Abstract
This chapter examines Singapore’s perspectives on the South China Sea as a non-claimant country. It focuses on why Singapore has not changed its long-standing perspectives, despite the rise of global populism and pressure from major power competition between China and the USA between 2016 and 2019. By examining the structure of Singapore’s domestic political economy, the chapter makes three arguments: (1) Singapore’s perspectives on the South China Sea are driven by its national interests set by the state, which has firm control over foreign policy; (2) there is bipartisan support for the state’s foreign policy. Singaporeans will generally support the country’s foreign policy but pay little attention to it because of their disinterest in politics and lack of knowledge of international affairs; (3) Singapore has not been affected by the wave of populist movements because of the resilience of Singapore state. It concludes that Singapore’s perspectives on the South China Sea will remain consistent for the foreseeable future as there is no serious impetus for a shift or major change in Singapore’s fundamental foreign policy principles.
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Notes
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- 3.
The US Navy FONOPs in the South China Sea started in 2013 under the Obama administration. Between 2013–2016, Washington authorised a total of six FONOPS-half of which were deployed in 2016 alone. See Colin, S. (2016). China, the US, and the law of the sea. China Perspectives (2), pp. 57–62. https://doi.org/10.4000/chinaperspectives.6994.
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- 8.
Sim, D. (2020, August 5). Indonesia, Singapore steer clear of US-China dispute in Pompeo’s South China Sea outreach. South China Morning Post. https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3096033/indonesia-singapore-stay-neutral-us-china-dispute-despite.
- 9.
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- 11.
The Hansard refers to the official published report of debates in the parliament of a member of the Commonwealth of Nations, including Singapore.
- 12.
Lee was the father of Singapore’s third (and current) prime minister, Lee Hsien Loong.
- 13.
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Goh served as Singapore’s second Prime Minister from 1990–2004. He was succeeded by Lee. See Tan, S. (2020, November 2). Lunch With Sumiko: what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger, says MP Tin Pei Ling. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/opinion/lunchwithsumiko-what-doesnt-kill-you-makes-you-stronger.
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In the FPTP electoral system, the candidate (or candidates, in the case of a GRC) with the greatest number of votes will become the elected MP(s). Therefore, the PAP wins a disproportionately large number of seats in parliament every election because they win the most number of GRCs.
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Mathew, M., Teo, K. K., Tay, M. & Wang, A. (2021, March). Attitudes towards institutions, politics, and policies: key findings from the world values survey (17). Institute of Policy Studies, National University of Singapore. https://lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/docs/default-source/ips/ips-exchange-series-17.pdf.
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Mathew, M., Teo, K. K., Tay, M. & Wang, A. (2021, February). Our Singaporean values: key findings from the world values survey (16). Institute of Policy Studies, National University of Singapore. https://lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/docs/default-source/ips/ips-exchange-series-16.pdf.
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In the three general elections between 1972 and 1980, the PAP won an average of more than 70% of popular votes, with the highest being the 77.66% vote share in the 1980 general elections. But since the re-entry of opposition MPs beginning in 1984, PAP’s vote share fell to an average of 63.5% between 1984 and 1997. It rose to a high of 75.3% in the 2001 general elections before dip** back into the 60th percentile in the years afterwards.
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Ibid.
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Remarks by professor S. Jayakumar, Faculty of Law, National University of Singapore, at the RSIS distinguished book launch of “Singapore is not an island: views on Singapore foreign policy”. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Nanyang Technological University. (2017, June 21). https://www.rsis.edu.sg/rsis-speeches-article/rsis/remarks-by-professor-s-jayakumar-faculty-of-law-national-university-of-singapore-at-the-rsis-distinguished-book-launch-of-singapore-is-not-an-island-views-on-singapore-foreign-policy/#.XNKu944zY2w.
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Thompson, E. C. (2006). Singaporean exceptionalism and its implications for ASEAN regionalism. Contemporary Southeast Asia. 28(2), pp. 183–206. https://doi.org/10.1355/cs28-2a.
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Chong, T. (2014). Johor survey: attitudes towards governance and economy, Iskandar Malaysia, and Singapore. Trends in Southeast Asia (8); ASEAN is divided because of Cambodia? Says who?. Khmer Times. (2022, February 11). https://www.khmertimeskh.com/501004557/asean-is-divided-because-of-cambodia-says-who/.
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Lai, L. (2019, March 4). Parliament: Singapore should step up its engagement with Asean neighbours, says Low Thia Khiang. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/politics/spore-should-step-up-its-engagement-with-asean-neighbours-low.
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Based on the author’s search using the Nexis Uni database-a web-based research service. See https://advance.lexis.com.remotexs.ntu.edu.sg/api/permalink/760c0b22-5938-4683-9d5e-cf92a66e9ab5/?context=1516831; https://advance.lexis.com.remotexs.ntu.edu.sg/api/permalink/22f0f29a-0186-448f-a5e0-25f403fcdf67/?context=1516831.
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Ibid.
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Loh, M. (2017, July 4). In defence of Singapore’s chief naysayer Kishore Mahbubani. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/opinion/in-defence-of-singapores-chief-naysayer-kishore-mahbubani; Mohamad Salleh, N. A. & Chew, H. M. (2017, July 3). Minister Shanmugam, diplomats Bilahari and Ong Keng Yong say Prof Mahbubani’s view on Singapore’s foreign policy ‘flawed’. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/prof-kishore-mahbubanis-view-on-singapores-foreign-policy-deeply-flawed-ambassador-at; Teo, J. J. (2017, July 3). S’pore can’t waver on need for rules-based order. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/forum/letters-in-print/spore-cant-waver-on-need-for-rules-based-order.
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Ministry of Foreign Affairs Singapore. (2017, July 17). Transcript of remarks by Minister for Foreign Affairs Dr Vivian Balakrishnan at the MFA Townhall on [Press release]. https://www.mfa.gov.sg/Newsroom/Press-Statements-Transcripts-and-Photos/2017/07/Transcript-of-Remarks-by-Minister-for-Foreign-Affairs-Dr-Vivian-Balakrishnan-at-the-MFA-Townhall-on.
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Gopalakrishnan, R. & Lim, K. (2011, May 4). Singapore PM makes rare apology as election campaign heats up. U.S. Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/article/idINIndia-56766220110504.
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Tay, K. (2015, August 3). Whither the hot-button issues of the previous general election?. The Business Times. https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/singapore-general-election/whither-the-hot-button-issues-of-the-previous-general.
- 66.
Other reasons for PAP’s strong performance in the 2015 general elections include the jubilee celebration of Singapore’s fiftieth year of independence, and Lee Kuan Yew’s passing in March 2015.
- 67.
Mathew, M., Teo, K. K., Tay, M. & Wang, A. (2021, March). Attitudes towards institutions, politics, and policies: key findings from the world values survey (17). Institute of Policy Studies, National University of Singapore. https://lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/docs/default-source/ips/ips-exchange-series-17.pdf.
- 68.
Mathew, M., Teo, K. K., Tay, M., & Wang, A. (2021, February). Our Singaporean values: key findings from the world values survey (16). Institute of Policy Studies, National University of Singapore. https://lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/docs/default-source/ips/ips-exchange-series-16.pdf.
- 69.
Chan, I. (2021). Singapore’s forward engagement with China’s Belt and Road Initiative: co** with asymmetry, consolidating authority. Asian Perspective. 45(4), pp. 709–733. https://doi.org/10.1353/apr.2021.0039.
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Li, X. R. (2017, December 15). China-Singapore relations in 2017: better than ‘normal.’. The Diplomat. https://thediplomat.com/2017/12/china-singapore-relations-in-2017-better-than-normal/.
- 71.
Oliver, S. & Ostwald, K. (2018). Explaining elections in Singapore: dominant party resilience and valence politics. Journal of East Asian Studies. 18(2), pp. 129–156. https://doi.org/10.1017/jea.2018.15; Koay, A. [MothershipSG]. (2020, January 19). Singaporean sociologist Chua Beng Huat explains why 70% voted for this [Video]. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jDX3Zbc6cs&feature=youtu.be.
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Careers@Gov. (2021). The public service. https://www.careers.gov.sg/who-we-are/the-public-.
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Teo, Y. Y. (2018). This is what inequality looks like: essays by Teo You Yenn. (Singapore; Ethos Books), pp. 26–33.
- 74.
Baker, J. A. (2019, July 18). Meritocracy not to blame; Indranee spells out 4G team’s approach to tackle inequality. CNA. https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/singapore-social-service-inequality-indranee-rajah-nus-872566; Heng, M. (2019, October 22). Meritocracy still key principle for recognising individuals in Singapore, says Ong Ye Kung. The Straits Times. https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/meritocracy-still-key-principle-for-recognising-individuals-in-singapore-says-ong-ye-kung.
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Chan, I. (2022). Political Apathy, Soft Authoritarianism, and Singapore’s Perspectives on the South China Sea. In: Peng, N., Ngeow, CB. (eds) Populism, Nationalism and South China Sea Dispute. Contributions to International Relations. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-1453-9_7
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