Abstract
Scenario-based models based on plausible and acceptable descriptions of the future have time and again been employed to study the effect of an evolving energy system. This study employed scenario-based modeling using the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) to explore the dynamics of the energy transition to cleaner energy in the Nigerian household sector. Our analysis showed that the household sector has and will continue to contribute the largest share to the overall energy demand in Nigeria within the period under study (2010–2030). To achieve sustainable development and eradicate energy poverty within the Nigerian household sector an alternative energy transition scenario was explored. This scenario identified bottlenecks that could hinder the mainstreaming of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) to substitute traditional fuelwood in the household sector and modeled a possible future where these bottlenecks are tackled, and LPG becomes the fuel of choice within the household sector in Nigeria.
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Author would like to thank and acknowledge the work and support on the earlier draft of this chapter by Sunkanmi Dairo who collected the data financed by PAUWES, University of Tlemcen, Algeria, during his thesis project.
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Qudrat-Ullah, H. (2024). Exploring the Energy Transition to LPG in the Nigerian Household Sector: A Scenario-Based Modeling Approach. In: Exploring the Dynamics of Renewable Energy and Sustainable Development in Africa. Advances in African Economic, Social and Political Development. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-48528-2_3
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