA, Laxenburg. p. 1–11.
De Jong, M.D., 1988. Risk to fruit trees and native trees due to control of black cherry (Prunus serotina) by silver fungus (Chondrostereum purpureum). PhD. Thesis, Wageningen Agricultural University, the Netherlands. 138 pp.
Entwistle, J.C. and Dixon, A.F.G., 1986. Short-term forecasting of peak population density of the grain aphid,Sitobion avenae, on wheat. Annals of Applied Biology 109: 215–222.
Fuchs, A., 1989. The impact of the Department of Phytopathology at the Wageningen Agricultural University, as evaluated by citation analysis. Netherlands Journal of Plant Pathology 95, Supplement 1: 215–222.
Hendriks, Th.H.B. & Van Beek, P., 1991. Optimaliseringstechnieken, principes en toepassingen, derde herziene druk. Bohn, Stafleu, van Loghum, Houten, 348 pp.
Kampmeijer, P. & Zadoks, J.C., 1977. EPIMUL, a simulator of foci and epidemics in mixtures of resistant and susceptible plants, mosaics and multilines. Simulation Monographs, Pudoc. 50 pp.
Kropff, M.J. & Van Laar, H.H. (Eds), 1993. Modelling crop-weed interactions. CAB-International, Wallingford and International Rice Research Institute, Manila, 274 pp.
Leffelaar, P.A. (ed.), 1993. On system analyses and simulation of ecological processes, with examples in CSMP and FORTRAN. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 294 pp.
Mols, P.J.M., 1993. Walking to survive. PhD thesis Wageningen Agricultural University, Wageningen. 203 pp.
Netherlands Scietific Council for Government Policy, 1992. Ground for choices; four perspectives for the rural areas in the European Community. SDU Uitgeverij, Den Haag, 144 pp.
Nyrop, J.P. & Van der Werf, W., 1993. Sampling to predict or monitor biological control. In: Handbook of sampling methods for arthropods pests in agriculture. In: Pedigo, L.P. & Buntin, G.D. (Eds): Handbook of sampling methods for anthropods in agriculture, CRC Press, Boca raton, Florida, pp. 247–338.
Rabbinge, R. & Mantel, W.P., 1981. Monitoring for cereal aphids in winter wheat. Netherlands Journal of Plant Pathology 87: 25–29.
Rabbinge, R. & De Wit, C.T., 1989. Systems, models and simulation. In: Rabbinge, R., Ward, S.A. & Van Laar, H.H. (Eds) Simulation and systems management in crop protection. Simulation Monographs, Pudoc, Wageningen, p. 3–15.
Rabbinge R. & Zadoks, J.C., 1989. Disease and pest control. In: Zadoks, J.C. (Ed.), Development of farming systems, evaluation of the five-year period 1980–1984. Pudoc, Wageningen. p. 32–39.
Rabbinge, R., Ankersmit, G.W. & Pak, G.A., 1979. Epidemiology and simulation of population development ofSitobion avenae in winter wheat. Netherlands Journal of Plant Pathology 85: 197–220.
Rossing, W.A.H., 1991. Simulation of damage in winter wheat caused by the grain aphidSitobion avenae. 3. Calculation of damage at various attainable yield levels. Netherlands Journal of Plant Pathology 97: 87–103.
Rossing, W.A.H., Daamen, R.A. & Hendrix, E.M.T., 1993. A framework to support decisions on chemical pest control under uncertainty, applied to supervised control of aphids and brown rust in winter wheat. Crop Protection, in press.
Van den Berg, H. 1993. Natural control ofHelicoverpa armigera in smallholder crops in East Africa. PhD Thesis, Wageningen Agricultural University, the Netherlands, 233 pp.
Van den Bosch, F., Zadoks, J.C. & Metz, J.A.J., 1988a. Focus expansion in plant disease. I. The constant rate of focus expansion. Phytopathology 78: 54–58.
Van den Bosch, F., Zadoks, J.C. & Metz, J.A.J., 1988b. Focus expansion in plant disease. II. Realistic parameter-sparse models. Phytopathology 78: 59–64.
Van den Bosch, F., Metz, J.A.J., Frinking, H.D. & Zadoks, J.C., 1989. Focus expansion in plant disease. III. Realistic parameter-sparse models. Phytopathology 78: 59–64.
Zadoks, J.C., 1971. Systems analysis and the dynamics of epidemics. Phytopathology 61: 600–610.
Zadoks, J.C., 1984. Cost effectiviness of plant protection on a national basis. EPPO Bulletin 14: 325–335.
Zadoks, J. C., 1988. Twenty five years of botanical epidemiology. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, London B 321: 377–387.
Zadoks, J. C. (Ed.), 1989. Development of farming systems. Evaluation of the five-year period 1980–1984. Pudoc, Wageningen. 90 pp.
Zadoks, J. C., 1991. A hundred and more years of plant protection in the Netherlands. Netherlands Journal of Plant Pathology 97: 3–24.
Zadoks, J. C., Chang, T.T. & Konzak, C.F., 1974. A decimal code for the growth stages of cereals. Weed Research 14: 415–421.
Zadoks, J.C., Rijsdijk, F.H. & Rabbinge, R., 1984. EPIPRE: A systems approach to supervised control of pests and diseases of wheat in the Netherlands. In: Conway, G.R. (Ed.), Pest and pathogen control. Strategic, tactical and policy models. International Series on Applied Systems Analysis. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. p. 344–351.
Zadoks, J. C. & Schein, R.D., 1979. Epidemiology and plant disease management. Oxford University Press, New York, 427 pp.
Zawolek, M.W., 1989. A physical theory of focus development in plant disease. PhD Thesis, Wageningen Agricultural University, Wageningen. 230 pp.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Rabbinge, R., Rossing, W.A.H. & Van der Werf, W. Systems approaches in epidemiology and plant disease management. Neth. J. Pl. Path. 99 (Suppl 3), 161–171 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03041406
Accepted:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03041406