Abstract
Artificial Neural Networks are now widely applied in a broad range of fields, including image processing, signal processing, medical studies, financial predictions, power systems, and pattern recognition among others (Kosko, 1992; Refenes et al., 1994; Saund, 1989; Schalkoff, 1992; Suykens et. al. 1996; Vemuri and Rogers 1994). These successes have also inspired applications to water resources and environmental systems (Achela et al., 1998; Chang and Tsang, 1992; Derr and Slutz, 1994; French et al., 1992; Hsu et al, 1997; Hsu et al, 1995; Maier and Danday, 1996; Ranjithan and Eheart, 1993; Roger and Dowla, 1994). Because ANN models have the ability to recursively “learn from the data” they can result in significant savings in time required for model development, and are particularly useful for applications involving complicated, nonlinear processes that are not easily modelled by traditional means. This chapter addresses some issues related to the training of the class of ANNs known as Multi-layer Feedforward Neural Networks (MFNN) which are most commonly used in streamflow forecasting applications. We also present results illustrating the applicability of properly trained MFNNs in prediction of future streamflows from past rainfall and flows, and compare these results to those obtained by other modeling approaches.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Achela, D., Fernando, K., and Jayawardena, (1998) Runoff forecasting using RBF networks with OLS algorithm. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 3(3), 203–209.
Chang, A. T. C. and Tsang, L., (1992) A neural network approach to inversion of snow water equivalent from passive microwave measurements, Nordic Hydrology 23, 173–182.
Charalambous, C., (1992) Conjugate gradient algorithm for efficient training of artificial neural networks, IEE Proceedings 139(3). 301–310.
Derr, V. E. and Slutz, R. J., (1994) Prediction of EL Nino events in the Pacific by means of neural networks, AI Application s 8(2), 51–63.
Duan, Q., Sorooshian, S., and Gupta, V. K., (1992) Effective and efficient global optimization for conceptual rainfall runoff models, Water Resources Research 28(4), 1015–1031.
Duan, Q., Gupta, V. K., and Sorooshian, S., (1993) A shuffled complex evolution approach for effective and efficient global minimization, Journal of Optimization Theory and Application 73(3), 501–521.
Flecher, R., and C. M. Reeves, (1964) Function minimization by conjugate gradients, Computer Journal 7, 149–154.
Funahashi, K. I., (1989) On the approximation realization of continuous map**s by neural networks, Neural Networks 2, 193–192.
French, M. N., Krajewski, W. F., and Cuykendal, R. R., (1992) Rainfall forecasting in space and time using a neural network, Journal of Hyd rology 137, 1–37.
Goldberg, D., (1989) Genetic Algorithm in Search, Optimization and Machine Learning, Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA.
Gori, M. and Tesi, A, (1992) On the problem of local minimum in backpropagation, IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence 14, 76–86.
Gupta, H. V., Hsu, K., and Sorooshian, S., (1997) Superior Training of Artificial neural Networks Using Weight-Space Partitioning, In Proc. IEEE Int. Conf. Neural Networks, Volume 3, Houston Texas, 1919–1923.
Hornik, K, Stinchcombe, and White, H, (1989) Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators, Neural Networks 2, 359–366.
Hornik, K., (1991) Approximation capabilities of multilayer feedforward networks, Neural Networks 4, 251–257.
Hsu, K., Gupta, H. V., and Sorooshian, S., (1995) Artificial neural network modeling of the rainfall-runoff process, Water Resources Research 31(10), 2517–2530.
Hsu, K., Gupta, H. V., and Sorooshian, S., (1997) Application of a recurrent neural network to rainfall-runoff modeling, In ASCE Water Resources Planning and Management Division Conference, Houston, Texas.
Hsu, K., Gao, X., Sorooshina, S., and Gupta, H. V., (1997) Precipitation estimation from remotely sensed information using artificial neural networks, Journal of Applied Meteorology, 36(9), 1176–1190.
Jacob, R. A., (1988) Increased rates of convergence through learning rate adaptation, Neural Networks 1, 295–307.
Kosko, B., (1992) Neural Networks for Signal Processing, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc.
Koza, J. R., (1992) Genetic Programming: On the Programming of Computers by Means of Natural Selection, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press.
Maier, H. R. and Dandy, G., (1996) The use of artificial neural networks for the prediction of water quality parameters, Water Resources Research, 32(4), 1013–1022.
Metropolis, N., Rosenbluth, A., Rosenbulth, M., Teller, A., and Teller, E., (1953) Equations of state calculations by fast computing machines, Journal ofChemical Physics 21, 1097–1092.
Nelder, J. A. and Mead, R., (1965) A simplex method for function minimization, Computer Journal 7(4), 308–313.
Ranjithan, S. and Eheart, J. W., (1993) Neural network-based screening for groundwater reclamation under uncertainty, Water Resources Research 29(3), 563–574.
Refenes, A. N., Zapranis, A. and Francis, G., (1994) Stock performance modeling using neural networks: A comparative with regression models. Neural Networks 7(2), 375–388.
Roger, L. L. and Dowla, F. U., (1994) Optimization of groundwater remediation using artificial neural networks with parallel solute transport modeling, Water Resources Research 30(2), 457–481.
Rumelhart, D. E., Hinton, E., and Williams, J., (1986) Learning internal representation by error propagation, in Parallel Distributed Processing I, pp. 318–362, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Saund, E., (1989) Dimensionality reduction using connectionist networks, IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence 11, 304–314.
Schalkoff, R. J., (1992) Pattern Recognition: Statistical Structure and Neural Approaches, John Wiley & Sons, New York.
Suykens, J. A. K., J. Vandewalle, and B. De Moor, (1996) Artificial Neural Networks for Modeling and Control of Non-linear System, Netherlands, Klumer Academic Publishers.
Sorooshian, S., Duan, Q, and Gupta, V. K., (1993) Calibration of rainfall-runoff models: application of global optimization to the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting model, Water Resources Research. 29(4), 1185–1194.
Vemuri, V. R. and R. D. Rogers (Eds.), (1994) Artificial Neural Networks: Forecasting Time Series. Los Alamitos, California, IEEE Computer. Society Press.
Vogl, T. P., Mangis, J. K., Rigler, A. K., Zink, W. T, and Alkon, D. L., (1988) Accelerating the convergence of the back-propagation method, Biological Cybernetics 59, 257–263.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2000 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Gupta, H.V., Hsu, K., Sorooshian, S. (2000). Effective and Efficient Modeling for Streamflow Forecasting. In: Govindaraju, R.S., Rao, A.R. (eds) Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology. Water Science and Technology Library, vol 36. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9341-0_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-9341-0_2
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-90-481-5421-0
Online ISBN: 978-94-015-9341-0
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive